Homely-Warning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

293

Trades

7,011

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-10 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-66

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 2126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	32	$2.0K	228,315	0	+228,315	open	—	06-02 20:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	68	$198	283	125	+158	open	—	05-02 05:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	58	$137	289	70	+219	open	—	05-02 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	13	$118	260	0	+260	Down	+$122	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	51	$118	178	93	+85	open	—	05-02 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	62	$116	149	124	+25	open	—	05-01 06:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	41	$115	166	76	+90	open	—	05-02 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	42	$103	155	82	+73	open	—	05-02 11:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	37	$103	190	70	+120	open	—	05-02 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	20	$102	58	58	+0	open	—	05-02 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	30	$93	75	90	-15	open	—	05-02 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	30	$91	114	90	+24	open	—	05-02 05:53
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	29	$90	124	69	+55	open	—	05-02 14:38
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	34	$85	148	56	+92	open	—	05-02 12:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	33	$83	145	0	+145	open	—	04-30 16:14
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	30	$80	130	10	+120	open	—	05-01 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	33	$80	140	54	+85	open	—	05-02 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	23	$76	74	65	+9	open	—	05-02 14:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	22	$75	92	58	+34	open	—	05-02 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	16	$72	160	0	+160	Down	+$8	05-07 00:06
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	33	$72	94	55	+39	open	—	05-01 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	20	$71	136	30	+106	open	—	05-02 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	31	$71	91	80	+12	open	—	05-02 13:56
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	30	$67	106	65	+41	open	—	05-02 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	37	$66	143	69	+74	open	—	05-02 15:12
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	28	$63	79	57	+22	open	—	05-02 07:44
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	32	$63	86	58	+28	open	—	05-02 11:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	26	$61	96	14	+83	open	—	05-01 08:19
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	29	$61	112	22	+90	open	—	05-01 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	24	$61	105	66	+39	open	—	05-02 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 00:14:49	btc updown 5m 1783728900	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x814437…
07-10 23:49:49	btc updown 5m 1783727400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa3b01d…
07-10 23:24:49	btc updown 5m 1783725900	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1cde9a…
07-10 22:29:49	btc updown 15m 1783722600	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf246eb…
07-10 20:19:49	btc updown 5m 1783714800	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9f9148…
07-10 20:04:49	btc updown 5m 1783713900	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc5b819…
07-10 18:54:47	btc updown 5m 1783709700	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x553182…
07-10 17:19:49	btc updown 5m 1783704000	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x12db1c…
07-10 16:49:49	btc updown 5m 1783702200	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x98ff6d…
07-10 16:29:49	btc updown 15m 1783701000	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x03766a…
07-10 15:29:49	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x01e702…
07-10 15:24:49	btc updown 5m 1783697100	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x29bc67…
07-10 14:29:49	btc updown 5m 1783693800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc53d74…
07-10 14:14:49	btc updown 5m 1783692900	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x93e5f0…
07-10 13:19:49	btc updown 5m 1783689600	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xae0b37…
07-10 13:04:49	btc updown 5m 1783688700	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa3bbd4…
07-10 12:54:49	btc updown 5m 1783688100	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1595f3…
07-10 12:49:49	btc updown 5m 1783687800	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb54b9c…
07-10 12:44:49	btc updown 5m 1783687500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfdfb3c…
07-10 12:09:49	btc updown 5m 1783685400	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa6dbc7…
07-10 11:54:49	btc updown 5m 1783684500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd2c2d5…
07-10 10:54:49	btc updown 5m 1783680900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x386285…
07-10 10:44:49	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x39c3eb…
07-10 09:29:49	btc updown 5m 1783675800	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc7aa01…
07-10 08:49:49	btc updown 5m 1783673400	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa446dd…
07-10 08:29:49	btc updown 5m 1783672200	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x34c19e…
07-10 08:29:49	btc updown 15m 1783672200	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x070bc5…
07-10 08:04:47	btc updown 5m 1783670700	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf51494…
07-10 07:24:49	btc updown 5m 1783668300	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb6c047…
07-10 06:04:49	btc updown 5m 1783663500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa1395…
07-06 11:59:47	btc updown 5m 1783339200	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdc7540…
07-06 11:44:49	btc updown 15m 1783338300	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6e92bc…
07-06 11:19:49	btc updown 5m 1783336800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x663f08…
07-06 11:04:49	btc updown 5m 1783335900	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x072a17…
07-06 10:54:49	btc updown 5m 1783335300	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc1d03c…
07-06 10:49:49	btc updown 5m 1783335000	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x72ec88…
