Realized P&L
-$1.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved
606
Trades
3,902
lifetime
Volume
$60.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$674
17 positions
First seen
2026-10-13
last 10-28 16:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
87% 67% -$1,435
Politics
11% 17% -$26
Tech
2% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$23
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 538 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +381 $290 77¢ $293 +$4 10-28 10:31
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? Yes +204 $177 86¢ $176 -$1 10-27 16:13
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +381 $95 23¢ $88 -$8 10-28 09:43
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +84 $59 70¢ $59 +$0 10-27 18:47
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? No +204 $28 14¢ $28 $0 10-27 16:24
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +85 $25 30¢ $25 $0 10-27 23:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2 -$1 96¢ $2 +$3 10-23 22:53
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +3 $2 56¢ $2 $0 10-22 13:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 -$4 96¢ $0 +$5 10-21 20:10
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +1 -$1 48¢ $0 +$1 10-17 16:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +0 $0 20¢ $0 +$0 10-19 12:30
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $7 12¢ $0 -$7 10-18 16:45
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +0 -$4 83¢ $0 +$4 10-26 22:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 93¢ $0 +$1 10-13 18:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +1 $13 1¢ $0 -$13 10-23 09:56
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$3 2¢ $0 +$3 10-24 18:12
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +0 $1 51¢ $0 -$1 10-13 19:07