Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.36K

Unrealized P&L

+$99

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

129

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$50.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-07 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

61% 47% -$5,503

Other

37% 37% -$2,189

Sports

2% 90% +$339

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		-341	-$106	2¢	$-6	+$99	07-07 11:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	41	$4.8K	5,180	5,184	-4	Yes	-$56	02-15 23:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$4.4K	4,926	11,106	-6,180	Yes	-$4,348	02-01 06:44
Will the US strike Somalia next?	60	$3.5K	4,180	4,092	+89	Yes	+$438	01-13 20:35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$3.1K	2,349	3,762	-1,413	Yes	-$646	01-15 10:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	15	$2.7K	12,486	8,773	+3,713	No	-$836	03-17 12:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$2.4K	6,244	6,244	+0	No	+$89	01-11 15:06
nothing ever happens khamenei	11	$2.4K	4,279	4,279	+0	No	-$170	02-16 09:47
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$480	01-29 17:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$2.2K	2,114	2,114	+0	Yes	+$158	03-03 20:19
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	4	$1.3K	1,562	1,562	+0	No	+$341	03-03 21:37
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	2	$1.3K	1,786	0	+1,786	Yes	+$506	03-07 07:43
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	19	$1.1K	1,345	1,144	+201	Yes	+$279	02-06 19:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$1.1K	1,500	2,100	-600	Yes	-$365	01-15 10:56
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$1000	1,306	0	+1,306	No	+$306	02-28 20:41
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	7	$904	1,442	1,442	+0	Yes	-$351	02-06 20:38
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	2	$728	429	429	+0	Yes	+$128	03-03 12:54
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 786	3	$680	1,414	0	+1,414	No	-$680	02-28 20:59
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$666	600	600	+0	Yes	-$30	02-06 15:59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$546	600	600	+0	Yes	-$42	02-06 15:59
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	6	$542	17,372	705	+16,667	No	-$156	03-11 20:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$514	319	319	+0	No	+$114	03-12 19:12
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$468	322	322	+0	No	+$98	03-03 20:08
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	2	$414	312	312	+0	No	+$14	03-04 13:37
odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16	2	$306	1,056	1,056	+0	No	-$94	01-11 15:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$300	2,319	0	+2,319	No	-$300	03-11 20:21
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	10	$299	8,089	8,089	+0	No	+$59	01-13 11:54
will iran strike israel on march 10	4	$279	700	0	+700	Yes	-$279	03-07 22:27
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	23	$265	4,947	500	+4,447	No	-$169	03-07 02:37
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	5	$258	3,176	0	+3,176	No	-$258	03-03 20:35
odds of khamenei out by february over 30 in january	18	$257	4,773	0	+4,773	No	-$257	01-31 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 11:52:16	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	341	31¢	$106	0xe7185d…
03-17 12:34:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	4,773	6¢	$272	0x07d41e…
03-14 19:22:31	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	SELL	150	87¢	$130	0x2f4794…
03-14 15:39:19	den ode kob 2026 03 15 kob	Yes	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0x6056e2…
03-14 15:38:27	sea laz mil 2026 03 15 mil	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xfc0ebe…
03-14 15:37:23	mex asl pac 2026 03 14 pac	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xaadcc1…
03-14 15:36:57	mls atl phi 2026 03 14 phi	Yes	BUY	282	35¢	$100	0x9b886a…
03-14 15:36:13	mls dal sdg 2026 03 14 sdg	Yes	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0xa6636c…
03-14 15:35:35	epl bou mun 2026 03 20 mun	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x5d74bc…
03-14 15:34:39	ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	Yes	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0xc39114…
03-14 15:33:53	epl bur bou 2026 03 14 bou	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x6f589f…
03-14 15:31:13	epl wes mac 2026 03 14 mac	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x56cd1d…
03-12 19:12:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	319	99¢	$314	0x7edb50…
03-11 20:21:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	775	13¢	$100	0xd1a769…
03-11 20:11:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,545	13¢	$200	0xdd0df0…
03-11 20:11:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,002	5¢	$100	0xf7b213…
03-11 20:09:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	4,039	5¢	$200	0x1c9587…
03-11 20:08:03	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x8badf3…
03-09 08:03:43	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x0768ad…
03-08 08:47:51	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	No	BUY	21	65¢	$13	0xd1043e…
03-08 08:43:19	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	No	BUY	143	65¢	$93	0xdbb200…
03-08 08:42:57	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	No	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x96871e…
03-07 23:51:25	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	44	29¢	$13	0x88a60f…
03-07 23:45:45	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x54fc8b…
03-07 23:41:25	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xc7c8d3…
03-07 23:27:47	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x7c5646…
03-07 23:26:55	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0xed8dc3…
03-07 22:39:49	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	352	29¢	$102	0x8ce5e8…
