Realized P&L
-$763
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
24.0%
Resolved
537
Trades
2,923
lifetime
Volume
$20.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$547
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-13
last 10-20 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
61% 18% -$477
Crypto
19% 61% -$85
Politics
14% 18% -$166
Tech
3% 25% -$34
Sports
2% 25% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +52 $43 100¢ $52 +$9 09-09 15:55
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +53 $42 87¢ $46 +$4 09-17 15:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No +36 $32 98¢ $35 +$2 09-07 07:42
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +46 $6 74¢ $34 +$28 09-10 18:21
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +43 $14 76¢ $33 +$18 08-31 13:18
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +33 $30 97¢ $32 +$2 10-19 17:13
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? No +34 $24 84¢ $29 +$5 10-05 18:56
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +30 $25 96¢ $29 +$4 09-23 06:27
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +29 $28 98¢ $28 +$0 09-24 11:38
will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923 No +49 $25 53¢ $26 +$1 08-13 11:05
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +30 $21 87¢ $26 +$5 09-28 23:35
will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027 No +33 $24 74¢ $25 +$0 10-12 20:14
will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923 Yes +49 $27 47¢ $23 -$4 08-13 09:37
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No +24 $23 93¢ $23 +$0 08-23 20:39
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +30 $18 76¢ $23 +$5 09-24 14:41
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +20 $13 99¢ $20 +$7 07-30 01:48
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +46 $41 26¢ $12 -$29 09-10 18:39
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $30 24¢ $10 -$19 08-31 12:30
will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027 Yes +33 $14 26¢ $8 -$6 10-13 00:16
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $18 24¢ $7 -$11 09-25 03:43
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +53 $13 13¢ $7 -$6 09-17 16:39
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +7 $6 97¢ $7 +$1 09-03 23:10
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +34 $10 16¢ $6 -$4 10-05 21:42
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $10 13¢ $4 -$6 09-28 22:45
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes +24 $3 7¢ $2 -$2 08-23 21:32
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +30 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 09-23 05:39
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +33 $3 3¢ $1 -$1 10-19 17:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +36 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 09-07 07:33
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +29 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-24 10:46
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +20 $8 1¢ $0 -$7 07-30 01:01