Hospitable-Indicator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

380

lifetime

Volume

$6.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-31 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

64% 100% +$3

Crypto

16% — —

Other

14% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$4

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	34	$699	568	598	-30	open	—	04-24 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	50	$631	633	604	+28	open	—	04-28 08:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	27	$482	309	337	-28	open	—	04-25 16:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	19	$430	271	271	+0	open	—	04-20 20:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	25	$406	426	412	+14	open	—	04-21 18:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$393	328	303	+25	open	—	05-24 07:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$293	233	233	+0	open	—	04-21 14:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	12	$265	379	379	+0	open	—	05-31 00:53
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	15	$233	416	507	-91	No	+$4	04-21 05:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	12	$231	144	144	+0	open	—	04-21 12:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$218	152	152	+0	open	—	05-19 15:33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	16	$159	232	232	+0	open	—	04-23 17:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$151	127	164	-37	open	—	05-24 07:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$135	78	78	+0	open	—	05-30 23:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	10	$115	99	99	+0	open	—	05-01 00:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	7	$108	311	311	+0	open	—	04-20 05:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	10	$96	81	81	+0	open	—	04-28 03:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$89	61	61	+0	open	—	05-24 04:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	6	$75	110	67	+43	open	—	04-25 13:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$73	108	108	+0	open	—	05-06 07:39
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$72	46	46	+0	open	—	05-18 07:46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$71	53	53	+0	open	—	05-01 17:53
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$67	88	52	+36	open	—	04-25 10:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	4	$66	128	183	-56	open	—	04-23 22:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$58	37	37	+0	open	—	05-07 07:47
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$57	46	46	+0	open	—	05-13 06:09
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	04-26 07:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	05-01 07:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-23 15:42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	04-20 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 00:53:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	135	28¢	$38	0xe93c9f…
05-30 23:48:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	135	30¢	$40	0xe4cc6e…
05-30 23:34:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	78	87¢	$68	0xe76483…
05-30 07:04:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	78	85¢	$67	0xae2624…
05-29 23:44:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x388e36…
05-24 07:36:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	27	67¢	$18	0x5d41ea…
05-24 07:10:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	63¢	$30	0x788dd9…
05-24 06:26:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x953ee7…
05-24 05:00:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x24a7f2…
05-24 04:17:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$26	0x296c55…
05-23 22:44:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	51	49¢	$25	0x96527d…
05-23 22:44:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	40¢	$26	0x2f3906…
05-23 22:42:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x0b5be7…
05-23 22:37:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x7e33cb…
05-23 22:34:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xc1285f…
05-23 22:27:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xfa7da1…
05-23 20:46:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	34¢	$18	0x6a83f0…
05-23 20:45:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	86	38¢	$33	0x5fef45…
05-23 20:30:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xafc8f4…
05-23 19:07:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	56¢	$29	0x6f1990…
05-23 15:42:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	92¢	$21	0x768c8b…
05-21 19:41:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0x4b3d10…
05-21 19:20:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa45819…
05-21 16:05:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xd8d8f0…
05-20 15:27:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xb48c29…
05-19 15:41:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	78¢	$14	0xeb2161…
05-19 15:33:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	110	72¢	$79	0x1f1545…
05-19 13:08:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	110	73¢	$80	0x6caf60…
05-19 06:34:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xbe7b30…
05-18 22:14:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x109290…
05-18 17:09:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	22	61¢	$14	0xe4efa7…
05-18 11:14:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x7df55a…
05-18 11:14:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	31¢	$17	0x5e436f…
05-18 07:46:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0xa726c7…
05-17 22:05:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0x2d3c38…
05-17 20:35:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0xbef1c3…
05-17 16:04:07	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x9ce0ef…
05-16 14:20:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x58d647…
05-16 12:46:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x15d2be…
05-16 12:39:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	25¢	$20	0xff6511…
05-16 11:16:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x37324f…
05-15 19:48:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x9ce4c4…
05-14 22:27:50	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x004f89…
05-14 14:37:16	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xb5e254…
05-13 19:41:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x8e75b0…
05-13 09:16:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0xcb4b64…
05-13 06:09:06	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0x5742d0…
05-13 05:52:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x75c03d…
05-13 04:51:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	26	60¢	$16	0x7bc2f8…
05-13 02:53:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x693708…
05-13 02:52:05	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x04ceda…
05-13 02:51:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x3fa2f6…
05-12 20:16:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	83¢	$19	0x90837e…
05-11 09:37:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$18	0x949703…
05-11 09:00:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	59	30¢	$18	0x733651…
05-11 05:10:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0xe0eb97…
05-11 04:42:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	59	33¢	$20	0x1745b5…
05-11 04:34:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0xe148b7…
05-10 23:50:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xd8247f…
05-10 21:55:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xf3ea7b…
05-10 21:40:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	78¢	$21	0xb4f5ce…
05-10 09:43:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xcb37d7…
05-07 19:33:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	80	19¢	$15	0x61be60…
05-07 19:14:34	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0xe4aa8c…
05-07 14:40:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	26	79¢	$21	0xfb10b9…
05-07 13:29:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	55¢	$13	0x53a979…
05-07 13:12:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0xf76182…
05-07 07:47:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x85cedd…
05-06 14:38:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	75¢	$18	0xa68ce7…
05-06 14:21:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x0e3f2d…
05-06 11:18:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0x408ea6…
05-06 10:44:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x7739ff…
05-06 09:13:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0xd3bff4…
05-06 07:39:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	18¢	$15	0x1552ae…
05-06 05:47:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	22¢	$18	0x04bb0b…
05-06 04:54:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb2d973…
05-06 04:13:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0x5fd245…
05-06 02:04:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc864fb…
05-05 01:57:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0xb632d2…
05-04 08:29:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x90f282…
05-04 02:26:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xee27b3…
05-01 22:28:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xd8bd8f…
05-01 17:53:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x1681d8…
05-01 07:07:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x87a35c…
05-01 05:02:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x9a9d88…
05-01 03:39:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0x95d999…
05-01 03:32:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	76¢	$20	0xe419b5…
05-01 01:05:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0xbb968a…
05-01 00:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5e8739…
04-30 23:56:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x07f99f…
04-30 14:20:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0x8f9ed3…
04-30 09:48:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x259d02…
04-30 09:32:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xf42c1a…
04-30 06:29:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x269f7f…
04-30 05:54:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x174a62…
04-30 05:54:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x568afe…
04-30 05:54:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x482f97…
04-28 08:01:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xc89abc…
04-28 04:50:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xcbeb9b…
04-28 03:33:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x0ea5c7…