Considerate-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.02K

Unrealized P&L

-$155

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$41.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$258

Open exposure

$1.55K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-28 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

99% 39% +$6,231

Crypto

1% 46% -$49

Other

0% 50% -$81

Sports

0% 0% -$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+8,830	$1,700	18¢	$1.5K	-$155	10-28 14:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$14.2K	9,441	9,441	+0	Yes	+$3,186	04-05 02:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$7.6K	5,936	5,936	+0	No	+$1,206	05-27 02:04
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$7.4K	4,482	4,482	+0	No	+$1,436	04-16 01:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$2.6K	5,112	5,112	+0	open	—	10-28 01:53
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$2.6K	1,698	1,698	+0	No	+$622	04-22 14:35
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,563	1,563	+0	Yes	+$1,006	02-28 07:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$1.7K	8,830	0	+8,830	open	—	10-28 14:59
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$1000	1,637	0	+1,637	Yes	-$1,000	04-27 11:50
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$652	538	538	+0	Yes	+$422	02-28 07:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$427	745	745	+0	No	-$373	05-27 02:04
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$178	138	138	+0	Yes	+$98	02-28 07:56
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$162	1,992	1,992	+0	open	—	06-18 12:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$115	734	734	+0	No	-$113	05-27 02:04
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	3	$108	160	160	+0	No	-$12	03-28 17:16
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$100	500	0	+500	No	-$100	03-09 19:46
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$99	354	0	+354	No	-$99	05-12 05:10
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$55	500	0	+500	No	-$55	02-22 16:00
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$50	556	0	+556	No	-$50	02-22 11:07
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$47	34	34	+0	Yes	+$19	03-06 19:13
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	310	0	+310	No	-$40	06-18 12:14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	216	0	+216	No	-$40	06-18 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:00 UTC	4	$27	22	21	+0	Down	+$1	03-10 17:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$20	69	0	+69	No	-$20	03-04 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 11:10 UTC	4	$20	21	3	+18	Up	-$14	04-03 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:05 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	03-08 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:20 UTC	2	$12	26	0	+26	Down	-$12	03-10 17:24
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$12	77	77	+0	No	-$8	03-14 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:50 UTC	2	$11	8	7	+0	Down	+$3	03-08 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	3	$11	9	5	+4	Down	-$1	03-10 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$11	21	0	+21	Down	-$11	04-30 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:59:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	20¢	$1,000	0x068bb1…
10-28 02:31:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0xa04903…
10-28 01:53:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,112	32¢	$1,629	0x755c3f…
06-18 12:14:32	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	310	13¢	$40	0xbe1a00…
06-18 12:10:16	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	216	18¢	$40	0x3674a7…
06-18 12:07:13	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,992	4¢	$82	0x6c1fd7…
06-03 09:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb099b6…
06-03 09:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2f36f7…
06-03 09:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1cce7d…
06-01 14:40:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,778	18¢	$500	0x8e9a6d…
05-30 08:10:32	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,992	4¢	$80	0x54df7c…
05-30 05:23:58	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5,112	20¢	$1,000	0xea3fca…
05-27 02:04:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	734	0¢	$1	0xd1d520…
05-27 02:04:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	745	4¢	$27	0xa8d755…
05-27 02:04:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	701	13¢	$88	0xb719cc…
05-23 23:13:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	734	16¢	$114	0xe28385…
05-23 10:22:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	701	62¢	$435	0x11b596…
05-23 10:22:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	745	54¢	$400	0xbac3b2…
05-22 21:40:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5,235	82¢	$4,302	0x44ccd9…
05-12 05:10:17	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	354	28¢	$99	0xd65383…
05-05 04:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x11717a…
05-05 04:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x99bc7b…
05-04 19:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x801e2d…
05-04 19:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf0cde5…
05-04 19:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb8ec42…
05-04 18:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf8603d…
05-04 18:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x199ac5…
05-04 18:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x1bc2c9…
05-04 18:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x50fbf8…
05-04 10:53:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,839	46¢	$850	0x44e41e…
05-04 10:29:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,396	56¢	$1,900	0xc09cfb…
04-30 15:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x35bb26…
04-30 15:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xad002d…
04-30 15:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x083ce5…
04-30 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x422571…
04-27 11:50:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,637	61¢	$1,000	0xffbe10…
04-22 14:35:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	1,698	95¢	$1,612	0x389294…
04-20 17:26:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0ef85e…
04-20 17:21:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5dabcc…
04-20 17:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbceffa…
04-20 17:17:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbc69de…
04-20 11:29:56	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	1,698	58¢	$990	0xf88a13…
04-16 01:54:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	4,482	98¢	$4,406	0x52e172…
04-15 14:00:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	1,875	53¢	$990	0xe51803…
04-11 07:59:09	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	2,607	76¢	$1,980	0x756de5…
04-05 02:36:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9,441	92¢	$8,686	0x07ec50…
04-03 17:58:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xffc1f0…
04-03 11:15:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdeb52a…
04-03 11:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x88d229…
04-03 11:12:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3d4d6c…
04-03 11:10:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5cb0fc…
04-03 11:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfa7642…
03-28 17:16:53	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	160	30¢	$48	0xbccf0c…
03-28 09:18:45	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x2b671f…
03-25 16:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x91bc26…
03-25 16:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd216c0…
03-24 17:30:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9,441	58¢	$5,500	0xf69630…
03-14 16:05:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfef600…
03-14 16:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xff2456…
03-14 16:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbf9b80…
03-14 15:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcc2679…
03-14 15:58:45	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0x298c83…
03-10 17:24:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xba7e1c…
03-10 17:20:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd6def1…
03-10 17:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe54f57…
03-10 17:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x96e076…
03-10 17:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x88a9c0…
03-10 17:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x37cc8d…
03-10 17:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0x42504e…
03-10 17:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x322a30…
03-10 17:03:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x2d057c…
03-10 16:59:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x94e022…
03-10 16:55:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6c5a05…
03-10 16:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5ce869…
03-10 16:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5d9c68…
03-10 16:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xba47f1…
03-10 16:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x385071…
03-10 15:55:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8babf8…
03-10 15:52:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x390472…
03-10 15:50:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x10c308…
03-10 15:48:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x289eb6…
03-10 15:45:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x11cbec…
03-10 15:21:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1093d5…
03-10 15:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe214cb…
03-10 15:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x696dc1…
03-10 15:06:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc4ea6a…
03-10 15:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb4a0f2…
03-10 15:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xeb8f1f…
03-10 14:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x36adcc…
03-10 14:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1db7a6…
03-10 14:11:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x50e274…
03-10 11:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb26be2…
03-09 19:46:09	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x819a77…
03-08 13:09:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5baac9…
03-08 13:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x54c8f8…
03-08 13:06:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x187342…
03-08 13:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfb2659…
03-08 13:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3aea2d…
03-08 13:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa10674…
03-08 13:03:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x407c75…