03-07 22:39:39	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x66331e…
03-07 22:38:41	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x3329d1…
03-07 22:34:29	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xad7720…
03-07 22:32:29	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2e580c…
03-07 22:27:51	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0xc95f6f…
03-07 11:32:35	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xe6e61a…
03-07 09:57:01	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x211c13…
03-07 09:39:35	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	155	52¢	$81	0x25aeb6…
03-07 07:43:33	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	BUY	1,074	75¢	$800	0x77abaa…
03-07 02:37:21	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$48	0xa01c8f…
03-06 21:35:45	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xe276fa…
03-06 19:40:49	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	17¢	$119	0x9b6d2b…
03-04 13:37:27	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	SELL	312	69¢	$214	0x057a24…
03-03 21:37:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	781	37¢	$287	0x83af6d…
03-03 20:37:09	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	14¢	$100	0xe2c6f0…
03-03 20:35:47	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x14135e…
03-03 20:33:13	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	597	3¢	$18	0x0f0878…
03-03 20:32:15	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xe62f2d…
03-03 20:31:39	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xebb1bd…
03-03 20:30:27	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$1	0x8008b6…
03-03 20:30:19	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfedccc…
03-03 20:30:19	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x549252…
03-03 20:30:19	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1deb78…
03-03 20:30:09	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x13eefd…
03-03 20:30:03	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x8f238c…
03-03 20:28:57	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf6c1ed…
03-03 20:28:57	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x5fae31…
03-03 20:28:53	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xffb6eb…
03-03 20:28:53	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd6ba4c…
03-03 20:28:53	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x3c7fee…
03-03 20:28:51	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$2	0x679d95…
03-03 20:28:39	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x35b23d…
03-03 20:28:13	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x0775d0…
03-03 20:19:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	2,114	57¢	$1,196	0x082b48…
03-03 20:08:41	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	322	88¢	$283	0x09b859…
03-03 20:05:09	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xf9d9e7…
03-03 18:45:19	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	SELL	705	27¢	$193	0x78c45d…
03-03 18:04:49	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xd466a2…
03-03 18:03:03	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	445	45¢	$200	0x522e3e…
03-03 18:02:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	781	71¢	$554	0xa700de…
03-03 17:58:31	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x1d4f08…
03-03 17:36:59	will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt7	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xee7efa…
03-03 13:16:51	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	BUY	712	67¢	$480	0xb01a99…
03-03 13:06:01	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xf586cb…
03-03 12:54:41	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	429	100¢	$428	0x6e60e1…
03-01 15:36:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0x92a0ad…
03-01 15:35:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	938	32¢	$300	0xcd2dd8…
03-01 15:22:51	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,090	9¢	$100	0x2a8172…
03-01 14:15:41	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0aaffe…
03-01 14:14:33	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xcbd902…
03-01 14:14:11	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x30424d…
03-01 14:11:31	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xd5c97c…
03-01 14:11:31	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xa483b2…
03-01 11:30:49	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	322	57¢	$185	0x16421a…
03-01 11:27:05	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,769	4¢	$100	0xd24a3c…
03-01 11:25:57	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0xc63b1b…
03-01 08:14:49	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x5df13b…
03-01 08:07:01	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0xff6ccc…
03-01 07:33:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xedd3b2…
03-01 07:30:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	319	63¢	$200	0x1051f4…
03-01 07:29:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xc8feba…
03-01 07:23:45	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x8e84c6…
03-01 07:20:35	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x9a48fc…
02-28 22:19:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	59	78¢	$46	0xa003cf…
02-28 22:18:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2cb64e…
02-28 22:18:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xbd9a48…
02-28 22:18:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0xdcbbd0…
02-28 22:17:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	454	44¢	$200	0x0096d2…
02-28 20:59:33	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 786	Yes	BUY	126	64¢	$80	0xba1107…
02-28 20:54:01	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0xceb0e6…
02-28 20:49:07	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0x5e331b…
02-28 20:47:01	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 786	Yes	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0xbbb028…