Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
192
Trades
282
lifetime
Volume
$362
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$31
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-22 14:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
41% 73% +$1
Politics
41% 76% +$3
Sports
15% 66% -$2
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Crypto
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +29 $10 41¢ $12 +$2 10-18 16:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 09-22 10:35
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -11 -$2 14¢ $-2 +$0 10-18 16:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 09-08 14:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 08-16 11:59
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 08-26 08:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-16 09:45
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-26 12:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-20 16:30
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-22 10:32
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-16 12:00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 08-16 11:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 08-16 11:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 08-16 11:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 08-26 08:08
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 35¢ $1 $0 09-08 14:39
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -13 $1 2¢ $-0 -$1 07-07 22:13
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +2 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 08-19 12:05
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +1 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 06-28 12:30