Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

27.5%

Resolved

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$3.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$136

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-03

last 10-30 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

70% 50% -$3

Politics

26% 0% -$4

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+81	$67	83¢	$67	+$0	10-04 02:35
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	+50	$42	94¢	$47	+$5	10-11 18:52
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+80	$15	17¢	$14	-$1	10-04 02:35
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?	No	+5	$3	68¢	$3	+$0	10-10 05:16
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	+50	$9	6¢	$3	-$5	10-11 18:51
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+6	$4	32¢	$2	-$2	10-10 22:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	4	$104	201	0	+201	No	-$3	10-03 05:50
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	4	$82	161	0	+161	open	—	10-04 02:35
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	5	$82	120	20	+100	open	—	10-26 18:27
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	10-24 05:22
Will "Agapito" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	10-18 13:59
Will "Water Cooler" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	10-25 04:58
Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?	3	$74	47	47	+0	open	—	10-28 10:02
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	2	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	10-08 02:17
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	7	$56	60	58	+2	open	—	10-27 19:22
Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	2	$51	101	0	+101	open	—	10-04 12:26
Will Merritt Wever be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	10-24 13:03
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	2	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	10-11 18:52
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by powder snow?	2	$50	100	0	+100	No	+$0	10-08 19:08
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	10-04 13:32
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$46	90	0	+90	open	—	10-23 15:54
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	6	$42	78	20	+58	open	—	10-04 19:59
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?	5	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	10-21 08:52
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	2	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	10-27 17:01
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	2	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	10-25 12:55
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?	2	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	10-14 01:25
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027?	2	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	10-26 21:30
Will "Listen" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$34	50	50	+0	open	—	10-21 19:14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 16:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 0%-3%?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-11 01:12
general mills q2 organic net sales growth 0 to 1pt5	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 17:16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 3%-6%?	4	$31	61	0	+61	open	—	10-04 21:40
Will Junts win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-23 13:05
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$31	50	50	+0	open	—	10-20 18:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 10%-15%?	3	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 20:35
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 10%-15%?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 06:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:48:00	Will Ethan Klein livestream again on YouTube in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbd5b91…
10-30 17:34:49	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfd4394…
10-30 16:44:10	Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3165be…
10-30 15:11:06	Will DJ Khaled headline Coachella 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x132c53…
10-30 15:03:54	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x9338eb…
10-30 13:40:27	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x6be365…
10-30 12:27:22	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x078935…
10-30 08:39:15	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd51905…
10-30 07:43:46	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x683fc9…
10-30 07:43:46	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x568910…
10-30 03:52:24	Will the Republicans win Florida in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x10cfc8…
10-30 03:01:49	Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xe3b8c7…
10-29 23:34:52	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf6e949…
10-29 20:49:45	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x70489e…
10-29 20:49:43	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x521c2b…
10-29 19:15:28	Will Chase Infiniti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x01ac0e…
10-29 19:08:21	Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x8fc157…
10-29 17:34:47	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x82df97…
10-29 15:29:55	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x281ca2…
10-29 13:16:29	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x39c102…
10-29 13:07:23	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x3192d6…
10-29 12:38:44	Will the Democrats win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0xc302e1…
10-29 12:38:44	Will the Democrats win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x55d90f…
10-29 08:05:07	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x140452…
10-29 08:05:07	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0413a8…
10-29 07:00:17	Will the Democrats win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xceefd1…
10-29 07:00:17	Will the Democrats win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x95ac3f…
10-29 06:56:52	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	19	45¢	$8	0x43d0f6…
10-29 04:48:32	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x03e69b…
10-29 03:13:23	CISA emergency directive issued by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xf5172b…
10-29 02:55:07	Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf71054…
10-29 02:40:07	Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x30761c…
10-29 02:22:53	Will Amir Ohana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x58e2f5…
10-28 23:10:08	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xfdc6ea…
10-28 23:10:07	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0xf8cebb…
10-28 23:10:05	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xe19c32…
10-28 23:10:05	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x529960…
10-28 23:05:55	Will Heated Rivalry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0x2a7101…
10-28 20:57:46	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x901132…
10-28 20:57:46	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x466099…
10-28 20:09:38	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xd2a913…
10-28 17:48:49	CISA emergency directive issued by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x67a2b2…
10-28 13:05:44	Will Heated Rivalry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x01463d…
10-28 10:27:22	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x1f2d3e…
10-28 10:13:16	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2926a3…
10-28 10:02:17	Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?	Yes	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x751284…
10-28 08:26:59	Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?	Yes	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0xf352e5…
10-28 06:17:44	Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x9ed30e…
10-28 06:17:43	Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x6aa130…
10-28 05:20:58	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x019274…
10-28 02:33:17	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xdec2a1…
10-28 02:33:17	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	Yes	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x91624a…
10-28 02:02:15	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x86e884…
10-28 00:15:38	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0e94ef…
10-27 22:57:15	Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?	Yes	BUY	47	82¢	$38	0x7c4f83…
10-27 22:06:20	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x0fe8a1…
10-27 22:06:20	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x05cad9…
10-27 21:20:26	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4975d0…
10-27 19:22:44	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x40a4fe…
10-27 17:01:15	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x191d4d…
10-27 17:01:14	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xd014f7…
10-27 16:59:14	Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xfa82ce…
10-27 16:59:12	Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x0f01b2…
10-27 16:41:11	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0x1cf288…
10-27 16:38:53	Will Amir Ohana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xb375a3…
10-27 11:32:02	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbaf45f…
10-27 11:32:02	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x5358dc…
10-27 11:32:00	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa27d79…
10-27 09:03:45	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.02 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7a6ad8…
10-27 09:03:45	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.02 before 2027?	No	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x78a95c…
10-27 08:56:03	Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x9c3d0e…
10-27 05:01:53	Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xf12aa1…
10-27 05:01:51	Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xf23fca…
10-27 02:27:15	Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xbd67c4…
10-27 02:27:15	Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xb7151b…
10-27 01:55:39	Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x17ebdc…
10-27 01:30:32	Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xec539f…
10-26 21:30:42	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x2ffb7e…
10-26 19:01:50	Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xc79253…
10-26 18:27:53	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x2059cc…
10-26 17:55:12	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xddca33…
10-26 12:28:21	Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x655f4e…
10-26 11:38:08	Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x815602…
10-26 10:11:09	Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x575b89…
10-26 10:11:00	Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x83e921…
10-26 09:56:32	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xffd5cf…
10-26 09:27:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x375ce5…
10-26 06:09:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xfbc308…
10-26 06:09:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x09eee1…
10-26 02:37:35	California winter 2026-27 wetter or drier?	Drier	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x8ef409…
10-26 00:18:12	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb2a882…
10-25 22:51:03	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x70f1b5…
10-25 22:51:02	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcc96ae…
10-25 20:40:39	Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x2a4b3b…
10-25 19:47:33	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x7216e3…
10-25 12:55:14	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x9e4b97…
10-25 08:55:44	Will PP win 132-137 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$4	0xb9323a…
10-25 08:55:44	Will PP win 132-137 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x4583c3…
10-25 05:11:08	Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x9f13da…
10-25 04:58:20	Will "Water Cooler" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xe467c5…