Realized P&L (7d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$60
Hit rate
23.0%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
2
397 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3
$3.91K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$595
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-03
last 11-06 10:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
70% 40% -$12
Politics
26% 0% -$10
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +81 $67 88¢ $72 +$4 10-04 02:35
Will Merritt Wever be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +50 $39 80¢ $40 +$2 10-24 13:03
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $43 71¢ $36 -$8 10-26 18:27
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? Yes +40 $24 68¢ $27 +$4 10-27 17:01
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? No +29 $19 78¢ $22 +$3 10-03 22:13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 10%-15%? No +20 $15 100¢ $20 +$5 10-20 00:52
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +20 $18 97¢ $20 +$2 10-28 23:10
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? No +20 $9 96¢ $19 +$10 10-04 10:40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? Yes +20 $7 94¢ $19 +$12 10-03 23:11
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? No +20 $16 92¢ $18 +$2 10-23 15:27
Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $14 87¢ $18 +$4 10-04 00:52
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -1.6% and -0.8%? No +20 $16 88¢ $18 +$1 10-23 12:47
Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027? No +30 $17 58¢ $18 +$1 10-26 10:11
Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? No +20 $15 86¢ $17 +$2 10-10 07:44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 9%-12%? No +20 $16 86¢ $17 +$1 10-10 06:10
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 10-16 07:47
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026? No +20 $14 82¢ $16 +$2 10-09 21:44
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026? No +20 $18 81¢ $16 -$2 10-20 16:02
Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 10-23 17:11
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%? No +20 $15 78¢ $16 +$1 10-30 07:43
will ukraine re enter zakitne by december 31 2026 No +20 $10 76¢ $15 +$5 10-13 03:58
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? No +20 $17 74¢ $15 -$2 10-15 21:11
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? Yes +20 $5 73¢ $15 +$9 10-07 02:13
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? No +50 $10 29¢ $15 +$5 10-25 22:51
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? Yes +20 $13 68¢ $14 +$1 10-27 16:59
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $8 64¢ $13 +$5 10-03 21:51
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No +40 $17 32¢ $13 -$4 10-27 17:01
Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes +30 $14 42¢ $12 -$1 10-26 10:11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 5%-10%? No +20 $15 56¢ $11 -$3 10-07 08:12
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.02 before 2027? No +19 $14 57¢ $11 -$4 10-27 09:03