Red-Bull — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$319

Unrealized P&L

-$77

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

276

Trades

1,274

lifetime

Volume

$205.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

$102

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-29 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

51% 51% -$1,336

Sports

47% 83% +$1,934

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$10

Crypto

1% 50% -$205

Politics

0% 53% -$84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		+500	$179	20¢	$102	-$77	09-24 10:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner	4	$16.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	Vitality	+$0	05-03 20:46
Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026?	1	$13.0K	13,133	0	+13,133	Yes	+$133	10-18 22:04
nba mia hou 2026 03 21	1	$10.4K	10,940	0	+10,940	Rockets	+$544	03-22 02:26
nba dal atl 2026 03 10 total 239pt5	1	$9.2K	9,277	0	+9,277	Under	+$93	03-11 01:53
nba ind orl 2026 03 23	1	$7.0K	7,009	0	+7,009	Pacers	+$9	03-24 01:36
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 total 215pt5	1	$6.3K	6,521	0	+6,521	Under	+$195	04-19 00:50
nba det cle 2026 03 03 total 227pt5	1	$5.0K	5,216	0	+5,216	Under	+$216	03-04 02:27
nba por den 2026 03 22 total 241pt5	1	$5.0K	5,011	0	+5,011	Under	+$11	03-22 23:11
cs2 mouz navi 2026 02 20 game2	2	$4.9K	2,469	2,469	+0	MOUZ	+$4	02-20 14:06
cs2 mglz b8 2026 02 16 game1	2	$4.8K	2,465	2,465	+0	TheMongolz	+$126	02-16 13:03
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	2	$4.2K	2,121	2,121	+0	Lakers	+$14	02-13 05:17
cs2 furia mglz 2026 02 20 game2	4	$3.8K	3,290	3,290	+0	FURIA	-$2,043	02-20 20:38
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 03 22 total games 2pt5	1	$3.8K	3,804	0	+3,804	Under	+$4	03-22 22:05
nba lac min 2026 02 08	2	$3.7K	2,490	2,490	+0	Clippers	+$506	02-08 21:50
cs2 fal2 navi 2026 03 20 total games 2pt5	1	$3.6K	3,649	0	+3,649	Over	+$4	03-20 19:36
cs2 mouz hero 2026 03 06 total games 2pt5	1	$3.5K	3,493	0	+3,493	Over	+$3	03-06 20:51
Celtics vs. 76ers	17	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Celtics	+$80	04-25 01:35
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	2	$3.0K	1,512	1,512	+0	No	+$3	10-02 03:30
nba orl tor 2026 03 29 total 226pt5	1	$3.0K	3,055	0	+3,055	Under	+$55	03-30 00:23
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	1	$3.0K	3,005	0	+3,005	Yes	+$5	04-27 23:16
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	46	$2.8K	1,503	1,694	-191	open	—	08-21 14:14
nba was bkn 2026 04 05 total 230pt5	1	$2.4K	2,515	0	+2,515	Over	+$75	04-05 22:04
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	1	$2.3K	2,343	0	+2,343	Yes	+$2	04-22 22:03
will jalen duren win the 2026 nba all star game mvp 571	1	$2.1K	2,149	0	+2,149	No	+$2	02-16 01:04
will keshad johnson win the 2026 nba dunk contest	1	$2.1K	2,330	0	+2,330	Yes	+$218	02-15 00:45
nba cle okc 2026 02 22	2	$2.1K	1,105	1,105	+0	Thunder	+$15	02-22 20:27
will fallen win a s tier event before june 30	1	$2.1K	2,058	0	+2,058	No	+$2	06-29 07:22
Lakers vs. Rockets	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Lakers	+$2	04-25 03:01
cs2 mouz navi 2026 02 20	1	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	MOUZ	+$40	02-20 14:57
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	04-28 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:16:11	Will Legacy Make a Roster Change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	634	100¢	$632	0xec7c8f…
10-29 12:59:55	Will Natus Vincere Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x9500df…
10-27 20:40:27	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x5acbbf…
10-27 20:39:44	Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	688	16¢	$109	0x323bbf…
10-27 18:48:45	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xa53b59…
10-26 23:30:32	Will insani leave MIBR before 2027?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x651c21…
10-26 22:38:56	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1a0380…
10-26 09:46:47	Will insani leave MIBR before 2027?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6dd36d…
10-25 21:44:36	Will insani leave MIBR before 2027?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x84d64b…
10-25 11:44:12	Will insani leave MIBR before 2027?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd8cbbf…
10-25 09:31:18	Will insani leave MIBR before 2027?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x58dc69…
10-24 19:23:47	Will Natus Vincere Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	911	5¢	$50	0x3c3007…
10-18 22:04:02	Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,133	99¢	$13,000	0x608453…
10-16 09:07:25	Will Falcons Win the Thunderpick World Championship 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x484549…
10-16 06:37:27	Will Falcons Win the Thunderpick World Championship 2026?	Yes	BUY	508	47¢	$240	0x7d3b4a…
10-15 21:24:50	Will Legacy Win the Thunderpick World Championship 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0xe13d81…
10-15 10:45:24	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x27d69c…
10-15 10:45:24	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x029795…
10-15 10:42:05	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	52	85¢	$44	0x2f36da…
10-12 18:57:56	Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x008e50…
10-12 18:51:54	Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0xbd73df…
10-12 11:02:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0xceb7f3…
10-11 19:37:54	Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0xb9799d…
10-11 18:27:51	Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x8a8539…
10-11 18:22:46	Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	460	22¢	$100	0x15af78…
10-09 21:10:05	Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	BUY	106	28¢	$30	0xf39a1b…
10-08 13:57:54	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	SELL	205	55¢	$113	0xce8339…
10-07 22:21:52	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	205	50¢	$103	0x9823df…
10-06 20:40:20	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xcc6113…
