Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

137

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$257

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-12

last 11-01 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

70% 63% +$5

Other

26% 62% -$3

Sports

3% 100% +$6

Crypto

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump post cuba on truth social this week 20260605144225506	1	$4	11	+11	No	-$4	06-12 22:54
will trump post soccer on truth social this week 20260605144225492	1	$4	6	+6	No	+$2	06-12 23:18
will trump say nuke this week 20260605142537480	1	$4	5	+5	No	+$1	06-12 23:29
will trump say maduro this week 20260605142537489	1	$4	18	+18	No	-$4	06-12 23:24
Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?	1	$4	5	+5	No	+$1	06-13 20:01
will trump post cia or cptipta on truth social this week 20260605144225503	1	$4	5	+5	No	+$1	06-12 23:13
will trump say six seven this week 20260605142537476	1	$4	5	+5	No	+$1	06-12 23:00
will trump post ted or cruz on truth social this week 20260605144225493	1	$4	5	+5	No	+$1	06-13 16:52
will trump say warrior this week 20260605142537478	1	$4	5	+5	No	-$4	06-12 22:39
will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	1	$4	7	+7	No	+$4	06-12 20:54
Will Trump say "Table" this week?	1	$4	7	+7	No	+$4	06-13 19:44
will trump say memory this week 20260605142537477	1	$3	5	+5	No	+$2	06-13 20:11
will trump say danger this week 20260605142537491	1	$3	5	+5	No	+$2	06-13 20:22
Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	1	$3	6	+6	No	-$3	06-12 23:44
will trump say make america great again this week 20260605142537487	1	$3	7	+7	No	-$3	06-12 22:49
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-10 09:26
will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260623154045040	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	06-25 06:53
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 13:46
Will Delta Air Lines say "Lounge" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-08 23:46
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-08 23:37
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-30 13:30
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 15:17
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 14:55
will trump say birthday during june 24 rally 20260616194255607	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	06-23 01:40
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	10-30 16:25
Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-06 17:28
will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-26 03:43
Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-10 15:22
Will Trump say "Commencement" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	10-02 11:40
will trump say third world this week 20260622142828755	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	06-25 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:24:07	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x019cae…
11-01 08:04:43	Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x8f29ab…
11-01 07:39:36	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd0a279…
11-01 05:12:42	California Public Campaign Financing Proposition	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x678a91…
10-31 21:13:01	League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9d4a12…
10-31 00:57:58	Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x44c656…
10-31 00:06:55	Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc795c4…
10-30 23:48:18	Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfa0ce8…
10-30 16:56:15	Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd486ef…
10-30 16:44:57	Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1a6351…
10-30 16:25:09	Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa2c1d5…
10-30 16:09:15	Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x31ed16…
10-30 16:02:54	Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd743a6…
10-29 04:23:23	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9a8566…
10-28 12:53:17	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe2afcb…
10-28 12:04:01	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2c6a6f…
10-28 11:02:58	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" or "Kamala" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x98549c…
10-27 22:47:17	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0f54a9…
10-27 19:35:15	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x643c10…
10-23 08:32:59	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x31b875…
10-19 04:20:11	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xfa6a32…
10-19 04:10:12	Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x5b7c7e…
10-19 03:57:21	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x32ce1f…
10-19 03:49:47	Will Trump say "America First" or "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6f96ab…
10-18 22:14:29	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb64b8b…
10-18 22:10:00	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x381226…
10-18 21:32:17	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xbe177c…
10-17 14:58:44	Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $13.6B?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe080e4…
10-17 13:50:00	will trump say russia during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x3f46f0…
10-15 05:06:11	will trump say hell during his midterm rally in georgia october 16	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7985b7…
10-15 05:01:13	will trump say fentanyl during his midterm rally in georgia october 16	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc99db2…
10-15 04:39:40	will trump say transgender during his midterm rally in georgia october 16	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x377b4f…
10-13 22:29:01	trump approval rating at least 38pt4 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x1632d6…
10-13 22:20:37	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbfb234…
10-13 20:57:13	trump approval rating at least 38pt0 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xac886a…
