Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$218

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.0%

Resolved

Trades

958

lifetime

Volume

$6.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-28 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

44% 22% -$150

Politics

38% 11% -$49

Crypto

15% 14% -$12

Tech

3% 25% -$8

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	76	$364	877	379	+498	Alexander Zverev	-$86	06-07 17:22
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	34	$200	191	191	+0	No	-$1	06-07 08:37
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	37	$190	370	370	-0	Yes	-$4	06-07 09:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$187	341	341	+0	Yes	-$3	06-07 05:29
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	27	$120	633	633	+0	No	-$6	06-07 06:03
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	10	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	10-18 00:51
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	20	$94	260	260	+0	No	-$1	06-07 08:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	18	$89	59	59	+0	open	—	06-07 09:05
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	24	$89	132	132	+0	No	$0	06-07 07:57
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?	9	$82	48	48	+0	open	—	10-20 23:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	15	$78	90	90	+0	open	—	06-07 09:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	16	$78	250	250	+0	open	—	06-07 05:35
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	6	$76	105	105	+0	open	—	10-17 13:19
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	5	$75	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 06:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$74	376	376	+0	No	-$26	03-30 04:17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	7	$72	69	69	+0	open	—	10-26 01:54
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	14	$70	42	42	+0	No	$0	06-07 09:01
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026	5	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	10-26 00:04
Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?	3	$59	52	52	+0	open	—	09-18 19:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$58	386	386	+0	Yes	-$2	06-07 12:54
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	6	$57	80	40	+40	No	-$2	10-26 18:56
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	8	$55	70	70	+0	open	—	10-26 00:04
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	4	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	10-20 22:55
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	4	$54	43	43	+0	open	—	09-18 19:12
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	4	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	-$5	10-26 09:25
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	7	$51	32	32	+0	Yes	+$1	06-07 17:11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	10	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	06-07 06:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	11	$49	46	46	+0	Yes	$0	06-07 08:55
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	5	$48	60	60	+0	open	—	10-23 12:30
Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?	4	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	10-23 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:25:57	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x8ba43a…
10-28 02:02:15	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x86e884…
10-27 20:28:48	White House press briefing room decommissioned by December 31?	No	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0x7038dd…
10-27 20:21:39	Will Labor win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x04bc6a…
10-27 15:00:26	Will Labor win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xf06199…
10-27 12:02:48	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x7f7b8e…
10-27 11:15:30	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x801ced…
10-27 10:50:44	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xe32282…
10-27 10:07:17	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x9961dd…
10-27 07:17:59	Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?	No	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x6f5888…
10-27 07:17:27	Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd797b0…
10-27 06:37:36	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x278172…
10-27 06:25:39	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x5e4b37…
10-27 04:41:48	Will Nicolás Maduro win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xbfac8e…
10-27 02:02:42	Will Nicolás Maduro win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8153b0…
10-27 02:00:59	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 60?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xd4255d…
10-27 02:00:59	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 60?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x854d7a…
10-26 21:07:06	white house press briefing room decommissioned by december 31	No	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0xf0b20d…
10-26 18:56:15	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x28ffb2…
10-26 18:50:29	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd05772…
10-26 17:25:29	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x314564…
10-26 17:21:51	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x3730ff…
10-26 14:41:26	Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x5f46b0…
10-26 14:41:24	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xbe5442…
10-26 13:28:06	Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x14fb21…
10-26 09:25:21	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf8b03a…
10-26 09:24:12	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xaf0c55…
10-26 09:20:38	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xa327b3…
10-26 09:20:18	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xa37bcb…
10-26 08:35:57	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xf8afef…
10-26 08:32:23	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x15f7a8…
10-26 06:12:08	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x5bd2b4…
10-26 06:08:02	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x85b70d…
10-26 04:53:45	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x80b7f9…
10-26 04:47:05	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x6726be…
10-26 04:40:44	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xcbca8c…
10-26 01:54:02	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x5e12c0…
10-26 01:47:27	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe1b4c7…
10-26 00:04:47	Will UKMTO publish 12-15 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xec677d…
10-26 00:04:47	Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xd3c8a3…
10-26 00:04:47	Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xcf9e13…
10-26 00:04:47	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xb11999…
10-26 00:04:47	Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x41e030…
10-26 00:04:47	Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x2d62bb…
10-23 17:19:27	Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x5187b1…
10-23 17:19:26	Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xbfe784…
10-23 17:15:09	Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x64bec0…
10-23 17:15:09	Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x29990f…
10-23 13:49:02	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xc06657…
10-23 13:44:27	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa93aea…
10-23 13:26:26	Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x4daf0b…
10-23 13:23:54	Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xcec585…
10-23 12:30:57	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xc8edb1…
10-23 12:29:06	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xbe7dad…
10-23 12:28:53	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe93371…
10-23 09:42:56	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x9f0d54…
10-23 09:41:23	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x338330…
10-23 09:36:02	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x96a77f…
10-23 09:14:45	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	SELL	29	60¢	$17	0xcd7559…
10-23 09:13:56	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd5d0d0…
10-23 09:04:20	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0x36f64f…
10-23 08:53:51	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x32838d…
10-23 08:49:00	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x2605dd…
10-23 08:11:56	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xf85d08…
10-23 06:59:39	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x4e3a21…
10-23 06:59:38	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc8c661…
10-23 06:21:42	Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x0c7a4c…
10-23 06:20:11	Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xf4a21e…
10-23 06:14:00	Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xf645b1…
10-23 00:47:48	Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x16d395…
10-23 00:40:56	Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5763d5…
10-23 00:40:18	Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x43f2e7…
10-22 23:30:27	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x334eb0…
10-22 22:28:38	will 230 or more ships transit the bab el mandeb strait between october 26 november 1	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe7ff5e…
10-22 21:54:48	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf3d1bf…
10-22 21:04:56	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between october 26 november 1	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x06dae7…
10-22 20:47:47	Will UKMTO publish 12-15 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xdaf918…
10-22 20:16:35	will ukmto publish 12 15 notices between october 26 november 1	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x1e3fd2…
10-22 19:53:15	Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x1d07e1…
10-22 16:20:32	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x30e862…
10-22 15:56:00	nato x russia military clash by november 15 2026	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xb02781…
10-22 10:54:59	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x8bb5f5…
10-22 10:47:29	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9ff264…
10-22 06:58:21	Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x25d36f…
10-22 06:47:41	Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x22b8ee…
10-22 06:44:11	Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x58b592…
10-22 05:49:01	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xf09b36…
10-22 05:37:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x756d10…
10-22 05:11:27	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x5c8a0f…
10-22 05:00:33	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x53507d…
10-22 00:51:23	Will AP call US Senate control by January 4, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x300baa…
10-22 00:49:56	Will AP call US Senate control by January 4, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x51dec4…
10-21 22:52:27	Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xd8278a…
10-21 22:09:44	Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xd2e9da…
10-21 06:44:09	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	Yes	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x6a07a8…
10-21 06:42:14	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x786fb7…
10-21 06:41:56	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0f9415…
10-21 03:42:17	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa3e028…
10-21 03:37:57	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa345ae…
10-21 01:24:23	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x499f1e…