United-Arithmetic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-07 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 100% +$0

Politics

12% — —

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$92	527	1,127	-600	open	—	02-28 12:36
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-12 12:22
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-11 09:05
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-09 07:52
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-08 13:57
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-07 13:16
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-05 23:26
ethereum above 2200 on april 4	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-04 07:28
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-03 13:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-01 09:24
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-31 08:40
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-29 09:05
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-28 08:47
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	03-27 14:17
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-26 04:19
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-25 03:45
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 12:11
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-23 08:56
ethereum above 2200 on march 22	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-22 14:34
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-21 14:29
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-20 14:11
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-19 16:09
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-18 09:06
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-16 09:28
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-11 12:22
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-03 08:08
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-01 15:18
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-17 09:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-27 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c9942…
06-04 14:01:55	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3f113a…
05-30 07:41:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x935d3a…
05-27 14:36:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7964f9…
05-22 13:07:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e66d1…
05-21 10:10:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd12cb6…
05-20 14:08:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7a7180…
05-18 13:28:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xed5a8e…
05-15 12:47:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34154b…
05-14 10:35:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x06755a…
05-11 12:36:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x55f0f9…
05-10 13:42:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3dd1e0…
05-07 15:04:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcc4c12…
05-05 14:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x5d6992…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x678ba0…
05-02 14:11:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac089b…
04-27 12:47:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc59174…
04-25 15:41:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x65cdbe…
04-23 09:36:50	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48f0a4…
04-22 13:26:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb56708…
04-20 14:15:00	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcb620a…
04-19 12:49:36	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x97f43e…
04-17 14:44:58	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb906f5…
04-16 12:34:02	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x202314…
04-15 08:42:44	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdc1648…
04-14 17:53:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x857fe7…
04-14 17:53:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x657686…
04-14 13:32:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcee92e…
04-13 13:13:21	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x14ab92…
04-12 12:22:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5dbeac…
04-11 09:05:57	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd0706a…
04-10 15:04:19	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c966a…
04-09 07:52:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x92904c…
04-08 13:57:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6d1896…
04-07 13:16:03	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xea2a9a…
04-05 23:26:07	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x16ce4d…
04-04 07:28:31	ethereum above 2200 on april 4	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4eea03…
04-03 13:30:53	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdd21cd…
04-01 09:24:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfadc3e…
03-31 08:40:09	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x807a21…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xff7116…
03-29 09:05:14	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc1c781…
03-28 08:47:47	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x67768c…
03-27 14:17:07	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x7dfc7c…
03-26 04:19:25	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6ad9ef…
03-25 03:45:19	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x662127…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 08:56:35	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4e961c…
03-22 14:34:05	ethereum above 2200 on march 22	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x67cd7d…
03-21 14:29:15	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3270d9…
03-20 14:11:03	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe29c63…
03-19 16:09:41	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2a5ab3…
03-18 09:06:15	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbb1489…
03-17 09:58:05	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7aaa7e…
03-16 09:28:35	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x49bfe5…
03-15 18:37:27	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x19f5e4…
03-12 16:32:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa129fc…
03-11 12:22:51	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1ea318…
03-03 08:08:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x77e764…
03-01 15:18:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x92c8fa…
02-28 18:38:37	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4c6480…
02-28 12:36:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xc0c715…
02-28 03:28:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa32d81…
02-22 03:25:54	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$22	0xd5fc02…
02-18 19:41:54	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,506	0¢	$5	0x825a75…
02-18 16:44:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,506	0¢	$5	0xdd1097…
02-16 08:51:15	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,288	0¢	$5	0xed942d…
02-16 07:39:35	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	717	0¢	$1	0x83df40…
02-15 12:23:31	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,216	0¢	$4	0xfe85d6…
02-15 12:23:13	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	789	0¢	$2	0x58715e…
02-09 18:30:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	506	3¢	$15	0x5c6ffb…
02-09 17:51:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	506	3¢	$15	0xa9dca1…