Verifiable-Packet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$201

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

236

Trades

453

lifetime

Volume

$6.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-22 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

47% 14% +$151

Crypto

45% 43% -$146

Politics

8% 11% -$184

Sports

0% 0% -$8

Tech

0% 0% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	10	$620	5,453	5,453	+0	No	+$312	02-06 10:40
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$557	9,083	602	+8,482	No	+$366	02-15 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:00 UTC	6	$279	262	259	+3	Down	-$52	02-16 02:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:15 UTC	6	$211	149	147	+2	Down	+$14	02-16 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 01:45 UTC	2	$169	129	127	+2	Up	+$17	02-16 01:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 23:30 UTC	9	$153	230	129	+100	Up	-$24	02-17 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:30 UTC	2	$112	70	69	+1	Up	+$18	02-16 02:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 01:30 UTC	6	$107	153	152	+1	Down	-$13	02-16 01:45
will trump and machado not shake hands	6	$106	472	472	+0	Yes	+$46	01-15 09:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 01:00 UTC	6	$106	86	85	+1	Down	-$1	02-18 01:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	6	$94	2,435	414	+2,021	Yes	+$75	04-14 16:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:45 UTC	3	$93	110	93	+17	Down	-$46	02-16 02:49
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	2	$83	348	348	+0	No	+$78	03-10 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:25 UTC	2	$83	52	51	+1	Down	+$19	02-15 18:30
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	3	$76	1,302	0	+1,302	Yes	-$76	02-16 15:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 17:30 UTC	2	$74	52	51	+1	Down	+$18	02-12 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 23:15 UTC	4	$74	119	118	+1	Down	+$11	02-17 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 01:00 UTC	1	$68	91	0	+91	Up	+$23	02-16 01:04
Iran leadership change by March 13?	6	$65	3,014	1,684	+1,330	No	-$14	03-15 14:46
bitcoin up or down february 10 2pm et	2	$63	42	42	+0	Up	+$19	02-10 20:03
will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on day 2	1	$57	13,021	0	+13,021	Yes	-$57	02-09 14:14
val tec jdg 2026 02 04	1	$57	685	0	+685	JD Gaming	-$57	02-04 11:38
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	3	$54	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$14	02-05 16:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 18:15 UTC	2	$53	35	35	+1	Down	+$12	02-12 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:10 UTC	2	$53	34	33	+0	Up	+$14	02-15 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 01:10 UTC	3	$51	54	35	+19	Down	-$21	02-18 01:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 00:45 UTC	1	$50	69	0	+69	Up	+$19	02-16 00:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 01:30 UTC	2	$49	29	29	+0	Up	+$8	02-13 01:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 15:45 UTC	7	$49	40	35	+6	Down	$0	02-19 15:56
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	2	$49	1,719	0	+1,719	Yes	-$49	02-23 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 13:36:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,742	0¢	$13	0x1bb312…
05-21 23:44:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,379	1¢	$14	0x8170aa…
05-20 00:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	748	4¢	$27	0xbb6d18…
05-18 18:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,292	1¢	$11	0x8ea807…
05-16 18:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	622	0¢	$2	0x709ebb…
05-16 17:58:43	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x698d09…
05-16 17:58:42	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xc5b88e…
05-16 17:58:40	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	755	0¢	$1	0x469606…
05-14 20:33:46	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0xe91afb…
05-14 20:32:47	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x720f58…
05-14 20:32:38	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x53e688…
05-14 20:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x66691a…
05-14 20:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xdd2ab1…
05-14 20:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x288084…
05-14 20:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf882f2…
05-14 20:22:04	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	SELL	226	2¢	$5	0x78bf88…
05-14 18:25:14	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	226	9¢	$20	0x3402a3…
05-13 14:43:52	Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	427	1¢	$4	0x81079c…
05-13 09:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,489	0¢	$4	0xa2bc51…
05-13 01:51:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,489	1¢	$10	0xe2eec3…
05-07 23:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x50bfb0…
05-07 23:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd12fe7…
05-07 23:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x455e99…
05-07 23:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc3172f…
05-07 23:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,750	0¢	$2	0x990536…
05-06 21:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,750	2¢	$30	0xd395e5…
05-05 02:13:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	516	4¢	$19	0xe2903e…
05-01 10:38:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,150	2¢	$24	0x340e5f…
04-16 16:10:58	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 140 159	Yes	BUY	1,160	0¢	$1	0x141507…
04-16 15:33:10	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	SELL	136	1¢	$1	0x767eda…
04-15 11:05:50	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	142	7¢	$10	0x791fd4…
04-15 11:05:40	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0x354ba8…
04-14 20:56:36	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	Yes	BUY	405	1¢	$5	0x751b51…
04-14 20:53:56	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	SELL	171	3¢	$5	0x0a49ed…
04-14 19:40:34	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	176	9¢	$16	0x4c11d2…
