Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

37.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$427

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-11

last 10-24 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

66% 20% -$49

Politics

26% 100% +$2

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+5	$2	72¢	$4	+$1	10-24 00:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$3	28¢	$1	-$1	10-24 00:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	10	$41	71	31	+40	open	—	10-16 16:29
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	3	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	10-12 17:36
Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$25	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	10-14 17:33
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	4	$24	40	39	+1	open	—	10-12 02:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	3	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 16:34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 45%-50%?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-14 21:36
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-14 17:47
will sandra huller be nominated for best actress at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	3	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	10-15 13:55
Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	7	$18	60	59	+1	open	—	10-12 17:25
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	4	$15	38	38	+0	open	—	10-12 17:25
russell brand convicted of sex crimes by march 31 2027	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	10-16 07:44
Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	10-12 06:10
will lam research lrcx q1 total revenue be above 20261008120025000 8pt2b	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	-$14	10-12 21:34
Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	1	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	-$13	10-16 14:12
Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Houston Texans?	1	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	+$7	10-11 19:21
Will The Odyssey win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	10-15 06:11
will the black ball be nominated for best sound at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	10-15 16:54
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	10-12 18:13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 60%-65%?	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	10-15 04:25
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	10-12 03:43
Union Pacific (UNP) Q3 adjusted operating ratio 59% to 60%?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	10-13 00:00
will honeywell technologies hon q3 building automation sales be above 20261008120028000 2b	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	-$10	10-12 20:25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026?	1	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	10-12 03:56
will att t q3 total revenue be above 20261008120021000 32pt4b	2	$8	20	0	+20	No	-$8	10-12 21:31
will ewy dip to 170 in october 2026 from october 12	3	$7	38	0	+38	Yes	-$7	10-12 19:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	10-24 00:05
will ewy reach 172 in october 2026	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	+$15	10-12 18:21
will blackstone bx q3 total assets under management aum be above 20261008120027000 1pt39t	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	10-12 20:25
will newmont nem q3 total attributable gold production be above 20261008120033000 1400 koz	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	10-12 20:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 00:05:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x82c389…
10-24 00:05:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x047d2e…
10-16 16:34:43	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x5627fb…
10-16 16:34:43	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x35f72a…
10-16 16:29:45	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0x25d9f2…
10-16 14:12:33	Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x97370d…
10-16 07:44:43	russell brand convicted of sex crimes by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xfc4fee…
10-15 16:54:35	will the black ball be nominated for best sound at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7efdd2…
10-15 16:23:22	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1d6e73…
10-15 13:55:17	will sandra huller be nominated for best actress at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x4e7a7a…
10-15 11:20:24	will sandra huller be nominated for best actress at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xb98d75…
10-15 11:20:22	will sandra huller be nominated for best actress at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x794ec5…
10-15 06:11:26	Will The Odyssey win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa74004…
10-15 04:25:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x094648…
10-15 04:04:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xa0876b…
10-14 21:36:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xb35235…
10-14 17:47:19	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xd8f834…
10-14 17:33:03	Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x0c4454…
10-14 17:31:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5deeab…
10-14 16:36:51	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x15f8ec…
10-13 21:17:31	Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x009536…
10-13 00:00:24	Union Pacific (UNP) Q3 adjusted operating ratio 59% to 60%?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0ab5b6…
10-12 21:34:41	will lam research lrcx q1 total revenue be above 20261008120025000 8pt2b	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdcdd08…
10-12 21:31:18	will att t q3 total revenue be above 20261008120021000 32pt4b	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xc53d79…
10-12 21:31:18	will att t q3 total revenue be above 20261008120021000 32pt4b	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x189b78…
10-12 20:25:05	will blackstone bx q3 total assets under management aum be above 20261008120027000 1pt39t	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf0a280…
10-12 20:25:05	will honeywell technologies hon q3 building automation sales be above 20261008120028000 2b	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x7e4ec9…
10-12 20:25:03	will newmont nem q3 total attributable gold production be above 20261008120033000 1400 koz	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xbd1e01…
10-12 19:12:15	will ewy dip to 170 in october 2026 from october 12	No	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0xd28fa0…
10-12 19:12:15	will ewy dip to 170 in october 2026 from october 12	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x95f8a1…
10-12 19:11:59	will ewy dip to 170 in october 2026 from october 12	No	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xbf87b7…
10-12 18:21:26	will ewy reach 172 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x84ada1…
10-12 18:13:38	Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x887b9b…
10-12 17:36:05	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xb76c02…
10-12 17:25:06	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	59	8¢	$4	0x16a886…
10-12 17:25:02	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x598c8e…
10-12 17:25:02	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x0b898a…
10-12 06:10:18	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa6329c…
10-12 03:56:38	Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xec8276…
10-12 03:43:57	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3b8f50…
10-12 02:23:02	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xdd67f9…
10-12 02:21:05	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x6e6455…
10-12 02:09:14	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x564966…
10-12 02:05:45	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x6f11a9…
10-11 22:09:23	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1b53af…
10-11 22:07:09	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x4d317c…
10-11 20:54:04	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9ae79b…
10-11 20:54:02	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x1110e4…
10-11 20:43:05	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xe6c2d1…
10-11 20:43:03	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x54663b…
10-11 20:14:07	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x9410a9…
10-11 20:14:04	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xa8b9fa…
10-11 19:22:03	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x041ef2…
10-11 19:21:57	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x345ee8…
10-11 19:21:33	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbb737c…
10-11 19:21:27	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x94228f…
10-11 19:21:24	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xff6444…
10-11 19:21:16	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfc3662…
10-11 19:21:12	Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Houston Texans?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4e7267…
10-11 19:21:06	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9483c4…
10-11 19:16:04	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x51fb31…
10-11 19:16:04	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x372ad6…
10-11 18:40:04	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3f308b…
10-11 18:26:04	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xf0c2b7…