Realized P&L (30d)
+$16.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$608
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved (30d)
24
Trades (30d)
572
1,964 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$97.6K
$217.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$4.17K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-03 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
78% 45% +$13,739
Other
21% 55% +$704
Sports
1% 17% -$568
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +2,450 $1,510 60¢ $1.5K -$28 11-03 11:33
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +1,200 $624 48¢ $582 -$42 11-02 15:24
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +700 $483 70¢ $486 +$4 11-02 10:19
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,500 $405 28¢ $413 +$8 11-02 19:26
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +1,100 $421 36¢ $401 -$19 11-03 11:56
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1,270 $373 28¢ $349 -$24 11-03 14:21
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $196 28¢ $193 -$4 11-02 20:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +750 $180 24¢ $184 +$4 11-02 15:04
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +3,327 $44 2¢ $58 +$14 10-30 16:19
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +800 $10 1¢ $7 -$4 11-01 23:47
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? Yes +2,000 $8 0¢ $5 -$3 11-01 23:48
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? Yes +700 $6 1¢ $5 -$2 11-01 23:49
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +1,000 $8 0¢ $4 -$4 11-02 20:15
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? Yes +700 $6 0¢ $3 -$3 10-30 22:09
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +0 $504 98¢ $0 -$504 10-23 09:34