10-12 23:43:24	will trump say transgender during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xddc1b5…
10-12 23:26:30	will trump say si during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc7661f…
10-11 19:14:57	Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x21abec…
10-11 19:10:24	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x261d6f…
10-11 19:06:21	Will BlackRock (BLK) Q3 quarterly total net inflows be above $225B?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x13184b…
10-10 21:30:09	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.4B?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x2f6ffc…
10-09 00:13:45	Will JD Vance say "Social Security" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x2b100b…
10-08 23:55:11	Will Trump say "Electricity" or "Electric" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xeb74d4…
10-08 23:46:05	Will Delta Air Lines say "Lounge" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xf26ccd…
10-08 23:41:23	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa0936b…
10-08 23:37:02	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x56ed2e…
10-08 23:32:41	Will Trump say "Micron" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2e2290…
10-06 17:28:38	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa34bfd…
10-05 16:31:43	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd310e5…
10-05 16:26:44	will trump say joe 10 during his midterm rally in nebraska october 5	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcb08d0…
10-05 11:34:53	Will Trump say "Omaha" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0fbdd6…
10-05 11:27:26	will trump say si 5 during his midterm rally in nebraska october 5	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x7491ab…
10-04 15:39:31	will levi strauss say ai during earnings call october 7	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x4b8264…
10-02 11:40:21	Will Trump say "Commencement" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf5dd8b…
10-02 11:24:21	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x547122…
10-02 11:15:38	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf7ffb5…
10-02 11:00:06	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8f77e5…
10-01 10:49:57	will trump say oil 5 times during his remarks at peterbilt motors company october 1	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc0a306…
10-01 10:38:23	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x15da09…
09-30 21:47:26	will trump say reagan during his rally in oklahoma october 1	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x7cc5f9…
09-28 19:29:06	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1bfbe2…
09-23 15:29:01	Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd6aae7…
09-23 14:49:40	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xf96166…
09-23 14:12:13	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4f6666…
09-23 13:26:08	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x547531…
09-22 13:57:52	Will Trump say "Moon" or "NASA" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x257ff3…
09-22 13:46:30	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x148f12…
09-22 13:34:45	Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x3bd652…
09-22 13:19:43	Will Trump say "Regime Change" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xda0f9d…
09-15 22:20:30	Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc0728e…
09-15 22:05:33	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe09695…
09-15 21:58:01	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc71ee8…
09-15 12:48:21	Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb6ab9d…
09-15 12:22:10	will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4ac1e0…
09-15 12:18:10	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc00fcc…
09-15 12:06:49	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd88b7e…
09-15 11:58:34	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2115cf…
09-10 15:40:09	Will Trump say "Democrat" during his remarks in Arlington?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x6fc562…
09-10 15:22:16	Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x424edb…
09-10 15:17:52	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x337171…
09-10 14:55:21	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xacea72…
09-10 14:51:07	will trump say hell 10 times during rnc convention september 10	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x8a915c…
09-10 09:30:27	Will Trump say "Education" during remarks at the Pentagon?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1a923b…
09-10 09:26:15	Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x17896b…
09-10 09:19:00	Will Trump say "Jet Fuel" during remarks at the Pentagon?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe5c69d…
09-10 09:14:58	Will Trump say "American Flag" during remarks at the Pentagon?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0a1ecc…
09-10 09:07:58	Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0205ef…
09-03 12:48:45	will trump insult mapquest this week	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe5cb8d…
09-03 12:33:06	Will Trump say "Who Are You" this week?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x92c374…
09-02 13:36:30	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x301774…
08-30 13:30:58	Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8258b9…
08-27 17:35:45	Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe12f16…
08-27 15:49:04	Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x593fe0…
08-27 15:09:06	Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x387d81…
08-27 14:52:57	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa4c72d…
08-27 10:57:45	Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xd9411b…
08-27 10:23:36	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3c83e9…
08-23 12:03:52	Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x49345c…
08-22 10:22:43	which cities face tornado risk on august 21 2026 indianapolis in	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9ba7c1…
07-30 16:01:29	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x9c1800…