Gifted-Metallurgist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-14 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 45% -$56

Politics

18% 40% -$1

Other

11% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	51	$378	288	288	+0	Up	-$4	05-14 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	31	$184	174	147	+27	Up	+$5	05-08 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	25	$176	110	108	+2	Up	+$2	05-07 19:42
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$147	74	74	+0	No	$0	03-03 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	17	$133	82	82	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 23:30
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	3	$125	64	64	+0	Yes	+$1	03-01 01:33
will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	03-01 01:33
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$87	47	47	+0	Yes	+$7	03-13 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	11	$84	46	54	-9	Down	+$12	05-07 20:12
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$72	38	38	+0	No	+$5	03-13 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	8	$70	46	46	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	9	$63	61	31	+30	Up	-$24	05-13 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	6	$52	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	8	$42	54	23	+31	Down	-$7	05-07 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	4	$40	27	27	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	6	$34	41	11	+30	Up	-$13	05-13 23:15
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$34	25	25	+0	No	-$6	05-05 08:49
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$34	25	25	+0	Yes	-$6	05-05 08:49
will post malone perform during the super bowl lx halftime show 334	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	02-08 04:16
will taylor swift perform during the super bowl lx halftime show 575 927	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-08 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$16	18	0	+18	Down	-$16	05-07 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	Down	$0	05-08 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8PM ET	2	$14	13	13	+0	Down	-$2	05-08 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	05-07 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	05-07 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Down	+$2	05-07 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$8	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	05-07 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Down	+$2	05-13 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2PM ET	1	$8	11	0	+11	Up	+$4	05-08 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 11:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	37	62¢	$23	0x524c13…
05-14 00:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xf44c46…
05-14 00:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0xa6a353…
05-13 23:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x149799…
05-13 23:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0xf915cd…
05-13 23:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xe45a28…
05-13 23:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x061bc4…
05-13 22:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xe1ceac…
05-13 22:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x754fde…
05-13 22:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xa552d5…
05-13 22:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xd38fd9…
05-13 22:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd9d1f5…
05-13 22:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0xa549b0…
05-13 22:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0xb0699a…
05-13 22:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5a1f30…
05-13 22:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x4f5759…
05-13 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x0e92c2…
05-13 22:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xfbd341…
05-13 22:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x63ea9f…
05-13 22:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x62ac48…
05-13 21:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xdd85d1…
05-13 21:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xe2a47b…
05-13 21:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x48c95f…
05-13 21:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xefc868…
05-13 21:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0xfb6783…
05-13 21:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0xb1988b…
05-13 21:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0x852a5c…
05-13 21:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xd26f0f…
05-13 21:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x9e6c76…
05-13 21:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x07cc3c…
05-13 21:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x52f9f8…
05-13 21:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xe81ebf…
05-13 20:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xac6641…
05-13 20:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xd29027…
05-13 20:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x6bdcf6…
05-13 20:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xf562c4…
05-13 20:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x3e8c28…
05-13 20:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x0c7aad…
05-13 20:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x0a5ddf…
05-13 20:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x6f8067…
05-13 20:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x6ee2f6…
05-13 20:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x84b717…
05-13 20:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xcc6917…
05-13 20:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xdf22e2…
05-13 20:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x559d93…
05-13 20:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x49b678…
05-13 20:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0x2f8abc…
05-13 19:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x8bf7b1…
05-13 19:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$8	0x4b32cf…
05-13 19:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0xd7784b…
05-13 19:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xe3b1eb…
05-13 19:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x9f5f72…
05-13 19:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd0a931…
05-13 19:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xcf36a4…
05-13 19:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x38ce14…
05-13 19:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xe92e48…
05-13 19:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xf10306…
05-13 19:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0x8d1fec…
05-13 19:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x616221…
05-13 19:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x4c4184…
05-13 19:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5a2d6c…
05-13 19:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xd45883…
05-13 19:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbabc84…
05-13 18:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x416968…
05-13 18:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x7ac825…
05-13 18:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd21e5d…
05-13 18:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf23627…
05-13 18:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf5f173…
05-13 18:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xd042a5…
05-13 18:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x037a36…
05-13 18:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1e3edd…
05-13 18:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xd1b60a…
05-13 18:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xa9be79…
05-13 18:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xa844c3…
05-13 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xc2d955…
05-13 18:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x911f5a…
05-13 18:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x7f1b7a…
05-08 18:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0xb99985…
05-08 01:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0xf2a015…
05-08 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x778190…
05-08 01:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x7b5423…
05-08 01:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x36cac1…
05-08 01:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x42e6ef…
05-08 01:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xaadeeb…
05-08 00:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x93391d…
05-08 00:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x767ddc…
05-08 00:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xa6a165…
05-08 00:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x0629c3…
05-07 23:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0xe6ff2a…
05-07 23:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x892710…
05-07 23:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x7f8c5e…
05-07 23:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xa757b6…
05-07 23:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x60223f…
05-07 23:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x6ab4e2…
05-07 23:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x894c64…
05-07 23:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x9b3f82…
05-07 23:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xde6df5…
05-07 23:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x032e80…
05-07 23:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x1330de…
05-07 23:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x661b63…