Realized P&L
-$305
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
19.6%
Resolved
180
Trades
698
lifetime
Volume
$7.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-07
last 10-16 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
58% 0% -$131
Crypto
25% 48% -$155
Tech
12% 0% -$15
Politics
5% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 435 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +199 $161 92¢ $182 +$21 10-11 19:46
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +100 $29 99¢ $99 +$70 10-12 17:29
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? Yes +100 $66 88¢ $88 +$23 10-12 09:56
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No — +100 $72 89¢ $88 +$16 10-12 10:46
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +105 $68 82¢ $87 +$18 10-11 15:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $79 78¢ $78 $0 10-12 15:18
will the openai spy be accused of working for saudi arabia by december 31 20261014120000000 No +100 $92 78¢ $78 -$14 10-14 05:46
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +100 $71 73¢ $73 +$2 10-15 22:41
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18? No — +84 $68 81¢ $68 +$0 10-16 00:04
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? Yes — +60 $49 81¢ $48 -$1 10-15 21:36
pedro snchez out as pm of spain by january 31 2027 Yes +60 $42 80¢ $48 +$6 10-15 19:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +46 $10 72¢ $34 +$23 10-16 00:04
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +100 $31 27¢ $27 -$4 10-15 22:41
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +30 $14 86¢ $26 +$12 10-15 12:38
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes — +40 $20 62¢ $25 +$4 10-13 23:16
will the openai spy be accused of working for saudi arabia by december 31 20261014120000000 Yes +100 $19 22¢ $22 +$3 10-14 03:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $23 22¢ $22 -$2 10-12 15:18
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +105 $38 18¢ $18 -$20 10-16 00:04
kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by december 31 2026 No — +20 $21 90¢ $18 -$3 10-13 22:21
saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026 Yes +199 $42 8¢ $17 -$25 10-16 00:05
will obsession be nominated for best original screenplay at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422 Yes — +30 $13 54¢ $16 +$4 10-14 16:02
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18? Yes — +84 $16 19¢ $16 +$0 10-12 02:16
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No — +40 $20 38¢ $15 -$5 10-13 23:16
will obsession be nominated for best original screenplay at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422 No — +30 $19 46¢ $14 -$5 10-14 16:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +46 $36 28¢ $13 -$23 10-12 14:18
pedro snchez out as pm of spain by january 31 2027 No +60 $28 20¢ $12 -$16 10-15 19:34
will project hail mary be nominated for best original score at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422 Yes +20 $12 58¢ $12 +$0 10-14 17:29
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? No +100 $36 12¢ $12 -$25 10-12 09:56
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? No — +60 $17 19¢ $11 -$5 10-16 00:04
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? Yes — +100 $30 11¢ $11 -$19 10-16 00:04