Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$389

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

711

Trades

1,394

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$88

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-03 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

62% 66% -$311

Politics

33% 60% -$156

Tech

2% 90% +$62

Crypto

2% 88% -$13

Sports

1% 29% +$29

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 225 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	+64	$26	48¢	$31	+$5	09-07 17:27
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	+56	$26	34¢	$19	-$7	09-08 11:32
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	+40	$24	34¢	$14	-$11	09-22 03:45
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	+26	$14	50¢	$13	-$1	10-31 23:55
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+19	$11	64¢	$12	+$1	08-25 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	2	$101	76	76	+0	Yes	+$50	10-29 14:23
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$85	57	57	+0	No	+$29	10-31 06:25
Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	2	$77	54	54	+0	Yes	+$26	10-29 14:24
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?	4	$74	96	96	+0	open	—	10-29 14:23
Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?	2	$72	47	47	+0	Yes	+$20	10-29 14:24
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?	2	$68	51	51	+0	open	—	09-14 13:47
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in August?	6	$62	36	36	+0	No	-$1	08-24 21:30
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	2	$61	154	154	+0	Yes	+$3	09-07 13:49
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	4	$61	76	50	+26	open	—	09-17 13:48
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	4	$60	87	87	+0	open	—	09-16 17:21
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	7	$59	44	30	+13	Yes	+$5	10-08 11:26
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	3	$59	38	38	+0	No	+$12	10-29 14:23
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	2	$59	40	40	+0	Yes	+$9	10-29 14:23
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	3	$54	98	98	+0	open	—	10-01 19:49
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	4	$53	53	53	+0	open	—	10-01 11:21
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	3	$53	44	44	+0	open	—	10-29 14:23
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$52	34	34	+0	No	+$15	10-29 14:23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by August 31, 2026?	5	$51	34	22	+12	No	+$0	08-24 20:30
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	3	$51	95	32	+63	open	—	10-04 20:09
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	3	$51	88	88	+0	No	-$5	09-10 02:41
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	2	$50	68	68	+0	open	—	09-15 23:16
Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in August 2026?	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	08-26 23:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$49	53	53	+0	open	—	09-15 23:17
Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?	2	$49	61	61	+0	Yes	-$2	09-16 17:21
Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?	2	$49	44	44	+0	No	-$1	10-04 18:42
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	3	$48	39	39	+0	open	—	10-29 14:23
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	4	$48	72	72	+0	No	-$4	09-16 17:21
Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?	2	$48	61	61	+0	Yes	-$4	09-21 15:51
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	4	$47	58	58	+0	Yes	-$5	10-01 01:35
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	4	$47	73	73	+0	No	-$26	09-15 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 23:21:49	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?	Yes	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0xeb058e…
11-03 09:27:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-08 House election by 65% or more?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xfbd0d1…
11-03 00:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 3?	No	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xf756eb…
11-03 00:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 3?	No	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x7b3cf7…
11-03 00:07:09	Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcd713d…
11-02 16:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x8dcf36…
11-02 16:52:10	Will Williams (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0x42a04c…
11-02 08:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc44b69…
11-01 10:36:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$10	0xc51f64…
11-01 09:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 2?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xdfbfc5…
11-01 09:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x97cf60…
11-01 09:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 2?	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x9158bf…
11-01 08:09:07	Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x232e18…
11-01 07:40:04	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$15	0x0d3cec…
11-01 05:40:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$10	0xb8dfab…
10-31 23:55:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?	No	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0xdfa8d9…
10-31 23:55:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$14	0xacc8d7…
10-31 23:26:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x8d43cc…
10-31 22:07:07	AWS service disrupted by October 31?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xc9efc5…
10-31 20:50:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x4a9b35…
10-31 20:36:42	Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc00300…
10-31 20:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbbbc2d…
10-31 20:25:01	Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x90652f…
10-31 20:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaef7df…
10-31 19:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	No	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0x7549c2…
10-31 18:41:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x537b93…