04-14 19:40:06	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	Yes	SELL	713	0¢	$4	0xdf5f85…
04-14 19:39:56	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	454	3¢	$13	0x22e658…
04-14 18:02:56	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	283	4¢	$10	0xc5c3ce…
04-14 16:03:17	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	194	2¢	$3	0x161b0f…
04-14 16:01:09	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xfdf2fb…
04-14 16:00:07	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3d4502…
04-14 14:49:59	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	SELL	29	65¢	$19	0x395dff…
04-14 08:27:57	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x2e2c81…
04-14 08:12:33	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	SELL	385	14¢	$55	0xd30407…
04-14 00:31:29	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	BUY	170	3¢	$6	0x2833d5…
04-14 00:29:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	BUY	235	3¢	$7	0x5d3974…
04-13 06:08:37	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	Yes	BUY	513	2¢	$8	0x704b37…
04-13 06:07:55	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	Yes	SELL	1,024	1¢	$8	0x0605a7…
04-13 01:43:21	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	Yes	BUY	1,077	1¢	$10	0xd3e222…
04-13 01:32:37	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	Yes	BUY	559	1¢	$4	0x4ee8fd…
04-12 11:07:15	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	Yes	SELL	399	1¢	$2	0xa8a814…
04-12 11:07:09	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	Yes	SELL	256	4¢	$9	0x749881…
04-12 10:15:49	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	Yes	BUY	420	0¢	$2	0x9b8f39…
04-12 10:15:07	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0xa17512…
04-12 10:11:11	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	Yes	BUY	354	1¢	$5	0xeaabd6…
04-11 13:14:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0x2803c2…
04-11 13:07:19	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xaa5f2c…
04-11 12:58:53	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$2	0xf3b9a8…
04-11 12:14:41	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	Yes	SELL	133	25¢	$33	0x10f2aa…
04-11 01:52:27	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x12f24e…
04-09 12:05:29	will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	3,250	0¢	$3	0xdca220…
04-09 12:04:59	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	Yes	SELL	165	2¢	$3	0x1189c7…
04-09 02:28:17	will mrbeasts latest video get 73 million or more views on day 5	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x3306cb…
04-09 02:20:09	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	Yes	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0x08bb0a…
04-09 02:18:49	will mrbeasts latest video get 73 million or more views on day 5	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xcb513e…
04-06 13:22:55	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	No	BUY	472	3¢	$12	0xccdefa…
04-01 15:31:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x2f2861…
04-01 15:30:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe3f492…
04-01 15:30:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xbc5536…
04-01 15:29:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x725e17…
04-01 15:28:53	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	Yes	SELL	2,051	0¢	$2	0xffc3dd…
04-01 11:05:23	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	Yes	BUY	2,158	1¢	$13	0xfd8e0a…
03-22 01:46:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	Yes	BUY	229	2¢	$5	0x75e79b…
03-22 01:39:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$4	0x84c44d…
03-22 01:39:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 180 199	Yes	BUY	569	0¢	$2	0xc831b5…
03-20 12:44:09	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	Yes	BUY	276	2¢	$5	0xdaeb44…
03-20 12:42:55	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xa535c0…
03-20 12:42:07	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 140 159	Yes	BUY	246	0¢	$1	0xdf7c74…
03-20 12:41:47	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 120 139	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe1e091…
03-20 12:41:35	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 100 119	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5c2a52…
03-20 12:38:49	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	401	2¢	$10	0x668df9…
03-20 00:36:03	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	401	3¢	$11	0x9c848d…
03-17 19:52:51	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0adfcc…
03-17 19:52:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	201	0¢	$1	0x2bec69…
03-17 18:04:45	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 exact score 0 3	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0x24b535…
03-17 17:50:59	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 exact score 0 2	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xba9830…
03-17 17:41:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	458	1¢	$3	0x19a2e2…
03-17 17:22:53	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	SELL	116	7¢	$8	0x0108f4…
03-17 15:22:45	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x632ac9…
03-17 15:22:27	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	SELL	84	6¢	$5	0x5f25b9…
03-17 15:10:23	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	159	2¢	$2	0x26ccbb…
03-17 15:09:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$3	0x9f7436…
03-17 01:20:13	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xe3bbc2…
03-16 13:10:55	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	No	BUY	317	4¢	$13	0xe7e902…
03-15 14:46:33	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	1,330	0¢	$4	0xb8bcd1…
03-15 14:46:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x8103fb…
03-15 14:46:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xc82ba9…
03-15 14:45:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x298651…
03-15 14:45:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x58fa07…
03-15 14:45:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	471	3¢	$12	0xf26185…