Realized P&L
+$849
Unrealized P&L
+$59
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
1,078
lifetime
Volume
$60.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$49.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
86% 91% +$0
Sports
7% 80% +$36
Politics
6% 71% +$812
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 492 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +22,222 $22,196 100¢ $22.2K -$7 10-26 18:58
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,232 $7,212 100¢ $7.2K +$2 10-26 20:45
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +6,043 $5,591 96¢ $5.8K +$186 10-26 21:00
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +5,215 $5,209 100¢ $5.2K +$0 10-26 19:42
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,460 $2,533 68¢ $2.3K -$193 10-26 21:46
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,503 $1,501 100¢ $1.5K +$1 10-26 14:34
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,078 $691 34¢ $696 +$5 10-26 19:16
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +581 $482 90¢ $526 +$45 10-25 03:45
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +445 $445 100¢ $445 $0 10-22 03:22
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +343 $336 98¢ $336 $0 10-26 12:14
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +319 $315 99¢ $315 -$1 10-24 00:33
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +273 $271 99¢ $272 +$1 10-26 02:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +266 $266 100¢ $266 +$0 10-26 14:50
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +248 $248 100¢ $248 $0 10-26 17:42
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +197 $196 100¢ $196 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +191 $189 99¢ $190 +$0 10-25 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +170 $162 99¢ $168 +$5 10-22 10:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +137 $137 100¢ $137 $0 10-25 22:07
Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +135 $134 100¢ $134 +$0 10-21 17:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +129 $124 94¢ $121 -$3 10-26 10:26
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +114 $114 97¢ $111 -$3 10-25 01:27
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +108 $108 100¢ $108 $0 10-21 03:25
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +102 $100 100¢ $102 +$2 10-22 10:54
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +100 $78 91¢ $91 +$13 10-25 01:37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +116 $104 69¢ $80 -$23 10-24 21:19
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $75 98¢ $75 $0 10-23 02:36
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 +$0 10-22 02:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +981 $39 7¢ $69 +$29 10-26 10:26
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +68 $68 100¢ $68 $0 10-22 05:47
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +60 $58 97¢ $59 +$0 10-20 21:07