07-06 08:34:49	btc updown 5m 1783326900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2a6426…
07-06 08:04:49	btc updown 5m 1783325100	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x72c044…
07-06 07:29:49	btc updown 5m 1783323000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x27b031…
07-06 07:09:49	btc updown 5m 1783321800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5e08ed…
07-05 14:19:49	btc updown 5m 1783261200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfbb632…
07-05 14:09:49	btc updown 5m 1783260600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfd393d…
07-05 13:54:49	btc updown 5m 1783259700	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x419c18…
07-05 13:44:49	btc updown 5m 1783259100	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb908e4…
07-05 13:39:49	btc updown 5m 1783258800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9adf97…
07-05 11:49:49	btc updown 5m 1783252200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x698db3…
06-27 19:42:35	xrp updown 5m 1782589200	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x8f0dd0…
06-27 19:42:32	xrp updown 5m 1782589200	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xeb8225…
06-27 19:36:47	xrp updown 5m 1782588900	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9fb5fa…
06-27 19:36:41	eth updown 5m 1782588900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xef5a7b…
06-27 19:36:22	eth updown 5m 1782588900	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x3aabeb…
06-27 19:36:22	eth updown 5m 1782588900	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x026574…
06-27 19:36:20	eth updown 5m 1782588900	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x038b03…
06-27 19:35:26	xrp updown 5m 1782588900	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfb983c…
06-27 19:30:53	xrp updown 15m 1782588600	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8d27d6…
06-27 19:30:19	eth updown 5m 1782588600	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb5537f…
06-27 19:30:16	xrp updown 5m 1782588600	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbd1b7b…
06-27 19:25:08	eth updown 5m 1782588300	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x23f0ad…
06-27 19:20:31	xrp updown 5m 1782588000	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x27014d…
06-27 19:20:10	eth updown 5m 1782588000	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc08742…
06-27 19:16:13	eth updown 5m 1782587700	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd9fe9c…
06-27 19:16:11	xrp updown 5m 1782587700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7448fe…
06-27 19:16:02	xrp updown 15m 1782587700	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe1b4c5…
06-27 19:15:59	eth updown 15m 1782587700	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd01d8e…
06-27 19:11:07	xrp updown 5m 1782587400	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6f5f20…
06-27 19:10:44	eth updown 5m 1782587400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x55c532…
06-27 19:10:11	xrp updown 5m 1782587400	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x586587…
06-27 19:09:08	eth updown 5m 1782587100	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe856ae…
06-27 19:09:07	eth updown 5m 1782587100	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6e426c…
06-27 19:06:23	xrp updown 5m 1782587100	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x65ba7f…
06-27 19:02:13	xrp updown 5m 1782586800	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xec63c4…
06-27 19:01:35	eth updown 15m 1782586800	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x958048…
06-27 19:01:35	eth updown 5m 1782586800	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x273453…
06-27 19:01:29	xrp updown 15m 1782586800	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6b5c49…
06-27 18:58:11	eth updown 5m 1782586500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x69d2f2…
06-27 18:56:26	eth updown 5m 1782586500	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9e3a5a…
06-27 18:55:16	xrp updown 5m 1782586500	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xddcade…
06-27 18:55:08	eth updown 15m 1782585900	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0c30e7…
06-27 18:53:04	xrp updown 15m 1782585900	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xac49a8…
06-27 18:50:41	eth updown 5m 1782586200	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9802f1…
06-27 18:50:20	xrp updown 5m 1782586200	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xdc81ac…
06-27 18:50:16	xrp updown 5m 1782586200	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xfd63d7…
06-27 18:49:31	xrp updown 5m 1782585900	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1b4f0b…
06-27 18:47:13	eth updown 5m 1782585900	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5091db…
06-27 18:47:05	xrp updown 5m 1782585900	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb0cd87…
06-27 18:45:43	eth updown 15m 1782585900	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xae47d7…
06-27 18:45:19	xrp updown 15m 1782585900	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2a8aa9…
06-27 18:43:56	eth updown 5m 1782585600	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x1dfa88…
06-27 18:43:34	xrp updown 5m 1782585600	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5f6bda…
06-27 18:37:11	xrp updown 5m 1782585300	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x89446b…
06-27 18:36:23	eth updown 5m 1782585300	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0684ef…
06-27 18:35:05	xrp updown 5m 1782585300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0678bb…
06-27 18:33:05	eth updown 15m 1782585000	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xccc08a…
06-27 18:31:23	xrp updown 5m 1782585000	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6ca125…
06-27 18:31:07	eth updown 5m 1782585000	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9f62ee…
06-27 18:31:04	xrp updown 5m 1782585000	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xd297cf…
06-27 18:30:44	eth updown 5m 1782585000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x764902…
06-27 18:30:13	xrp updown 15m 1782585000	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1166fd…
06-27 18:29:26	eth updown 5m 1782584700	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6f409c…
06-27 18:26:22	xrp updown 5m 1782584700	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x576668…