Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

26.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

141

328 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.00K

$2.49K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

38% 26% -$15

Politics

33% 27% -$7

Crypto

17% 12% +$1

Tech

7% 60% +$1

Sports

5% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+13	$12	96¢	$13	+$0	10-30 16:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	11	$119	120	100	+20	No	$0	08-12 20:08
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	12	$119	116	96	+20	No	$0	08-12 20:07
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	14	$115	100	100	+0	No	$0	08-13 01:16
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	7	$114	73	60	+13	Yes	+$0	07-14 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$100	150	50	+100	Up	$0	09-01 14:13
will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	4	$100	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-23 14:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	5	$99	150	50	+100	Up	$0	08-11 03:55
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	3	$99	100	50	+50	Up	+$0	08-31 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$98	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	09-01 23:56
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	4	$97	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 06:04
world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	2	$96	50	50	+0	Messi	$0	06-30 15:29
wti closes above 69 on july 8 2026	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-08 08:17
will nextera energy nee q2 operating revenue be above 9b 20260703222021536	4	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-08 05:43
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	01-30 18:39
will jonathan hofeller be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212486	6	$52	46	46	+0	No	+$0	06-20 13:04
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	8	$42	80	80	+0	No	$0	08-13 01:17
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	8	$39	80	70	+10	No	-$1	08-12 04:34
iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	4	$39	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-09 01:39
will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	3	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-20 13:04
will lambdas valuation hit high 12pt5 by july 31 20260629184508147	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-09 22:25
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$1	08-20 01:14
will stripes valuation hit low 150 by july 31 20260629184728774	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-10 03:37
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$2	02-23 04:20
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 3 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	06-30 15:42
grok 4pt4 released by july 10	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-08 09:23
spy closes above 735 on july 9 2026	3	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 04:13
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	07-16 06:56
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	08-12 06:53
grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	08-11 09:08
will open dip to 3 75 by july 20 2026	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:35:46	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x58616d…
10-29 14:41:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe2be58…
09-02 00:00:04	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x2f75ef…
09-02 00:00:03	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x209ead…
09-01 23:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x06648a…
09-01 23:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xfdda42…
09-01 23:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x97c7e7…
09-01 16:00:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3d7bd1…
09-01 15:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xf511a4…
09-01 15:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x06bb3d…
09-01 15:25:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x58dbef…
09-01 15:24:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x4f0e01…
09-01 14:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x045382…
09-01 14:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x126649…
09-01 14:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x126649…
09-01 14:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2aa18e…
09-01 04:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xef9a53…
09-01 04:00:06	Solana Up or Down - August 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x28187f…
09-01 04:00:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0a8cb8…
09-01 04:00:04	XRP Up or Down - August 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1e9221…
09-01 03:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2a526b…
09-01 03:59:18	BNB Up or Down - August 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x404469…
08-31 16:00:04	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xff1525…
08-31 16:00:04	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9f3c03…
08-31 16:00:04	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x546208…
08-31 15:59:55	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x95c534…
08-31 15:59:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc1cd05…
08-31 15:51:52	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x5f589f…
08-31 15:48:10	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1d1fe0…
08-31 11:59:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 31, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x83f41f…
08-31 11:59:25	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb688dd…
08-31 11:58:27	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x35dba4…
08-31 11:57:43	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4dc310…
08-31 11:57:30	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa3c2a0…
08-31 06:14:52	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x3536f8…
08-31 06:14:52	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x292e72…
08-31 05:59:43	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc8a898…
08-31 05:27:15	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd12e8d…
08-20 01:14:10	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x18a6f0…
08-13 01:17:30	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xdbfd23…
08-13 01:16:48	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1bd815…
08-12 20:08:34	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8cbca3…
08-12 20:08:18	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x90d3ba…
08-12 20:07:15	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf74d86…
08-12 20:06:40	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe8f491…
08-12 20:06:40	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xc368a3…
08-12 20:06:40	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x5e3e28…
08-12 20:06:40	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x53ea38…
08-12 20:06:40	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x16887f…
08-12 18:41:24	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbd8131…
08-12 17:00:39	will rklb dip to 74 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xa867a4…
08-12 16:54:57	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x7466e8…
08-12 16:54:40	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8638a0…
08-12 16:54:33	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xed87bc…
08-12 16:54:25	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x14acaf…
08-12 16:54:13	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x1fd91d…
08-12 16:54:01	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x332089…
08-12 16:47:45	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x256d48…
08-12 16:43:16	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x00234c…
08-12 15:59:25	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x1ba4a2…
08-12 15:55:58	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xc8dc23…
08-12 15:52:10	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xaefece…
08-12 15:48:52	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x481baf…
08-12 15:42:15	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7d5a16…
08-12 15:17:49	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc3ea46…
08-12 15:17:40	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x99e650…
08-12 13:56:42	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfa4b1e…
08-12 12:30:54	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4182f7…
08-12 10:38:54	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xee4980…
08-12 10:37:57	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xf5965c…
08-12 10:35:52	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xaae52a…
08-12 10:34:00	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x35bd30…
08-12 09:51:16	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x643b11…
08-12 09:43:30	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2b495a…
08-12 09:25:55	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x604aab…
08-12 09:21:37	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc4cf0d…
08-12 09:17:09	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xfffc99…
08-12 09:12:27	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x58a152…
08-12 08:58:51	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x6c952c…
08-12 08:58:37	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x07fc67…
08-12 08:55:46	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x11d564…
08-12 08:54:16	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6883f6…
08-12 08:36:09	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xd0ddc5…
08-12 08:35:52	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc35332…
08-12 08:31:51	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa256f8…
08-12 08:30:57	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5e39b8…
08-12 06:53:24	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xc1cb28…
08-12 06:42:46	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xec4f5a…
08-12 06:21:12	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdd31a1…
08-12 06:21:12	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9fa20f…
08-12 04:34:18	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0458d0…
08-12 04:33:49	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x87d6ff…
08-12 04:32:57	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa38b9a…
08-12 04:32:07	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb54d22…
08-12 04:25:15	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd7acfe…
08-12 04:24:46	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x834246…
08-12 04:18:25	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0d2d76…
08-12 04:10:33	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x11b1de…
08-12 03:56:54	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x83d077…
08-12 03:40:31	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xeed6a7…