10-04 17:32:58	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Natus Vincere	BUY	324	15¢	$50	0x021af2…
10-03 19:36:57	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xe7e832…
10-03 03:35:32	Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xf4cae5…
10-02 07:32:29	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	345	4¢	$15	0x12c9e0…
10-02 03:30:02	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	No	SELL	1,512	99¢	$1,503	0xfe6a4f…
10-01 23:59:32	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	101	84¢	$85	0x2ee1cb…
10-01 19:04:20	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1639e3…
10-01 19:03:29	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x2557e8…
10-01 17:42:36	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x98b4a5…
10-01 16:44:59	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	46	88¢	$40	0x9da24b…
10-01 16:35:12	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	153	88¢	$135	0xd22758…
10-01 15:48:20	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xe638c6…
10-01 15:47:59	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	26	56¢	$14	0xbf17e1…
10-01 15:44:45	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x2f3cc1…
10-01 15:16:06	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x23143d…
10-01 14:47:48	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xa65934…
10-01 14:47:48	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2efbd8…
10-01 14:46:05	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xad2575…
10-01 10:35:50	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x03dbea…
10-01 08:54:24	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x18e168…
10-01 08:50:47	over 50m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	49	83¢	$40	0x8e5f5e…
10-01 08:06:56	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1d9294…
10-01 07:39:56	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	62	47¢	$29	0x66a15e…
10-01 06:51:17	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd3c028…
10-01 06:50:06	over 50m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x9c1185…
10-01 06:41:39	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x37fcaa…
10-01 06:36:41	over 50m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xe36b70…
09-30 19:49:20	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	140	37¢	$52	0x1f9d60…
09-30 19:25:06	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x279b54…
09-30 19:23:29	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x510999…
09-30 19:13:57	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x42286e…
09-30 19:13:51	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd78c99…
09-30 16:09:20	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xa55265…
09-30 16:05:11	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	45	34¢	$15	0x2318b7…
09-30 16:03:59	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	48	34¢	$16	0x453405…
09-30 15:47:39	over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	106	33¢	$35	0x6fa401…
09-26 03:20:27	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	No	BUY	1,512	99¢	$1,500	0x552110…
09-24 10:34:42	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	36¢	$179	0xbe06ae…
09-23 13:22:22	Will broky join a team before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x68e1f3…
09-23 12:07:17	Will broky join a team before 2027?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x575a4f…
09-23 07:47:29	will broky join a team before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x2bd860…
09-23 05:33:41	will broky join a team before 2027	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x31fb78…
09-21 00:47:34	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x341dc4…
09-19 11:56:21	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	SELL	118	24¢	$28	0xc93749…
09-18 19:54:19	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x2b1f81…
09-18 11:43:16	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x256bd8…
09-18 11:43:15	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xfb0e81…
09-17 19:46:43	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xd576b3…
09-12 06:24:04	Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x04838f…
09-11 08:35:06	cs2 b8 ice 2026 09 11 game1	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	417	7¢	$30	0xbaa74c…
09-10 11:09:34	Will Legacy Win the FISSURE Playground 3?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xed8678…
09-10 09:21:04	Will Legacy Win the FISSURE Playground 3?	Yes	BUY	451	33¢	$150	0x1cc937…
09-10 02:27:04	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	425	15¢	$64	0xfbf575…
09-09 21:38:55	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x364213…
09-09 21:35:10	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0xe88da4…
09-09 21:23:33	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc8b2dd…
09-09 21:11:55	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x7f3cf8…
09-09 21:11:28	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0x7edc2a…
09-09 21:10:43	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	305	21¢	$64	0xc3e0b4…
09-09 21:10:10	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	SELL	110	28¢	$31	0xaba092…
09-09 20:52:24	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x44e1aa…
09-09 20:51:48	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	468	28¢	$131	0xd49839…
09-09 20:24:18	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x6c0b65…
09-09 20:15:13	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xbdc2f0…
09-09 20:06:09	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x184e04…
09-09 20:04:33	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xcad4f2…
09-09 19:58:42	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xee9e4f…
09-09 19:58:09	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf50901…
09-09 19:56:25	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xcbb830…
09-09 19:52:39	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x3e1593…
09-09 19:49:36	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xfce1f0…