Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.1%

Resolved

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$744

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-27 22:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

68% 29% -$36

Politics

18% 25% -$2

Crypto

7% 33% -$3

Sports

4% — —

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will coin reach 185 in october 2026	10	$58	118	20	+98	Yes	-$28	10-05 00:37
will saba be nominated for best animated short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-15 11:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	3	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-13 01:19
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	4	$30	40	40	+0	open	—	10-13 13:22
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	10-14 16:48
Will Paul Choi win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-14 17:34
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	10-13 12:20
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-05 00:37
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	2	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-05 00:37
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-13 13:40
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$19	28	28	+0	Yes	-$2	10-05 00:37
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	2	$18	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-13 13:14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 10%-15%?	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	10-13 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	4	$14	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	10-10 22:43
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?	3	$13	67	67	+0	Yes	+$0	10-16 11:26
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	3	$13	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	10-13 13:34
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	4	$10	98	98	+0	Yes	+$1	10-17 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$9	15	15	+0	Down	$0	10-10 23:42
husted flips brown for ohio senate by november 2	4	$9	40	40	+0	open	—	10-16 19:12
cflt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 26 2026 0pt14	5	$8	42	42	+0	open	—	10-17 07:11
will dog alone be nominated for best animated short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	3	$8	42	42	+0	open	—	10-16 10:18
will i knew it i knew you from toy story 5 be nominated for best original song at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 17:54
will the black ball be nominated for best international feature film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	6	$7	46	46	+0	open	—	10-15 16:29
ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 26 2026 2pt11	4	$7	40	40	+0	open	—	10-24 01:30
will christopher nolan be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	5	$7	69	69	+0	open	—	10-24 01:30
will let me sell you a dream from musk be nominated for best original song at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	2	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 13:33
Will You Can See Everything win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$6	27	27	+0	open	—	10-24 01:30
hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 22 2026 2pt19	3	$6	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	10-18 04:39
Will Mikey Madison be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$6	43	43	+0	open	—	10-24 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$6	54	54	+0	Down	-$3	10-11 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:26:32	Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Patrick Maloney	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x4f9a8a…
10-27 22:26:21	Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Patrick Maloney	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x4f84ed…
10-27 06:16:57	Seoul: Completed Match: Beibit Zhukayev vs Coleman Wong	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x968a56…
10-24 01:35:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xcabb07…
10-24 01:35:18	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x4df62c…
10-24 01:35:12	Will Please win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xe6cf45…
10-24 01:35:08	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7643ff…
10-24 01:35:05	Will Thibaut Courtois record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa19d2e…
10-24 01:35:00	Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xc8b4a6…
10-24 01:34:51	Will primmie play for Team Secret in 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x8b7efe…
10-24 01:34:41	Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xcc419e…
10-24 01:34:35	Will Isaiah Collier lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xdcae87…
10-24 01:34:32	Will Malachi Toney be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc43e73…
10-24 01:34:23	Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?	No	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0xe27406…
10-24 01:34:18	Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x582bf1…
10-24 01:34:12	Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x079555…
10-24 01:34:08	Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?	No	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x0a258e…
10-24 01:34:05	Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?	No	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x9ddf0c…
10-24 01:34:00	Will Joan Collins be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$1	0xf43ff3…
10-24 01:33:56	Will Mikey Madison be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0xdc1a18…
10-24 01:33:53	Will Paul Giamatti be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0xdf2f69…
10-24 01:31:08	Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0xc482c4…
10-24 01:31:02	Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x8197c7…
10-24 01:30:59	Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0x96d32e…
10-24 01:30:54	Will Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	69	4¢	$3	0x034496…
10-24 01:30:51	Will Daylen Lile win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x48bc8a…
10-24 01:30:47	Will You Can See Everything win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0xf04715…
10-24 01:30:41	Will Gorka Guruzeta win the 2026-27 LaLiga Player of the Season award?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x822bd0…
10-18 10:28:08	Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x8e1462…
10-18 10:24:51	Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xeb02d5…
10-18 09:32:53	Will Cameron Williams be the first pick in the 2027 NBA Draft?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xfba0de…
10-18 09:22:38	Will Cameron Williams be the first pick in the 2027 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xaac1b9…
10-18 05:58:47	Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xc3f5f5…
10-18 04:39:23	hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 22 2026 2pt19	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x8097d6…
