Inexperienced-Trapdoor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-23 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 89% -$2

Other

33% 88% +$1

Politics

21% 80% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	2	$182	91	91	+0	No	$0	03-22 12:46
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$92	92	0	+92	No	+$0	05-26 10:36
ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	1	$92	92	0	+92	Yes	+$0	06-08 12:06
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$92	92	0	+92	No	+$0	05-24 13:13
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	1	$92	92	0	+92	No	+$0	05-09 11:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?	1	$92	92	0	+92	Yes	+$0	05-21 10:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$91	92	0	+92	No	+$1	05-04 07:43
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$91	91	0	+91	No	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	1	$91	91	0	+91	Yes	+$0	04-30 12:52
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	1	$91	91	0	+91	No	+$0	04-25 11:31
bitcoin above 58k on march 7	1	$91	91	0	+91	Yes	+$0	03-05 13:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	04-20 12:37
bitcoin above 66k on april 18	1	$90	90	0	+90	Yes	+$0	04-17 11:56
will xrp dip to 1pt1 april 6 12	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	04-12 13:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 24	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	03-23 11:54
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 160 179	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	04-09 12:34
highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 62 63f	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	04-02 11:00
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	03-02 12:14
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 190 214	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	03-15 04:12
Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026?	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	04-05 11:21
highest temperature in wellington on march 23 2026 15c	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$0	03-22 12:56
bitcoin above 86k on january 9	1	$81	81	0	+81	Yes	+$0	01-09 10:25
ethereum above 2600 on january 4	1	$80	80	0	+80	Yes	+$0	01-03 07:58
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	01-05 13:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 20	1	$78	78	0	+78	No	+$0	01-20 11:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 13	1	$76	76	0	+76	No	+$0	01-13 11:58
will paramount be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	02-04 12:01
bitcoin above 78k on february 5	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	02-05 13:47
lol dcg dfm 2026 02 05	1	$25	27	0	+27	Deep Cross Gaming	+$2	02-04 12:39
nhl col tor 2026 01 25	1	$16	26	0	+26	Avalanche	+$10	01-24 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 10:27:38	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2ad184…
09-09 13:33:45	Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x38bf69…
09-09 13:30:06	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x67f2bc…
08-25 07:39:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xfd7c63…
07-18 06:54:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x4eb07a…
06-08 12:06:55	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd7bbf3…
05-26 10:36:59	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xaf3cfc…
05-24 13:13:57	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x0f0bfb…
05-21 10:51:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x08f232…
05-09 11:49:13	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x47e6c8…
05-07 11:00:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x757bb3…
05-04 07:43:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x0ee553…
04-30 12:52:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xba56a8…
04-25 11:31:18	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x5fddb0…
04-20 12:37:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x283c0b…
04-17 11:56:58	bitcoin above 66k on april 18	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7c09a7…
04-12 13:12:49	will xrp dip to 1pt1 april 6 12	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf52265…
04-09 12:34:17	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 160 179	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xad98a2…
04-05 11:21:45	Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2a3296…
04-02 11:00:01	highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x33f7d7…
03-23 11:54:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 24	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x959dcd…
03-22 12:56:45	highest temperature in wellington on march 23 2026 15c	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x15d7e6…
03-22 12:48:41	xrp above 1pt1 on march 23	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x8d1305…
03-22 12:46:43	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xb9bcf0…
03-22 11:31:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 22	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x959cab…
03-19 10:43:33	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xc2b32a…
03-16 13:51:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20ac2d…
03-15 04:12:29	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 165 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfbc4d3…
03-15 04:12:21	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 190 214	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x045d9f…
03-05 13:56:47	bitcoin above 58k on march 7	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x53aabd…
03-02 12:14:41	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfaa70a…
02-05 13:47:47	bitcoin above 78k on february 5	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6f9301…
02-04 12:39:10	lol dcg dfm 2026 02 05	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xb02fc6…
02-04 12:01:56	will paramount be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xda5fcf…
01-24 13:32:28	nhl col tor 2026 01 25	Avalanche	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0xfe9e14…
01-20 11:33:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 20	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xc16e95…
01-13 11:58:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 13	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf0ac77…
01-13 11:49:39	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	No	BUY	1,200	0¢	$2	0x054041…
01-13 11:46:49	highest temperature in london on january 14 3corbelow	Yes	BUY	410	0¢	$1	0x943aca…
01-09 10:25:00	bitcoin above 86k on january 9	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x8b4da0…
01-05 13:09:57	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x41e63b…
01-03 07:58:09	ethereum above 2600 on january 4	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa4e884…