Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$633

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

22.9%

Resolved

450

Trades

1,819

lifetime

Volume

$9.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-17 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

84% 20% -$551

Politics

9% 21% -$60

Tech

4% 0% -$18

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 377 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will the openai spy be accused of working for china by december 31 20261014120000000	No	+20	$18	96¢	$19	+$1	10-14 06:38
will the openai spy be accused of working for china by december 31 20261014120000000	Yes	+20	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	10-14 02:46
Will Harry Kane be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	+0	$1	58¢	$0	-$1	10-15 19:09
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	40¢	$0	+$0	10-03 01:01
Will Joe Pyfer fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	Yes	+0	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	10-17 20:39
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?	Yes	+0	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	10-17 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	10	$110	110	110	+0	open	—	10-14 18:09
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	2	$88	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	10-07 01:02
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	9	$86	116	116	+0	Yes	-$1	10-03 18:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 15?	15	$86	124	80	+44	Up	-$7	10-15 14:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	4	$83	100	100	+0	Up	-$9	10-15 15:26
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?	8	$75	200	200	+0	No	-$19	10-06 14:30
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	2	$70	195	195	+0	No	-$2	10-15 03:05
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	10	$69	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	10-03 17:21
katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	4	$69	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 16:27
will anne hathaway be nominated for best supporting actress at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	3	$68	40	40	+0	open	—	10-14 18:23
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	15	$62	91	72	+18	No	+$1	10-14 20:00
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	9	$61	172	6	+167	Yes	-$24	10-15 18:25
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 15?	4	$61	40	40	+0	No	-$2	10-15 10:29
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	7	$59	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	10-15 19:09
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	7	$58	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	10-15 09:18
will google googl q3 search other revenue be above 20261008120050000 64b	5	$58	33	33	+0	No	-$1	10-14 22:14
us imports russian diesel by november 30	6	$57	60	60	+0	open	—	10-15 05:39
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?	5	$55	60	40	+20	No	-$16	10-15 18:27
next astra model 6pt1 released by october 31 2026	2	$51	100	100	+0	No	-$5	10-14 14:03
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	3	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	10-07 18:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 18	2	$48	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	10-14 19:14
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	7	$48	42	41	+0	Yes	+$4	10-16 11:45
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	2	$48	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	10-03 17:04
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	6	$48	60	60	+0	No	-$1	10-04 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?	8	$48	39	39	+0	Yes	+$0	10-15 12:43
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	6	$48	59	59	+0	No	-$7	10-14 18:19
Will AlloX FDV be above $80M one day after launch?	5	$47	38	38	+0	open	—	10-07 15:59
wti up or down on october 14 2026	9	$47	60	60	+0	Up	$0	10-14 14:43
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	4	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	10-11 11:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	8	$45	120	120	+0	No	-$7	10-03 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 20:39:18	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x752901…
10-17 20:39:18	Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x1fe4b5…
10-17 20:39:17	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x9960b4…
10-17 20:39:17	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Mac revenue be above $11B?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x31b27f…
10-17 20:39:17	will analog devices q4 industrial revenue be above 2pt2b	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x30f3c7…
10-17 20:39:15	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $33B?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x7df1d1…
10-17 20:39:14	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xf3bb71…
10-17 20:39:14	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $7.5B?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x86aa47…
10-17 20:39:14	Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6a17a7…
10-17 20:39:12	Will Mark Andrews finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xeb4196…
10-17 20:39:11	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xe0d0b9…
10-17 20:39:11	Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x1ec5df…
10-17 20:39:09	Will Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x9e097b…
10-17 20:39:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x01f459…
10-17 20:39:08	Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 250?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xd2cd47…
10-17 20:39:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xbf4283…
10-17 20:39:06	Will BTS headline Coachella 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x37a56a…
10-17 20:39:06	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $92 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x211028…
10-17 20:39:05	will magans fare be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x9252b6…
10-17 20:39:05	Will Joe Pyfer fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x1c5ccc…
10-17 20:39:03	Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 14.5B?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$5	0xd5492e…
10-17 20:39:03	Will "UNABOMBER" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x68e4e5…
10-17 20:39:02	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa1e103…
10-17 20:39:02	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x339932…
10-17 20:39:00	Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa59aa3…
10-17 20:39:00	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$2	0x3b2958…
10-17 20:38:59	Will Wan'Dale Robinson finish as a top-5 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa8c265…
10-17 20:38:59	Will Greg Joseph finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x690d92…
