Intentional-Slate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$733

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

165

Trades

383

lifetime

Volume

$35.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-28 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Politics

92% 58% -$885

Other

8% 59% +$152

Crypto

0% 82% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$2.9K	1,468	1,468	+0	No	+$41	02-13 12:18
will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	2	$2.8K	1,615	1,615	+0	No	+$390	02-04 08:34
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	15	$1.9K	1,128	1,128	+0	Yes	+$387	01-30 12:26
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$1.7K	1,710	0	+1,710	No	+$26	02-08 07:21
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	6	$1.6K	1,684	0	+1,684	No	+$81	02-06 07:18
will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	4	$1.6K	907	907	+0	No	+$113	01-30 11:14
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	12	$1.4K	790	790	+0	No	+$90	01-19 03:42
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	4	$1.4K	718	718	+0	No	+$46	01-24 08:58
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$1.3K	1,631	0	+1,631	Yes	-$1,321	02-18 08:56
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	3	$1.3K	1,321	0	+1,321	No	+$15	02-17 12:13
israel strikes iran by january 24 2026	2	$1.2K	635	635	+0	No	+$20	01-25 06:16
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$1.2K	1,217	0	+1,217	No	+$13	02-14 20:07
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	5	$1.1K	568	568	+0	No	+$31	02-01 11:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$642	343	343	+0	Yes	+$30	05-26 04:46
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	33	$619	2,575	272	+2,303	Yes	-$165	02-14 06:42
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	2	$618	318	318	+0	No	+$18	01-31 05:33
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$618	668	0	+668	No	+$50	01-31 05:40
will israel strike gaza on january 26 2026	1	$605	630	0	+630	No	+$25	01-27 06:53
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	5	$499	419	105	+314	No	+$23	01-17 05:04
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	2	$476	259	259	+0	No	+$36	10-26 13:16
will israel strike gaza on february 11 2026	4	$443	229	229	+0	No	+$14	02-13 03:03
usisrael strike yemen by march 7	6	$406	209	209	+0	No	+$8	03-08 10:59
will netanyahu wear a yarmulke at next meeting with trump	5	$405	211	211	+0	No	+$5	02-11 19:57
spx opens up or down on february 10 2026	3	$394	403	0	+403	Up	+$9	02-10 14:23
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$386	197	197	+0	No	+$3	03-24 11:41
will iran strike israel on march 6	5	$371	196	196	+0	No	+$8	03-10 20:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	5	$369	206	206	+0	No	+$13	03-18 08:51
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	7	$328	178	178	+0	No	-$3	03-15 20:28
will israel strike lebanon on january 18 2026	5	$312	175	175	+0	No	+$16	01-19 03:43
will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026	2	$234	138	138	+0	No	+$33	01-22 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:33:38	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	60	58¢	$34	0x80a8b7…
10-28 05:57:43	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	63	4¢	$2	0x4c873e…
10-28 04:23:29	Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	124	92¢	$115	0x01a875…
10-28 04:23:10	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x7943f2…
10-26 18:44:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x304505…
10-26 18:43:33	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xc24157…
10-26 18:07:26	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x6d684b…
10-26 18:02:35	Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0x109c66…
10-26 17:45:11	Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?	No	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0xaa1d64…
10-26 13:16:23	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	259	99¢	$256	0xf74a8b…
10-19 18:43:54	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	259	85¢	$220	0xc6faba…
09-27 11:09:57	Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x70f703…
08-21 11:50:15	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3d1368…
08-18 18:38:39	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	No	SELL	31	54¢	$17	0xf54921…
08-18 16:59:57	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x243f9a…
08-02 18:58:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe274db…
07-29 18:26:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xee031b…
06-18 09:54:05	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3debc2…
06-18 09:53:35	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x55e6ad…
06-18 09:53:28	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa86960…
06-18 09:53:13	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1b9b66…
06-17 08:28:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa29b5d…
06-16 07:17:09	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd81d0f…
06-16 07:16:34	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3f8db2…
06-16 07:16:19	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9381ad…
06-16 07:16:12	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd16a3c…
06-16 07:15:49	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9baf8a…
06-16 07:15:33	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xba893f…
06-16 07:15:22	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5c16ef…
06-14 14:41:03	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	1,064	9¢	$100	0x5c4579…
06-14 11:53:25	Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x97c1cb…
06-14 08:08:37	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0ee8db…
06-14 08:08:00	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x96dcec…
06-14 08:07:40	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd58d3e…
06-13 08:27:33	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd637f7…
06-13 08:25:42	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd3e888…
06-13 08:25:22	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x09e296…
06-13 08:25:07	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6129bb…
06-13 08:22:39	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9a9982…
06-13 08:21:54	Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9ebab3…
06-13 08:20:40	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8974f3…
06-13 08:11:51	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcba5e5…
06-12 19:32:18	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb6a31f…
06-12 19:29:39	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x982944…
06-08 09:45:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0xe921ba…
06-08 04:06:30	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xe09b27…
06-07 19:35:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x0c582e…
06-07 19:31:22	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x0a51d2…
05-28 05:30:17	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xe1905d…
05-28 03:39:17	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xe72a40…
05-27 15:25:28	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xf4b113…
05-27 15:14:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x8fdc2e…
05-26 11:34:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	109	93¢	$101	0xad3196…
05-26 04:46:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	343	98¢	$336	0xa0f488…
05-24 03:53:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0x78e598…
05-23 08:21:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x182495…
05-23 07:55:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x887e27…
05-20 11:25:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x477e22…
05-20 11:07:34	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc4d5b5…
05-16 19:32:54	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x62b959…
05-16 15:04:17	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9d9a4c…
05-12 08:34:19	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xa8da06…
05-10 14:33:10	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	130	71¢	$93	0x74bc86…
05-07 10:39:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	18¢	$27	0x7a9d25…
05-06 08:47:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0x05316a…
04-19 13:16:34	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x9f9fa7…
04-19 13:08:02	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x6ac0c8…
04-17 15:03:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x272df0…
04-17 09:45:56	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb92174…
04-17 09:44:58	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8af028…
04-17 09:41:52	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 17?	No	BUY	121	97¢	$117	0x08e018…
04-17 09:40:40	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 17?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xbdde8e…
04-16 18:29:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x704c90…
04-16 17:08:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x02642a…
04-16 15:53:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x549a02…
04-16 15:48:54	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xfc9313…
04-16 12:29:10	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x364bca…
04-16 12:24:06	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xcfe2a1…
04-16 11:35:04	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x49a35b…
04-09 18:17:45	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	23¢	$47	0x77267e…
04-09 16:11:31	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xaf1e20…
04-09 05:57:13	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x6371e6…
04-06 11:17:09	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x98aa54…
04-06 09:05:21	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xd48eaa…
04-06 08:27:05	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x38176c…
04-06 07:15:01	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?	No	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xcb3440…
04-05 14:56:15	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x438e0c…
04-05 04:57:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x5490e2…
04-04 18:36:39	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xb54f78…
04-04 04:45:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xb1bde8…
04-03 08:27:15	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xc74f76…
04-03 05:24:09	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xdaff5f…
04-02 20:33:13	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x30efe8…
04-02 14:56:05	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x45b2e7…
04-02 14:49:33	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xee31bf…
04-02 14:47:01	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x5c91dc…
04-02 06:18:03	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x892172…
04-02 05:53:49	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x88eb3a…
04-01 12:33:57	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	No	SELL	181	1¢	$1	0xc761d3…
04-01 10:58:45	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	No	BUY	181	3¢	$5	0x3c1fbd…