Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$176

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

438

Trades

492

lifetime

Volume

$7.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$237

3 positions

First seen

2026-11-01

last 11-03 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 95% -$177

Politics

10% 100% +$2

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	No	+215	$200	94¢	$203	+$3	11-01 00:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	+27	$25	95¢	$26	+$1	11-01 10:03
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	+105	$10	8¢	$8	-$2	11-01 00:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	10	$388	408	246	+162	Down	-$78	11-01 01:14
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	1	$300	308	0	+308	open	—	11-01 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$210	132	132	+0	Down	+$10	11-01 01:08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	2	$202	106	106	+0	No	+$2	11-01 21:24
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	1	$200	215	0	+215	open	—	11-01 00:58
US recession by end of 2026?	2	$200	106	106	+0	open	—	11-02 11:38
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$175	109	82	+27	open	—	11-01 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$158	144	40	+104	Up	+$3	11-01 01:03
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	11-01 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$75	117	42	+76	Down	-$25	11-01 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$65	35	35	+0	Up	+$5	11-01 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$59	43	43	+0	Up	+$9	11-01 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$51	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	11-03 20:18
French election called by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	11-01 00:19
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$39	31	31	+0	Up	-$21	11-02 14:39
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$33	20	20	+0	Up	-$7	11-01 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	11-02 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	11-02 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	11-02 12:14
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	11-02 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	11-02 16:24
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	11-02 16:19
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	11-02 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	11-02 13:24
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	11-02 12:24
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	11-02 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	11-02 11:39
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	11-02 11:09
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	-$30	11-02 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	11-02 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x4ab5b4…
11-03 20:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x031b40…
11-03 19:19:55	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xb8fbce…
11-03 19:19:30	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x624849…
11-03 19:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9c6c1e…
11-03 19:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x540039…
11-03 19:19:03	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc0c7fc…
11-03 19:04:28	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xf3d928…
11-03 19:04:04	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4a68d7…
11-03 18:59:22	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf2ee9d…
11-03 18:44:43	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x343627…
11-03 18:44:03	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe8b8b4…
11-03 18:39:04	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe46e07…
11-03 18:29:16	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0a0409…
11-03 18:24:33	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1b2030…
11-03 18:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8e91f3…
11-03 17:39:10	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd966cb…
11-03 17:24:16	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7ff94a…
11-03 17:19:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x23a127…
11-03 17:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd7e294…
11-03 17:14:07	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x16ff9d…
11-03 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3ef8d4…
11-03 16:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x17840f…
11-03 16:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5493fc…
11-03 16:49:07	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2846a9…
11-03 16:49:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x90cc8a…
11-03 16:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x371aa5…
11-03 16:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x37377d…
11-03 16:09:04	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0b713b…
11-03 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x049be9…
11-03 15:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x312786…
11-03 15:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2fbaa3…
11-03 15:34:04	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3b72fc…
11-03 15:29:18	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3e36ac…
11-03 15:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3b9512…
11-03 15:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6c83d3…
11-03 15:24:21	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x24c2d7…
11-03 15:14:31	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x19af95…
11-03 15:14:06	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x005cbd…
11-03 15:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x6e467d…
11-03 15:04:15	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe036b8…
11-03 15:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb4073…
11-03 14:59:30	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8d25f4…
11-03 14:59:27	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xba97fc…
11-03 14:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4b80a2…
11-03 14:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x103fa2…
11-03 14:39:09	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4f922b…
11-03 14:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x22ff10…
11-03 13:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x71e26a…
11-03 13:54:12	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb2d86c…
11-03 13:44:39	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf400fc…
11-03 13:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb2c22…
11-03 13:19:18	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x93908b…
11-03 13:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc3d9ea…
11-03 13:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e3b25…
11-03 13:14:13	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbd6659…
11-03 13:14:04	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaa7214…
11-03 13:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x88fbbd…
11-03 13:09:30	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfd8b83…
11-03 13:09:04	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf32f4f…
11-03 12:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa5fc84…
11-03 12:49:19	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x770f8e…
11-03 12:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xff9bd7…
11-03 12:44:57	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xff922d…
11-03 12:39:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x52692a…
11-03 12:34:12	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1f055f…
11-03 12:34:04	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xab0e2d…
11-03 12:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd3f9b…
11-03 12:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x31dc2e…
11-03 12:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xccc4a2…
11-03 12:09:04	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x068200…
11-03 11:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xab30d8…
11-03 11:49:07	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e6b62…
11-03 11:29:04	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfeb5f2…
11-03 11:14:12	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe092b2…
11-03 11:14:10	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f2236…
11-03 11:09:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1cdccb…
11-03 11:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd62ebe…
11-03 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee5306…
11-03 10:59:27	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x91c233…
11-03 10:54:13	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8d0100…
11-03 10:54:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xebb1ee…
11-03 10:49:03	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xedaa1a…
11-03 10:44:12	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8ba110…
11-03 10:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc9b9f3…
11-03 10:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ec8ae…
11-03 10:39:09	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x649cd4…
11-03 10:34:52	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x73f626…
11-03 10:34:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xde58d9…
11-03 10:34:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x538235…
11-03 10:34:03	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0cfe27…
11-03 10:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc50756…
11-03 10:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x90117a…
11-03 10:04:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x437a76…
11-03 10:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb711f8…
11-03 10:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb31f06…
11-03 09:59:22	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4c6675…
11-03 09:59:15	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5f5064…
11-03 09:54:27	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7a3ef7…
11-03 09:54:22	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1dde88…