Late-Steak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$6.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 05-08 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% — —

Crypto

13% 53% +$6

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	9	$1.5K	810	2,110	-1,300	open	—	03-26 14:52
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	18	$1.2K	813	1,057	-245	open	—	03-26 14:57
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	9	$974	626	626	+0	open	—	03-16 05:44
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	10	$772	612	1,906	-1,294	open	—	03-15 14:55
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	19	$447	415	3,320	-2,905	open	—	03-15 06:42
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$406	200	1,400	-1,200	open	—	03-15 16:32
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$307	200	1,000	-800	open	—	03-16 13:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$51	233	233	+0	open	—	03-25 21:13
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$40	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	03-25 21:13
btc updown 5m 1772802900	8	$19	20	15	+5	open	—	03-06 13:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$19	175	175	+0	open	—	03-15 14:29
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	03-25 20:54
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?	2	$15	167	484	-318	open	—	03-25 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 20:41
btc updown 4h 1775448000	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-06 08:00
btc updown 5m 1772459400	7	$14	17	17	+0	open	—	03-02 13:53
btc updown 15m 1771371900	2	$11	10	20	-10	open	—	02-17 23:55
btc updown 5m 1771194300	5	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	02-15 22:27
btc updown 15m 1771227900	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	02-16 07:37
btc updown 5m 1772827500	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-06 20:07
btc updown 5m 1771195500	5	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	02-15 22:48
btc updown 5m 1772876700	4	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	03-07 09:48
btc updown 5m 1772803800	4	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	03-06 13:34
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	2	$9	38	38	+0	open	—	03-25 18:23
btc updown 5m 1772804100	5	$8	10	5	+5	open	—	03-06 13:39
btc updown 5m 1772529900	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-03 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	Up	+$5	05-08 00:24
btc updown 5m 1772879100	5	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	03-07 10:28
btc updown 5m 1772835000	2	$7	5	10	-5	open	—	03-06 22:13
btc updown 5m 1772745900	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-05 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 01:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xb7170b…
05-08 01:43:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xabbdd5…
05-08 01:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x027413…
05-08 01:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x4a7196…
05-08 01:39:43	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x1c4738…
05-08 01:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x5ee7c6…
05-08 01:29:02	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x63dd01…
05-08 01:28:32	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x37c87d…
05-08 01:28:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x2a0f3a…
05-08 01:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xed5aca…
05-08 01:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x62c9b8…
05-08 01:23:03	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfdd651…
05-08 01:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x61f4ce…
05-08 01:23:03	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x0387c4…
05-08 01:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x81a12b…
05-08 01:18:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb3ff21…
05-08 01:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x9cb502…
05-08 01:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x00c81f…
05-08 01:13:03	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x761470…
05-08 01:13:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x41fffc…
05-08 01:09:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x10daf2…
05-08 01:04:18	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc704f1…
05-08 01:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xfe9db3…
05-08 00:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x269210…
05-08 00:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x08e4fe…
05-08 00:38:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x32381f…
05-08 00:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x1000a1…
05-08 00:34:56	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x351d06…
05-08 00:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe0f19e…
05-08 00:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd7a943…
05-08 00:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2789bb…
05-08 00:24:03	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8b6990…
05-08 00:24:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x543f07…
05-08 00:23:47	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x45dbe2…
05-08 00:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x265e98…
05-08 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x987610…
05-08 00:19:53	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x812311…
05-08 00:19:53	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x54b2c9…
05-08 00:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf6cd9f…
05-07 23:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x3d2587…
05-07 23:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdc74d8…
05-07 23:44:32	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfe3982…
05-07 23:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x13df6a…
05-07 23:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x908cbc…
05-07 23:24:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe93766…
05-07 23:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x2d424e…
05-07 22:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x88e8f4…
05-07 22:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6e02fe…
05-07 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x019bc8…
05-07 21:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x322038…
05-07 21:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x38dbe4…
05-07 21:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x04a839…
05-07 21:25:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x97f3bf…
05-07 21:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbf9237…
05-07 21:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x834833…
05-07 20:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe67632…
05-07 20:52:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x016af1…
05-07 20:52:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x3bfa12…
05-07 20:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xb6393c…
05-07 20:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xa56db7…
05-07 20:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa3529f…
05-07 20:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xdd5fd2…
05-07 20:44:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xf7b53d…
05-07 20:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xf00f2c…
05-07 20:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x859bbf…
04-09 22:17:25	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 9	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4f9e2…
04-08 00:12:27	btc updown 15m 1775606400	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcbc52d…
04-07 23:57:21	btc updown 15m 1775605500	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7c1a9e…
04-07 23:21:11	will bitcoin reach 72k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x44d9bb…
04-07 23:21:11	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 7	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0917d0…
04-07 22:26:07	btc updown 15m 1775600100	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd0a7f8…
04-07 22:26:07	btc updown 15m 1775600100	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xa84a41…
04-07 22:10:07	sol updown 15m 1775599200	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe07742…
04-07 20:10:03	eth updown 5m 1775592300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x007746…
04-07 13:40:17	btc updown 15m 1775568600	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaeefed…
04-07 13:40:15	btc updown 15m 1775568600	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x29612b…
04-06 23:10:25	eth updown 15m 1775516400	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5c790a…
04-06 23:00:25	will ethereum dip to 2100 on april 6	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9299ab…
04-06 17:11:05	eth updown 15m 1775494800	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa92e5a…
04-06 16:00:03	xrp updown 4h 1775476800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5c6d8e…
04-06 15:12:29	eth updown 15m 1775487600	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8c5efc…
04-06 15:12:29	eth updown 15m 1775487600	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x4c4d21…
04-06 14:42:25	eth updown 15m 1775485800	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe93771…
04-06 14:42:05	btc updown 15m 1775485800	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x024be6…
04-06 08:00:03	btc updown 4h 1775448000	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe4db82…
04-06 05:45:03	sol updown 15m 1775453400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe39256…
04-06 05:30:03	btc updown 15m 1775452500	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xce9a26…
04-05 20:55:17	btc updown 15m 1775421900	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcce320…
04-05 20:55:15	btc updown 15m 1775421900	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd5f0b1…
04-05 20:55:15	btc updown 15m 1775421900	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$0	0x02d312…
04-05 13:56:09	sol updown 15m 1775396700	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8b8774…
04-05 10:15:01	sol updown 15m 1775383200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeca624…
04-05 00:30:01	xrp updown 15m 1775348100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xddc5f6…
04-04 23:45:17	sol updown 15m 1775345400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf47a5a…
04-04 14:30:01	btc updown 15m 1775312100	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2e7780…
04-02 19:26:03	eth updown 15m 1775157300	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xad413c…
04-02 15:40:15	btc updown 15m 1775143800	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1c1390…
04-02 14:56:05	btc updown 15m 1775141100	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xefc1e3…
04-02 14:55:05	eth updown 15m 1775141100	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfdbd1b…
04-02 14:26:21	btc updown 15m 1775139300	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x92854c…