Will Paul Giamatti be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open
Total volume
$840
$93 in 24h
Trades
62
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,392
End date
2027-03-15
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-27 19:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+12.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $191
vs crowd: 88% YES on $579)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $145 | $17 | +$129 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $286 | $32 | +$254 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $27 | $11 | +$16 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $50 | $10 | +$40 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $191 | $0 | +$191 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 1 | $50 | — | +$50 |
| Below median | 6 | $27 | $17 | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $36 | $6 | +$30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 13 | $204 | $41 | +$163 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | +74 | $68 | $68 | 2 | 10-15 13:09 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | +74 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 10-27 19:28 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +62 | $56 | $111 | 3 | 10-27 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc60…145e | Yes | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-27 19:28 |
| Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | +50 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 10-14 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +21 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-14 19:29 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +21 | $1 | $3 | 4 | 10-15 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-15 11:30 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 18:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-14 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-14 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ea8…200f | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-14 19:29 |
| Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 20:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-14 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +19 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-27 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-27 19:28 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-27 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-15 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | No | +10 | $3 | $5 | 2 | 10-18 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-15 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-15 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-15 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 11:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 19:30:42 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xab1575… |
| 10-27 19:30:42 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xab1575… |
| 10-27 19:28:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb6a6c1… |
| 10-27 19:28:35 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1ccf1a… |
| 10-27 19:28:35 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1ccf1a… |
| 10-27 19:28:35 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb6a6c1… |
| 10-27 19:28:30 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd72976… |
| 10-27 19:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0xd72976… |
| 10-27 19:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xdc60…145e | Yes | BUY | 54 | 92¢ | $50 | 0x540b02… |
| 10-27 19:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x540b02… |
| 10-27 19:28:30 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x540b02… |
| 10-24 01:33:53 | (anonymous) 0x0450…e5bf | No | SELL | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xdf2f69… |
| 10-24 01:33:53 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 92¢ | $22 | 0xdf2f69… |
| 10-18 06:35:29 | (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | No | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe5d6d0… |
| 10-18 06:35:29 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe5d6d0… |
| 10-17 19:35:35 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x99934a… |
| 10-17 19:35:35 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x99934a… |
| 10-16 21:24:57 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3bf8f8… |
| 10-16 21:24:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3bf8f8… |
| 10-16 18:08:57 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x04370d… |
| 10-16 18:08:57 | (anonymous) 0x8e83…f4a3 | No | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x04370d… |
| 10-15 14:45:35 | (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x35d5b8… |
| 10-15 14:45:35 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x35d5b8… |
| 10-15 13:09:01 | (anonymous) 0x0450…e5bf | No | BUY | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x850c9f… |
| 10-15 13:09:01 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 91¢ | $22 | 0x850c9f… |
| 10-15 12:12:35 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x11120b… |
| 10-15 12:12:35 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x11120b… |
| 10-15 12:12:35 | Trained-Picket 0xdff8…3c8b | Yes | SELL | 171 | 91¢ | $156 | 0x11120b… |
| 10-15 12:12:35 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x11120b… |
| 10-15 12:12:35 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 91¢ | $83 | 0x11120b… |
| 10-15 11:31:04 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x661a70… |
| 10-15 11:31:04 | (anonymous) 0xb825…0666 | No | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x661a70… |
| 10-15 11:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x4ffbf6… |
| 10-15 11:30:57 | (anonymous) 0xb825…0666 | No | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4ffbf6… |
| 10-15 11:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | No | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6a741e… |
| 10-15 11:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x6a741e… |
| 10-15 11:30:55 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb45184… |
| 10-15 11:30:55 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xb81a78… |
| 10-15 11:30:55 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb45184… |
| 10-15 11:30:55 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xb45184… |
| 10-15 11:30:55 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb81a78… |
| 10-14 21:26:10 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x1f7c5b… |
| 10-14 21:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | No | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1f7c5b… |
| 10-14 21:26:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1f7c5b… |
| 10-14 20:57:15 | Trained-Picket 0xdff8…3c8b | Yes | SELL | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0x380fff… |
| 10-14 20:57:15 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x380fff… |
| 10-14 20:57:15 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x380fff… |
| 10-14 20:29:46 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3fde65… |
| 10-14 20:29:46 | (anonymous) 0x85cb…ade2 | No | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3fde65… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | (anonymous) 0x85cb…ade2 | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | Trained-Picket 0xdff8…3c8b | Yes | BUY | 241 | 79¢ | $191 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | (anonymous) 0x2ea8…200f | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | (anonymous) 0x8e83…f4a3 | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |
| 10-14 19:29:45 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd23912… |