Grown-Rider — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,435

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-10 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 50% $-29

Politics

4% — —

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 638 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-13	$-5	0¢	$-0	+$5	05-27 22:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	21	$100	330	0	+330	open	—	05-03 23:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	16	$80	97	0	+97	open	—	05-04 08:24
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$67	347	347	+0	open	—	04-16 16:18
tur tra iba 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	2	$66	87	85	+1	open	—	04-19 18:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	8	$65	75	23	+52	open	—	05-04 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	15	$62	144	0	+144	open	—	05-03 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	20	$61	532	0	+532	Up	$-61	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	14	$60	96	38	+58	Down	+$0	05-04 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	23	$57	107	0	+107	open	—	05-03 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$51	81	0	+81	open	—	05-03 19:44
btc updown 4h 1776355200	2	$50	57	55	+2	open	—	04-16 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	10	$47	34	34	+0	open	—	04-30 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$46	66	0	+66	Down	$-46	05-13 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	11	$44	72	0	+72	open	—	05-03 23:51
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	06-10 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	05-03 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	25	$40	445	0	+445	open	—	05-04 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	28	$40	87	0	+87	open	—	05-04 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$40	48	0	+48	open	—	05-27 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	22	$39	76	0	+76	open	—	05-04 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$39	89	0	+89	open	—	05-03 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	22	$39	105	0	+105	Up	+$66	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	7	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-03 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	28	$36	70	0	+70	Up	+$19	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$35	73	0	+73	open	—	05-03 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	7	$35	63	0	+63	open	—	05-03 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	29	$35	76	0	+76	open	—	05-04 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	7	$35	80	0	+80	open	—	05-03 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$35	74	10	+64	open	—	05-03 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	14	$34	76	0	+76	open	—	05-03 23:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 16:19:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0x7b1608…
06-08 08:21:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x7f0d8b…
06-07 19:51:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x23918e…
05-31 15:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4d2b0f…
05-31 15:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x71d174…
05-31 15:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9b34cb…
05-27 22:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0a7082…
05-27 22:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6b8a97…
05-27 22:22:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xbe1000…
05-27 22:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd49d24…
05-27 22:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x385a7e…
05-20 12:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x210910…
05-20 11:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb44677…
05-19 22:48:41	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xd7c364…
05-13 00:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xb96f06…
05-13 00:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x30905d…
05-13 00:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0xcb18c1…
05-13 00:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe00f54…
05-13 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2b135b…
05-13 00:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xce649b…
05-13 00:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x11f581…
05-13 00:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6813cc…
05-13 00:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf61c63…
05-13 00:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x9ebaca…
05-13 00:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd73831…
05-13 00:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1bfddc…
05-12 22:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8a5fce…
05-12 22:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x927639…
05-12 22:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x19d51f…
05-12 18:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xaceb96…
05-12 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x3c56f5…
05-12 18:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x0af8a7…
05-12 18:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xda43fe…
05-12 18:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x4d98a5…
05-12 18:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x8ec52d…
05-12 18:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x02c894…
05-12 02:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd40c0a…
05-12 02:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xae662e…
05-12 01:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x38793b…
05-12 01:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6844e7…
05-12 01:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xbe1599…
05-12 01:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe0b872…
05-12 01:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x1a5f30…
05-12 01:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x76840b…
05-12 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe5fcee…
05-12 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xb0ef6a…
05-12 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x94e49a…
05-12 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x7c3f3b…
05-12 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7314aa…
05-12 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x50dc55…
05-12 01:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xdb9d69…
05-12 01:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x377e4d…
05-12 01:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x82224e…
05-12 01:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x544c5c…
05-12 01:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe8d269…
05-12 01:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xda8064…
05-12 01:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb22c3c…
05-12 01:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x84375b…
05-12 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x46bf5c…
05-12 01:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8cc333…
05-12 01:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x5e4108…
05-12 01:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x180f95…
05-12 01:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc6c08b…
05-12 01:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xe3ff21…
05-12 01:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd6910c…
05-12 01:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc2e51f…
05-12 01:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xbe654b…
05-12 01:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x79c077…
05-12 01:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x63dfa8…
05-12 01:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x3c09b6…
05-12 01:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x31a3e4…
05-12 01:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x3074c7…
05-12 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf8374d…
05-12 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7cf955…
05-12 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x722c8a…
05-12 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x720782…
05-12 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x70072a…
05-12 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x59ea52…
05-12 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x277cd7…
05-12 01:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xcaa52b…
05-12 01:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x23b080…
05-12 01:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8da544…
05-12 01:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x56c212…
05-12 01:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xa77853…
05-12 01:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x228b17…
05-12 01:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xc52b19…
05-12 01:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x82215b…
05-12 01:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5b95cc…
05-12 01:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x560cce…
05-12 01:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x37f20f…
05-12 01:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x024292…
05-12 01:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9d01dd…
05-12 01:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x8b3b33…
05-12 01:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x514e4d…
05-12 01:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x2f2cdb…
05-12 01:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x53d213…
05-12 01:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2e3ab8…
05-12 01:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x2c1009…
05-12 01:30:59	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xaea3b2…
05-12 01:29:58	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xfd1be4…