Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$63

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-01

last 11-01 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

83% 47% -$3

Politics

14% 56% +$2

Tech

3% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	2	$2	7	+7	No	-$1	10-28 00:04
laptop airdrop by september 9	2	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$1	09-08 14:26
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	2	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	10-16 09:06
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-19 03:56
will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-27 21:47
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-31 01:33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 23:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-28 08:13
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-20 04:01
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-16 01:03
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	1	$1	1	+1	Up	-$1	10-01 15:42
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-11 15:18
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-27 11:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-30 04:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	09-18 18:37
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-09 00:59
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-23 14:54
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-25 12:00
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-20 22:42
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-15 00:29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-07 18:17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	11-01 15:30
spy up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-13 14:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	10-15 16:42
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-17 14:09
will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-14 07:34
spy closes above 770 on october 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-14 15:36
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-14 06:34
Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	10-25 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:30:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4f3b83…
10-31 01:33:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xeaae57…
10-30 04:59:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe5e2bb…
10-28 08:13:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x714097…
10-28 00:04:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd0102a…
10-28 00:04:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd8d613…
10-25 12:00:51	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x68836d…
10-25 02:20:39	Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x00cb7e…
10-23 17:18:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x777b26…
10-23 09:01:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6c0d5c…
10-17 23:30:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdc978f…
10-17 14:09:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa2e98a…
10-16 09:06:01	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5612fc…
10-16 09:05:40	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc4b5b0…
10-16 01:03:18	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc9c426…
10-15 16:42:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x304e0d…
10-15 08:32:44	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe7d10c…
10-15 00:29:31	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0db64b…
10-14 15:36:57	spy closes above 770 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdc6958…
10-14 07:34:26	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xef027d…
10-13 23:18:06	will xagusd reach 60 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe49050…
10-13 14:30:32	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x83fd04…
10-10 04:40:43	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4b535b…
10-09 19:56:22	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf58603…
10-09 09:50:51	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcfb0a3…
10-09 00:59:42	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9dad6f…
10-05 15:48:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc6d4eb…
10-05 00:55:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3b88f1…
10-02 06:49:11	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xeef47d…
10-02 05:44:05	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1828ba…
10-01 15:42:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe17498…
10-01 07:40:18	will xagusd dip to 59 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc6eacf…
09-30 23:02:05	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf0d84c…
09-30 02:32:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8915bb…
09-28 05:47:36	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3d73df…
09-27 21:47:14	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1d6c7f…
09-27 11:55:24	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcdd347…
09-27 01:56:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7780ea…
09-26 07:13:32	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x901e14…
09-23 14:54:13	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x584879…
09-21 06:50:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb653b1…
09-20 22:42:40	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x08d59e…
09-20 04:01:21	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0624c4…
09-19 03:56:15	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7b2993…
09-18 18:37:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfa8308…
09-17 11:40:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc6c36c…
09-16 02:35:04	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8b8f7e…
09-14 06:34:07	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x13afc8…
09-13 22:33:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x96379a…
09-11 15:18:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x437675…
09-11 06:39:48	will nvda reach 224 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9880de…
09-10 22:36:30	Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd135ee…
09-10 13:19:16	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xef492c…
09-10 02:55:33	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3ac8d9…
09-09 17:03:13	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x78e900…
09-09 08:59:42	Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x75b5bf…
09-08 14:26:49	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x250538…
09-08 07:29:28	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x46f641…
09-07 18:17:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xea15bd…
09-03 16:53:16	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa1e844…
09-03 08:36:49	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9b87d2…
09-02 12:33:37	spy up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x36eac0…
09-01 11:10:01	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3c00aa…