10-18 04:36:23	hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 22 2026 2pt19	No	SELL	17	21¢	$3	0xf5b082…
10-18 03:50:12	Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x8a2bd7…
10-18 03:50:12	Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x8096f4…
10-18 03:42:05	Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x554676…
10-18 03:39:56	Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xde0240…
10-18 00:32:45	Will Evan Stewart be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbc94e2…
10-17 23:23:35	Will Isaiah Collier lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x389d6a…
10-17 22:31:42	Will Diable play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x51231b…
10-17 22:21:29	Will Diable play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4ed7f6…
10-17 21:15:32	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0xb3c323…
10-17 19:34:02	will wuthering heights be nominated for best production design at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x594594…
10-17 19:26:00	will wuthering heights be nominated for best production design at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x7ccea0…
10-17 18:24:45	Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x5f36e7…
10-17 17:52:14	Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe67a93…
10-17 16:48:18	Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x7d5009…
10-17 16:42:14	Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x59e79a…
10-17 16:41:11	Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x547027…
10-17 16:06:53	Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?	No	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xa69c32…
10-17 16:06:53	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x810bdb…
10-17 15:59:02	Will "Josephine" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x4fd59a…
10-17 15:46:00	hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 22 2026 2pt19	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x050539…
10-17 15:39:57	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 29 2026 0pt72	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xe76c23…
10-17 15:39:50	pton quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 29 2026 0pt22	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xe87b4d…
10-17 15:39:20	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 29 2026 0pt72	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc277b1…
10-17 15:29:54	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xca74ae…
10-17 14:43:44	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 29 2026 0pt72	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x44257e…
10-17 14:33:32	over 10m committed to the 1w public sale	No	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0xf9b8c7…
10-17 14:23:41	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x737cb8…
10-17 14:22:36	pton quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 29 2026 0pt22	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xcdd9dc…
10-17 14:22:36	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x25edae…
10-17 14:18:38	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x8792c1…
10-17 14:18:36	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0x36b00d…
10-17 11:05:47	will monica crowley be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xb46189…
10-17 10:59:02	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0369a6…
10-17 10:55:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	No	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x3977e4…
10-17 10:55:30	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	No	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x6f02e0…
10-17 10:45:26	will alina habba be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd85e8f…
10-17 09:32:11	will alina habba be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0f1b28…
10-17 09:23:59	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x7d1833…
10-17 09:21:45	Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x7daf77…
10-17 09:21:45	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x0e8593…
10-17 07:14:26	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x2cc5fc…
10-17 07:11:26	cflt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 26 2026 0pt14	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x008d44…
10-17 07:07:27	cflt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 26 2026 0pt14	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xcdd975…
10-17 07:06:44	cflt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 26 2026 0pt14	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xefd31d…
10-17 04:27:11	cflt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 26 2026 0pt14	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9436eb…
10-17 04:16:32	ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 26 2026 2pt11	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc52d53…
10-17 03:28:27	cflt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 26 2026 0pt14	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc972b6…
10-17 00:11:33	will harry kane attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	No	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x93d11d…
10-16 23:46:24	will harry kane attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xdeb876…
10-16 23:36:24	ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 26 2026 2pt11	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf9f18b…
10-16 23:25:21	Will Thibaut Courtois record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3fe3ef…
10-16 23:05:15	over 10m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xb5fc01…
10-16 22:44:02	Will "Escape from Tarkov" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x06669f…
10-16 22:37:05	will stephen curry win the 2026 27 nba mvp	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc13bbe…
10-16 22:12:44	Will Thibaut Courtois record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xf875b2…
10-16 22:12:42	Will Thibaut Courtois record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6a82c0…
10-16 21:36:48	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xcb0061…
10-16 20:08:09	will lamine yamal attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x93f3dd…
10-16 20:08:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x362fcc…
10-16 19:47:23	will harry kane attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	No	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x5a28da…
10-16 19:40:11	will katie miller be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x35997c…
10-16 19:38:22	will tony gilroy be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xce938f…
10-16 19:37:10	will katie miller be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xf38dbf…
10-16 19:37:10	will lamine yamal attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc8ce68…
10-16 19:22:55	Will Split be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe16410…