Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$196

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-07 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$0

Sports

20% 100% +$0

Politics

18% — —

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-19	$-18	96¢	$-18	+$0	07-07 11:05
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-8	$-7	92¢	$-7	+$0	07-07 11:08
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	-5	$-5	97¢	$-5	+$0	07-07 11:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$21	12	15	-3	open	—	04-18 14:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$18	0	19	-19	open	—	07-07 11:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-31 07:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-18 14:21
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-04 14:57
trump out as president by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-05 10:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-05 10:29
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	04-05 13:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-05 13:18
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	04-18 14:23
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$7	0	8	-8	open	—	07-07 11:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-18 14:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-16 02:53
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-16 02:53
Human moon landing in 2026?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	07-07 11:07
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-17 15:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-17 15:57
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-01 16:08
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	01-17 14:20
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-01 16:10
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-05 16:12
nba cha okc 2026 01 05	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-05 16:12
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-05 16:11
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-05 16:10
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-05 16:12
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	01-05 16:10
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	01-17 15:58
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 14:24
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	01-05 16:18
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	02-01 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 11:08:25	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xcd5ea2…
07-07 11:07:52	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xec1dd9…
07-07 11:05:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x1cbdfb…
05-31 07:35:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xc4a010…
05-14 16:55:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x8d5dce…
04-18 14:24:42	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb78caf…
04-18 14:23:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xac0cf1…
04-18 14:23:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xeccdd2…
04-18 14:21:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb5f0bd…
04-18 14:21:02	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x00d593…
04-05 13:19:19	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x91ee88…
04-05 13:18:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x8e6178…
04-05 13:18:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdcee75…
03-20 14:02:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xa2ed68…
03-20 13:59:33	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x3a6679…
03-05 10:30:17	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x39b8c8…
03-05 10:29:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1f2feb…
03-04 14:57:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x44c437…
02-16 02:53:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd9fcc4…
02-16 02:53:31	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9d17d5…
02-16 02:53:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xefee1c…
02-01 16:10:30	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb13fd8…
02-01 16:10:08	will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xdafbe0…
02-01 16:08:14	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc1e35e…
01-17 15:58:42	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7e3f39…
01-17 15:58:12	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc12b08…
01-17 15:57:40	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x909ca1…
01-17 14:20:04	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x6bb77b…
01-05 16:18:01	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x2b9b09…
01-05 16:17:25	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc18c19…
01-05 16:12:51	nba cha okc 2026 01 05	Thunder	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x8d0bed…
01-05 16:12:25	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x282eed…
01-05 16:12:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x1b7d4f…
01-05 16:11:49	Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x06406e…
01-05 16:10:55	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x0719cb…
01-05 16:10:09	will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf672fc…