10-17 20:38:57	Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8b1e6e…
10-17 20:38:57	will axis robotics launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x60ca32…
10-17 20:38:56	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for North Korea by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x56c817…
10-17 20:38:56	Will "Whalefall" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x4ff7db…
10-17 20:38:54	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xceceab…
10-17 20:38:54	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x200675…
10-17 20:38:53	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc95256…
10-17 20:38:53	Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x4b43db…
10-17 20:38:51	Will Sam Darnold finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xd8adbe…
10-17 20:38:51	Will Jadarian Price finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x484317…
10-17 20:38:50	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in September?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf68015…
10-17 20:38:50	Will Marlon Humphrey finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x289560…
10-17 20:38:48	Will Geno Smith finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc4ce65…
10-17 20:38:48	Will Just Swing qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9475a5…
10-17 20:38:47	Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above 1,300 koz?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x683432…
10-17 20:38:47	Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5d69d8…
10-17 20:38:45	Will Kirill Kaprizov win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa45461…
10-17 20:38:45	Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x94ebce…
10-17 20:38:45	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x2aad6f…
10-16 19:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x9f3f56…
10-16 19:30:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $12B?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xb3e968…
10-16 19:30:59	Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $138.5?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x6359f1…
10-16 19:30:58	Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xbbc1b5…
10-16 19:30:58	will you can see everything be nominated for best film editing at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x928238…
10-16 19:30:56	First Round Outright Winner in the Vermont Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x05dd8a…
10-16 19:30:55	Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $35B?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xb50348…
10-16 19:30:55	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x63a6cf…
10-16 19:30:55	Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x0e0d39…
10-16 19:30:53	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $60B?	No	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x42cb4a…
10-16 18:09:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x920a3e…
10-16 18:09:00	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.2M?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x6d1b09…
10-16 18:08:59	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in October?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xfe2865…
10-16 18:08:59	Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x42d0bd…
10-16 18:08:57	Will Paul Giamatti be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x04370d…
10-16 18:08:56	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xa821c9…
10-16 11:48:24	bank of england increases interest rates by 50 bps after december 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xc4cc47…
10-16 11:48:24	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x740bd2…
10-16 11:48:22	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x415140…
10-16 11:48:21	Will Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above 255?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x05326d…
10-16 11:45:39	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x4d37f8…
10-16 11:45:39	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x0014ab…
10-16 11:45:37	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xae8e12…
10-16 11:45:37	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x7c690e…
10-16 11:45:36	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xac2ee5…
10-15 19:09:13	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x9d66ab…
10-15 19:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 17?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x753854…
10-15 19:09:11	Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xe6f714…
10-15 19:09:11	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 3.5% to 4.5%?	Yes	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0xde7cb9…
10-15 19:09:10	Will Harry Kane be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x853a48…
10-15 19:09:10	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x00dd80…
10-15 19:09:08	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xa887c9…
10-15 19:09:08	Will primmie play for FULL SENSE in 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x9444a6…
10-15 19:09:07	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xcbf8fc…
10-15 19:09:07	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x097c7b…
10-15 19:09:05	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 18 2026	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x18358d…
10-15 19:09:04	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x66dba1…
10-15 19:09:04	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x2f5b14…
10-15 19:09:04	Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x24d2b4…
10-15 19:09:02	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	80	16¢	$13	0xdb2dcf…
10-15 18:55:23	Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)	Karmine Corp	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x40df2b…
10-15 18:49:28	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x8586a1…
10-15 18:38:02	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x42f46d…
10-15 18:28:13	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xef1c53…
10-15 18:28:13	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x945f28…
10-15 18:28:10	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x37cc6d…
10-15 18:27:47	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x63bc7f…
10-15 18:25:25	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x06167e…
10-15 18:21:38	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x60d142…
10-15 18:00:13	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x18535f…
10-15 18:00:11	will axis robotics launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x40e181…
10-15 17:51:26	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x7cf8a2…
10-15 17:45:38	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 18 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x644648…