10-31 18:41:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x4eace9…
10-31 08:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x3f06e1…
10-31 08:06:13	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0x9f9952…
10-31 08:06:10	Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xdb0e90…
10-31 08:06:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	BUY	42	37¢	$16	0xbc558c…
10-31 08:06:04	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?	Yes	BUY	49	32¢	$16	0xf03938…
10-31 08:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x67b51f…
10-31 08:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x7428af…
10-31 08:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	42	37¢	$16	0x9d5149…
10-31 06:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x0582f0…
10-31 06:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0x660d29…
10-31 06:25:12	Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?	Yes	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0xee0854…
10-31 06:25:09	Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0x2cb572…
10-31 06:25:07	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x675848…
10-31 04:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x5bf649…
10-31 04:42:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x0a7a79…
10-31 03:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5a3b71…
10-31 03:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0xc0ab22…
10-30 18:00:01	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x671fd1…
10-30 18:00:00	Will Trump say "Beautiful" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	24	64¢	$16	0x5a9ff3…
10-30 17:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x59a322…
10-30 17:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x2fcf84…
10-30 15:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x9cae76…
10-30 15:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 31?	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x713204…
10-30 09:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x5e61d1…
10-30 09:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 30?	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xbbb339…
10-30 09:31:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x308eca…
10-30 06:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0xdf69f4…
10-29 14:24:19	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x4c1bca…
10-29 14:24:14	Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xbad764…
10-29 14:24:08	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x7087d3…
10-29 14:24:02	Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0xb3c051…
10-29 14:23:55	Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	44	63¢	$28	0x9c094c…
10-29 14:23:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	23	80¢	$19	0x8a70f8…
10-29 14:23:43	Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x957e2d…
10-29 14:23:38	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	39	76¢	$30	0xbb564d…
10-29 14:23:34	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	92¢	$35	0x9ca48e…
10-29 14:23:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?	Yes	SELL	96	46¢	$44	0x3ce06f…
10-29 14:23:17	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x87984b…
10-29 14:23:10	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xb5d146…
10-29 14:23:04	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xdad30a…
10-29 13:03:46	GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe5f62d…
10-29 13:03:46	GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x8e37df…
10-29 09:54:22	Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x59384d…
10-29 00:35:32	Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0x7d7cc6…
10-22 20:23:26	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	18¢	$7	0xee8cb3…
10-08 11:26:48	Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc5195c…
10-08 11:12:54	Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xbb120f…
10-08 11:12:11	Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x9839fb…
10-08 11:10:44	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xe136a5…
10-08 11:09:36	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3ec82a…
10-08 11:04:41	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf811ef…
10-06 00:23:52	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0xaf6566…
10-05 02:24:17	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0x12b7c7…
10-04 20:09:41	Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0x87b883…
10-04 18:42:40	Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?	No	SELL	44	55¢	$24	0x1e1a9f…
10-04 11:58:14	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x4c8b87…
10-04 01:19:08	Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x33657c…
10-03 23:45:43	Will Wellington Fagundes win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xf0f3fa…
10-03 04:12:03	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x267cb5…
10-01 22:52:54	Will Fufuca win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	BUY	49	34¢	$17	0x77296d…
10-01 22:51:23	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0x56ca0a…
10-01 22:46:53	Will Jay Lundgren win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xdb00b3…
10-01 20:15:09	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?	Yes	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0xe4e9ae…
10-01 19:50:17	Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	SELL	48	26¢	$12	0xd5ce16…
10-01 19:49:57	Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	57	28¢	$16	0x19a3b3…
10-01 19:49:36	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	SELL	98	28¢	$27	0x483f6d…
10-01 19:10:56	Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0x8b54ee…
10-01 19:04:00	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x80cb54…
10-01 15:59:27	Will Marie-Claude Sarrazin win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$21	0x65693c…
10-01 12:35:17	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	SELL	38	59¢	$22	0x6cb1dc…
10-01 11:54:24	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0xeb60c1…
10-01 11:54:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x07104e…
10-01 11:54:18	Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x210370…