First Round Outright Winner in the Vermont Governor Election?
open
Total volume
$1,428
$45 in 24h
Trades
126
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$295
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-26 09:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+14.3¢
(top1%: 84% YES on $361
vs crowd: 70% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $169 | $105 | +$64 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $435 | $136 | +$299 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $140 | $88 | +$52 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $61 | $21 | +$40 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $303 | $58 | +$245 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $10 | $2 | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| Below median | 6 | $141 | $33 | +$108 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $60 | $28 | +$31 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $101 | $54 | +$47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 15 | $190 | $150 | +$40 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Same-Deodorant 0x687d…e28b | Yes | +376 | $279 | $279 | 1 | 10-14 02:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +196 | $53 | $53 | 7 | 10-26 09:20 |
| Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | +157 | $34 | $48 | 2 | 10-26 09:53 |
| Joyous-Catalyst 0xcaff…e3ad | No | +80 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-14 03:27 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +80 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 10-22 06:23 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +60 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 10-14 11:25 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | +60 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | Yes | +59 | $46 | $47 | 2 | 10-16 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | No | +59 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 10-14 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | No | +46 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | Yes | +46 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +40 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +40 | $14 | $30 | 5 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x23ea…5a98 | Yes | +32 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 10-14 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x23ea…5a98 | No | +32 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-14 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | Yes | +28 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | No | +28 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-14 11:25 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +22 | $17 | $31 | 2 | 10-16 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-20 05:46 |
| Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | Yes | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-26 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-22 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-22 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd322…8503 | No | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-22 18:06 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-26 09:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-22 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-21 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +20 | $7 | $16 | 3 | 10-22 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | +15 | $11 | $23 | 3 | 10-16 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-14 05:07 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-14 11:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 09:53:38 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x1bb355… |
| 10-26 09:53:38 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x1bb355… |
| 10-26 09:50:32 | Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xd88ec9… |
| 10-26 09:50:32 | (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xd88ec9… |
| 10-26 09:20:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x925b86… |
| 10-26 09:20:23 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x925b86… |
| 10-22 18:06:48 | (anonymous) 0xd322…8503 | No | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x3a07ca… |
| 10-22 18:06:48 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x3a07ca… |
| 10-22 06:23:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xee5c0b… |
| 10-22 06:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xee5c0b… |
| 10-22 05:58:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xb10713… |
| 10-22 05:58:25 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xb10713… |
| 10-22 05:48:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x3c144f… |
| 10-22 05:48:25 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x3c144f… |
| 10-22 02:11:33 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xf586ce… |
| 10-22 02:11:33 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x3cb8b1… |
| 10-22 02:11:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x3cb8b1… |
| 10-22 02:11:33 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x3cb8b1… |
| 10-22 02:11:33 | (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xf586ce… |
| 10-22 01:51:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x04c045… |
| 10-22 01:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x04c045… |
| 10-21 23:41:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 68¢ | $27 | 0x7e2e3f… |
| 10-21 23:41:20 | (anonymous) 0xd2d3…7bb3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x7e2e3f… |
| 10-21 23:41:20 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x7e2e3f… |
| 10-20 05:46:23 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xb72bca… |
| 10-20 05:46:23 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xb72bca… |
| 10-17 17:42:15 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 40 | 33¢ | $13 | 0xef869b… |
| 10-17 17:42:15 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 67¢ | $27 | 0xef869b… |
| 10-16 19:30:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x05dd8a… |
| 10-16 19:30:56 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x05dd8a… |
| 10-16 19:30:56 | (anonymous) 0x8e83…f4a3 | No | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x05dd8a… |
| 10-16 19:30:56 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x05dd8a… |
| 10-16 00:03:22 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x2969ae… |
| 10-16 00:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | Yes | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x2969ae… |
| 10-15 12:30:02 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x137e00… |
| 10-15 12:30:02 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x137e00… |
| 10-15 05:59:59 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x157d2d… |
| 10-15 05:59:59 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x157d2d… |
| 10-14 17:05:45 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x23560a… |
| 10-14 17:05:45 | Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc798…8aab | Yes | SELL | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x23560a… |
| 10-14 13:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x34f88f… |
| 10-14 13:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x107d…4fad | Yes | SELL | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x34f88f… |
| 10-14 12:27:21 | Meaty-Dynamics 0xf566…85d6 | No | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x90439a… |
| 10-14 12:27:21 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x90439a… |
| 10-14 11:25:34 | (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xe8df02… |
| 10-14 11:25:34 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf63ab6… |
| 10-14 11:25:34 | (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | No | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xe8df02… |
| 10-14 11:25:34 | (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xf63ab6… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | No | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x2128af… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x2128af… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x18eb85… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x9016f3… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0x8e83…f4a3 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xdbdb49… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 25 | 68¢ | $17 | 0x2128af… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 68¢ | $8 | 0x2128af… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | SELL | 123 | 32¢ | $39 | 0x2128af… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x9016f3… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x18eb85… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x2128af… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x2128af… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | Meaty-Dynamics 0xf566…85d6 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x2128af… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xdbdb49… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xee7c59… |
| 10-14 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xee7c59… |
| 10-14 05:08:04 | (anonymous) 0xc378…486a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xabd121… |
| 10-14 05:08:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xabd121… |
| 10-14 05:07:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xb74fb4… |
| 10-14 05:07:35 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xb74fb4… |
| 10-14 05:07:35 | (anonymous) 0x23ea…5a98 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xb74fb4… |
| 10-14 05:07:28 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x154979… |
| 10-14 05:07:28 | (anonymous) 0x23ea…5a98 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x154979… |
| 10-14 05:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x23ea…5a98 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x852f52… |
| 10-14 05:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | No | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x54f1fb… |
| 10-14 05:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x852f52… |
| 10-14 05:07:25 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 75¢ | $19 | 0x54f1fb… |
| 10-14 05:07:25 | Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc798…8aab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x54f1fb… |
| 10-14 05:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | No | BUY | 22 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x852f52… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x7569f1… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x7569f1… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 15 | 77¢ | $11 | 0x7569f1… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | No | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xbaadc4… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0x107d…4fad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x1bd3c4… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x8dad60… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc798…8aab | Yes | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x8dad60… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | Yes | BUY | 60 | 77¢ | $46 | 0x7569f1… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 177 | 23¢ | $41 | 0x7569f1… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xd1149a… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xbaadc4… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x7569f1… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xc378…486a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xdd7a8d… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x7569f1… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0x107d…4fad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 76¢ | $11 | 0xdd7a8d… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xd1149a… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xd2d3…7bb3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x7569f1… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x1bd3c4… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 76¢ | $11 | 0x1bd3c4… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xc378…486a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 76¢ | $11 | 0xd1149a… |
| 10-14 05:07:23 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xdd7a8d… |
| 10-14 03:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x20da50… |
| 10-14 03:30:02 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x20da50… |