Russell Brand convicted of sex crimes by March 31, 2027?
open
Total volume
$896
$48 in 24h
Trades
68
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$922
End date
2027-04-01
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-19 17:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+28.9¢
(top1%: 82% YES on $177
vs crowd: 53% YES on $616)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $100 | $68 | +$32 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $158 | $116 | +$42 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $14 | $73 | $59 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $52 | $33 | +$19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $144 | $32 | +$112 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $50 | $50 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | $1 | +— |
| Below median | 7 | $104 | $19 | +$85 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $15 | $36 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | $27 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $47 | $126 | $79 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | +120 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 10-15 21:54 |
| Cooked-Independent 0x7243…83f0 | No | +100 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-15 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x96bf…403e | Yes | +95 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 10-16 07:44 |
| Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | +40 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-15 21:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +27 | $19 | $21 | 2 | 10-18 16:42 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +26 | $12 | $18 | 3 | 10-19 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +22 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-15 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-15 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fd…87dd | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-19 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x110c…0516 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-16 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-15 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-15 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-15 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-15 21:25 |
| Villainous-Crook 0xaa99…dbbf | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-15 21:25 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +18 | $13 | $24 | 3 | 10-18 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x15c8…62ae | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-16 18:58 |
| Ample-Motor 0x54c2…7554 | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-19 04:02 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-19 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xde33…46d2 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x70a2…fa09 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 21:31 |
| Fuzzy-Deduce 0xfa7d…c5a0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 16:42 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +1 | $8 | $38 | 5 | 10-16 07:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 17:19:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7a9b42… |
| 10-19 17:19:39 | (anonymous) 0xb433…9030 | No | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7a9b42… |
| 10-19 17:19:06 | Celebrated-Detection 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 74¢ | $12 | 0x2e1b04… |
| 10-19 17:19:06 | (anonymous) 0xb433…9030 | No | SELL | 16 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x2e1b04… |
| 10-19 09:06:36 | (anonymous) 0x30fd…87dd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xd68c7a… |
| 10-19 09:06:36 | (anonymous) 0xb433…9030 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xd68c7a… |
| 10-19 04:02:30 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | SELL | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xede33b… |
| 10-19 04:02:30 | Ample-Motor 0x54c2…7554 | No | BUY | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xede33b… |
| 10-18 16:42:42 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x735c30… |
| 10-18 16:42:42 | Fuzzy-Deduce 0xfa7d…c5a0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x735c30… |
| 10-18 13:29:44 | (anonymous) 0xb433…9030 | No | SELL | 18 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x71086a… |
| 10-18 13:29:44 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 18 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x71086a… |
| 10-18 13:07:33 | (anonymous) 0xb433…9030 | No | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x3752f6… |
| 10-18 13:07:33 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x3752f6… |
| 10-18 13:06:27 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | SELL | 40 | 33¢ | $13 | 0x212eff… |
| 10-18 13:06:27 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x212eff… |
| 10-18 13:06:27 | (anonymous) 0xb433…9030 | No | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x212eff… |
| 10-18 11:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x3a9a…0021 | No | SELL | 14 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x2567a7… |
| 10-18 11:35:47 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 14 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x2567a7… |
| 10-18 06:31:24 | (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | No | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x3d2cd8… |
| 10-18 06:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x3a9a…0021 | No | BUY | 14 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x3d2cd8… |
| 10-18 06:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x9fde…9a5c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x3d2cd8… |
| 10-16 23:28:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x3c9eff… |
| 10-16 23:28:29 | (anonymous) 0x6ac4…4ef3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x3c9eff… |
| 10-16 18:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x15c8…62ae | Yes | BUY | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0xb0b583… |
| 10-16 18:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x9fde…9a5c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0xb0b583… |
| 10-16 07:44:48 | Authorized-Mandolin 0xf903…e028 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 55¢ | $9 | 0xfe3ce5… |
| 10-16 07:44:48 | Celebrated-Detection 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 55¢ | $9 | 0xfe3ce5… |
| 10-16 07:44:43 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 72¢ | $16 | 0xfc4fee… |
| 10-16 07:44:43 | Authorized-Mandolin 0xf903…e028 | Yes | SELL | 225 | 71¢ | $161 | 0xfc4fee… |
| 10-16 07:44:43 | (anonymous) 0x9fde…9a5c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xfc4fee… |
| 10-16 07:44:43 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xfc4fee… |
| 10-16 07:44:43 | (anonymous) 0x96bf…403e | Yes | BUY | 95 | 71¢ | $67 | 0xfc4fee… |
| 10-16 07:44:43 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xfc4fee… |
| 10-16 07:44:43 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 72¢ | $20 | 0xfc4fee… |
| 10-16 07:44:43 | (anonymous) 0x110c…0516 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xfc4fee… |
| 10-16 07:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x6ac4…4ef3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x3acfc3… |
| 10-16 07:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xae30cc… |
| 10-16 07:03:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xae30cc… |
| 10-16 07:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x3acfc3… |
| 10-15 21:54:30 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 53¢ | $64 | 0x32b3b1… |
| 10-15 21:54:30 | Cooked-Independent 0x7243…83f0 | No | BUY | 100 | 47¢ | $47 | 0x32b3b1… |
| 10-15 21:54:30 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x32b3b1… |
| 10-15 21:51:36 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | SELL | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xcbfdb0… |
| 10-15 21:51:36 | Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | BUY | 40 | 48¢ | $19 | 0xcbfdb0… |
| 10-15 21:51:36 | (anonymous) 0x0d79…0856 | No | SELL | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xcbfdb0… |
| 10-15 21:40:50 | (anonymous) 0x0d79…0856 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x7c1260… |
| 10-15 21:40:50 | (anonymous) 0xf2f2…d1f0 | No | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x7c1260… |
| 10-15 21:35:15 | (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xf4ef0b… |
| 10-15 21:35:15 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xf4ef0b… |
| 10-15 21:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x70a2…fa09 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x185145… |
| 10-15 21:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x185145… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 22 | 66¢ | $14 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | (anonymous) 0xf2f2…d1f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | Villainous-Crook 0xaa99…dbbf | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | (anonymous) 0x6e99…edca | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | Authorized-Mandolin 0xf903…e028 | Yes | BUY | 242 | 33¢ | $81 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 21:25:14 | (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x6b289e… |
| 10-15 19:12:20 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x0fea4d… |
| 10-15 19:12:20 | Similar-Finer 0x9152…1311 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x0fea4d… |
| 10-15 18:39:17 | (anonymous) 0xde33…46d2 | No | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x494f62… |
| 10-15 18:39:17 | Similar-Finer 0x9152…1311 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x494f62… |