Realized P&L
+$4.26K
Unrealized P&L
-$421
Hit rate
46.7%
Resolved
290
Trades
1,808
lifetime
Volume
$104.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$16.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-25 13:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Sports
44% 25% +$4,171
Politics
28% 28% -$1,187
Other
26% 24% +$1,243
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$16
Crypto
0% 40% -$20
Tech
0% 100% +$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -29,490 -$2,605 9¢ $-2757 -$153 10-14 05:06
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +17,583 $1,550 12¢ $2.0K +$472 09-24 13:25
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +16,234 $1,250 10¢ $1.6K +$390 09-24 13:23
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +13,600 $952 8¢ $1.0K +$68 09-04 13:55
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +19,186 $1,297 5¢ $988 -$309 09-24 13:23
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +2,566 $1,001 38¢ $962 -$39 09-23 07:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,700 $1,417 34¢ $904 -$512 10-25 13:28
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes -1,218 -$803 58¢ $-713 +$90 08-01 22:03
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +14,571 $660 5¢ $685 +$25 09-27 20:12
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,100 $868 26¢ $536 -$332 08-27 22:39
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +825 $520 62¢ $508 -$12 10-25 13:29
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +504 $46 97¢ $489 +$443 07-28 05:36
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +22,300 $223 2¢ $457 +$234 08-20 17:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +524 $360 68¢ $359 -$1 10-25 13:29
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9,321 $160 3¢ $266 +$106 10-16 04:51
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,605 $258 4¢ $261 +$3 08-17 22:45
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -3,432 -$515 8¢ $-257 +$257 07-28 05:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +759 $220 26¢ $201 -$19 09-29 19:48
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -1,677 -$288 11¢ $-176 +$112 09-29 19:56
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +16,350 $131 1¢ $172 +$41 05-23 15:27
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +467 $140 32¢ $147 +$7 10-16 04:49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,374 $185 10¢ $135 -$50 05-22 23:16
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +18,158 $102 1¢ $118 +$16 10-17 08:46
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,869 $115 2¢ $102 -$13 09-29 20:03
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15,200 $167 1¢ $99 -$68 08-25 15:36
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10,000 -$100 1¢ $-90 +$10 05-10 13:49
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +24,820 $1,108 0¢ $62 -$1,046 08-17 08:21
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +898 $114 4¢ $35 -$79 07-31 19:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,051 $15 1¢ $15 $0 10-25 13:30
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +9,526 $76 0¢ $14 -$62 08-20 07:43