Dishonest-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$243

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.9%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$977

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-01 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

55% 50% $-190

Crypto

41% 11% $-53

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	15	$502	1,153	1,153	+0	No	$-194	05-07 05:30
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	15	$35	39	39	+0	open	—	06-01 13:40
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$32	34	34	+0	open	—	05-18 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$31	70	0	+70	open	—	05-02 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	05-02 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$16	43	23	+20	open	—	05-15 05:24
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	10	$16	23	13	+10	open	—	06-01 13:29
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$15	138	0	+138	open	—	05-09 20:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$15	29	29	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 13:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$14	100	100	+0	No	+$4	05-07 08:20
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	6	$13	18	11	+8	Up	+$5	05-13 21:49
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	6	$12	389	256	+133	open	—	05-17 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	6	$12	46	6	+41	Down	$-6	05-13 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$10	120	100	+20	open	—	05-14 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$10	54	0	+54	open	—	05-02 20:12
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$10	9	7	+3	open	—	05-16 11:35
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$9	25	25	+0	open	—	06-01 17:09
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$9	104	104	+0	open	—	05-09 21:03
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	6	$9	18	4	+14	open	—	05-16 11:30
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$9	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 13:49
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	7	$9	26	16	+10	open	—	06-01 14:14
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	6	$8	35	5	+30	open	—	05-14 14:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 16:10
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	7	$8	25	25	+0	open	—	05-18 13:59
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$7	36	0	+36	open	—	05-16 11:37
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$7	21	0	+21	open	—	06-01 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$6	21	0	+21	open	—	05-02 20:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$6	80	0	+80	Up	$-6	05-13 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-09 20:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	1	$5	28	0	+28	No	$-5	05-07 05:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:09:46	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x8809e8…
06-01 17:09:37	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8943a0…
06-01 17:09:27	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x718ef6…
06-01 17:08:47	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x94e9f6…
06-01 17:08:40	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x97f851…
06-01 17:08:20	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x012038…
06-01 15:32:30	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaae3f5…
06-01 15:32:04	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xb44c72…
06-01 15:31:06	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x624658…
06-01 15:30:54	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe68501…
06-01 15:29:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x5dde11…
06-01 15:28:41	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x937b14…
06-01 14:17:18	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xbbe9ee…
06-01 14:16:50	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x688114…
06-01 14:16:17	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x39a292…
06-01 14:14:41	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x8b539e…
06-01 14:14:41	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x7b034a…
06-01 14:14:39	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa66b6b…
06-01 14:14:29	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0xc2cda3…
06-01 14:13:13	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x154357…
06-01 14:12:59	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x96bb9c…
06-01 14:12:47	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa9cd89…
06-01 13:49:36	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xe2d005…
06-01 13:49:27	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8ca423…
06-01 13:49:18	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6c38fc…
06-01 13:48:50	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xde8014…
06-01 13:48:43	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7c81e6…
06-01 13:47:32	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb32124…
06-01 13:43:02	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf260fe…
06-01 13:42:53	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x79c38e…
06-01 13:42:41	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3c9cc0…
06-01 13:40:18	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7ec12d…
06-01 13:39:46	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbdeb84…
06-01 13:39:30	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x8e1523…
06-01 13:39:20	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x47c0cc…
06-01 13:39:16	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x97abde…
06-01 13:39:04	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7ac4bf…
06-01 13:38:45	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0x57f553…
06-01 13:38:24	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x25fbd2…
06-01 13:38:06	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd537e6…
06-01 13:37:51	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdef4e4…
06-01 13:37:21	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8ff0ae…
06-01 13:37:00	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xd3f25f…
06-01 13:36:37	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x852876…
06-01 13:36:13	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x42f3c0…
06-01 13:36:04	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb4296e…
06-01 13:29:42	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x97f59d…
06-01 13:29:27	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a1371…
06-01 13:28:48	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x37a42b…
06-01 13:28:38	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6525b9…
06-01 13:28:24	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9f6e57…
06-01 13:28:03	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x83d252…
06-01 13:27:19	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5dd5f0…
06-01 13:27:01	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcb253c…
06-01 13:26:47	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xd2bb2a…
06-01 13:26:02	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x96af1e…
06-01 13:24:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb8ef2e…
06-01 13:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x899f3e…
05-18 15:12:29	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xba60a2…
05-18 15:11:12	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x42be55…
05-18 15:10:56	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd4349b…
05-18 15:10:49	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2d5edf…
05-18 15:10:02	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbdf77b…
05-18 15:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x06a4f9…
05-18 15:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xccfadf…
05-18 15:07:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	34	62¢	$21	0x713af6…
05-18 13:59:34	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xb1d6d9…
05-18 13:58:34	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x940935…
05-18 13:58:17	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x62e910…
05-18 13:58:01	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x6432c5…
05-18 13:57:50	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x868a08…
05-18 13:57:40	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd792ce…
05-18 13:56:54	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6d161a…
05-18 13:54:31	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x04d8d5…
05-18 13:53:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc5d1a6…
05-18 13:51:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdf2ea0…
05-18 13:50:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3df936…
05-18 13:48:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8dea24…
05-18 13:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x392357…
05-18 13:46:02	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x248219…
05-18 13:45:58	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5e8eff…
05-18 13:45:39	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x8bfe09…
05-17 02:57:56	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x631d6e…
05-17 02:54:29	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x887826…
05-17 02:54:22	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4c5503…
05-17 02:54:20	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	256	3¢	$7	0x6cd7d4…
05-17 02:51:27	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x5f24c2…
05-17 02:50:57	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x775d96…
05-16 11:37:29	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x30f6da…
05-16 11:36:54	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xe99b7a…
05-16 11:36:26	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe1b21b…
05-16 11:35:27	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf3119b…
05-16 11:33:59	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8f43e8…
05-16 11:33:12	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa42531…
05-16 11:32:04	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x48ec52…
05-16 11:30:31	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x830e75…
05-16 11:29:21	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa2e1b8…
05-16 11:28:23	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf15a42…
05-16 11:28:16	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x838164…
05-16 11:28:06	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x46d059…