Homely-Warning — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

15

Trades

26

lifetime

Volume

$141

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	3	$14	30	+30	Up	+$6	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$9	20	+20	open	—	05-05 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$9	20	+20	open	—	05-05 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$8	20	+20	open	—	05-05 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$7	20	+20	open	—	05-05 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$7	10	+10	Up	$-7	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$7	20	+20	open	—	05-05 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$6	20	+20	open	—	05-05 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Up	+$6	05-05 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Up	+$6	05-05 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Down	+$6	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Down	+$6	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Up	$-4	05-05 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Down	$-4	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Down	$-4	05-05 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 14:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd6c97d…
05-05 11:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x590356…
05-05 11:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa471dc…
05-05 10:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6cefeb…
05-05 09:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x9c219f…
05-05 09:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x7e49ee…
05-05 09:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x6a57d4…
05-05 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x1bb070…
05-05 06:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x801c89…
05-05 05:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x262bdd…
05-05 05:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x09318d…
05-05 04:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x97243e…
05-05 04:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xeee4fd…
05-05 03:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xf8f3f3…
05-05 03:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x1dd559…
05-05 03:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc2a9b7…
05-05 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xcaef8c…
05-05 02:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x24f019…
05-05 02:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb50270…
05-05 01:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x56e778…
05-05 01:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x026258…
05-05 01:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x4647c5…
05-05 01:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x34487b…
05-05 01:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x5f5295…
05-05 00:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc0e392…
05-04 20:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb56592…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$12.1K	210	05-05 14:10
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	24	$1.16K	133	05-05 14:00
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	24	$579	124	05-05 14:10
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	21	$628	55	05-05 14:07
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	20	$1.01K	118	05-05 14:07
Lucky-Incidence 0x5bea…9f47	19	$814	50	05-05 11:16
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	18	$970	78	05-05 14:12
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	17	$972	50	05-05 10:21

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