Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$636

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$93

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-22

last 10-28 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 62% -$4

Politics

35% — —

Other

17% 50% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+71	$20	44¢	$32	+$12	10-22 11:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+125	$50	18¢	$23	-$27	10-24 19:08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+18	$15	96¢	$17	+$2	10-22 09:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+31	$10	34¢	$10	+$0	10-26 21:02
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+10	$6	100¢	$10	+$4	10-22 12:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	2	$75	60	60	+0	Yes	+$45	10-25 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$58	40	40	+0	Up	+$6	10-23 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$52	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 12:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	1	$50	125	0	+125	open	—	10-24 19:08
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$46	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 20:15
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$39	23	23	+0	open	—	10-28 21:42
Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	10-27 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Down	+$5	10-23 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	10-23 12:53
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$21	23	23	+0	open	—	10-27 20:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	4	$20	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$20	71	0	+71	open	—	10-22 11:02
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	10-22 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$19	22	22	+0	Up	-$1	10-24 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$16	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 13:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	10-22 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	10-24 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-27 19:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	10-26 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-27 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$7	8	7	+1	Down	+$2	10-23 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	10-24 18:08
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	10-22 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$5	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	10-23 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$5	10-23 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	-$5	10-24 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	10-24 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	10-22 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$3	10	10	+0	Up	-$3	10-24 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-23 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:42:04	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	23	81¢	$19	0xf184ca…
10-27 21:15:03	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xcc8171…
10-27 20:27:02	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	23	25¢	$6	0xf0b5c7…
10-27 20:15:57	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	60	56¢	$34	0x9d1437…
10-27 19:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x548842…
10-27 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x245556…
10-27 19:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x09dc10…
10-27 19:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xebb782…
10-27 19:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x10968c…
10-27 19:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf6c106…
10-27 19:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x464fea…
10-27 19:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd0fdb3…
10-27 19:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd3b9a1…
10-27 19:05:18	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xfb8fe8…
10-27 19:05:18	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc95738…
10-26 21:02:03	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x0d4c1f…
10-25 22:15:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xee0a59…
10-24 19:08:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x6ad9d0…
10-24 18:29:42	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x98ad65…
10-24 18:28:14	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x23e412…
10-24 18:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xdb3ee5…
10-24 18:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x31ac90…
10-24 18:19:30	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xce5e53…
10-24 18:16:32	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x6039b4…
10-24 18:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x7e9c95…
10-24 18:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x48400b…
10-24 18:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xebae6a…
10-24 18:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	48¢	$6	0x451602…
10-24 18:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x88d771…
10-24 18:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbbbb60…
10-24 17:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0e882d…
10-24 17:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$7	0x5aea8c…
10-24 17:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xed2252…
10-24 17:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc770d6…
10-23 13:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x8e4740…
10-23 13:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbdfd0e…
10-23 13:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xb9aaf7…
10-23 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x072736…
10-23 13:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x64723d…
10-23 13:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xda16ca…
10-23 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	38	83¢	$31	0x5f977c…
10-23 13:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x1df070…
10-23 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xe11f8c…
10-23 13:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xda6d01…
10-23 13:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x863950…
10-23 13:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd32d96…
10-23 13:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf8df6d…
10-23 13:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xba0417…
10-23 13:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xeb93b7…
10-23 13:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xbbfcac…
10-23 13:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa41c65…
10-23 13:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x498622…
10-23 13:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x67a4e3…
10-23 13:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x073e47…
10-23 13:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xa43ca1…
10-23 13:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x08cf20…
10-23 13:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x2d60e6…
10-23 13:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaab83f…
10-23 12:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x9acb66…
10-23 12:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x8f2fbf…
10-23 12:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd507d7…
10-23 12:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x7eb94b…
10-23 12:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x21efa8…
10-23 12:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0a170c…
10-23 12:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x067cbd…
10-23 12:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4c84bd…
10-22 13:34:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x8145b4…
10-22 12:47:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x8f012c…
10-22 12:45:35	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x2f0be9…
10-22 12:45:14	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xff04a2…
10-22 12:44:27	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc9a571…
10-22 12:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x530f80…
10-22 12:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0736ad…
10-22 11:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9f732f…
10-22 11:15:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe7fa1f…
10-22 11:10:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x892e1f…
10-22 11:02:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x3eddd3…
10-22 09:43:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x0df82d…