Dishonest-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$54

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-14 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 6% $-41

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (4)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$13	0	29	-29	Down	$-16	05-11 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$8	43	0	+43	Down	$-6	05-13 22:04
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$8	14	6	+8	Up	+$2	05-13 21:49
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$5	104	0	+104	open	—	05-07 05:32
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$3	52	0	+52	Down	$-3	05-13 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$3	56	0	+56	Up	$-3	05-13 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$3	77	0	+77	Down	$-3	05-11 14:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-14 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-13 21:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	1	$1	25	0	+25	No	$-1	05-11 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-11 15:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-11 14:08
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-11 15:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Down	$-1	05-11 13:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-11 13:56
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-13 21:44
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	32	0	+32	Up	$-1	05-09 21:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-11 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$-0	05-11 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 05:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x7d5b74…
05-14 05:55:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x08e54b…
05-13 22:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x36dafd…
05-13 22:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbe6b53…
05-13 22:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x51f796…
05-13 22:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa66593…
05-13 21:59:07	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xb6bdd3…
05-13 21:58:13	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x612f41…
05-13 21:55:55	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcf8c7a…
05-13 21:54:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9b5ec4…
05-13 21:52:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x986c22…
05-13 21:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x568ffa…
05-13 21:49:18	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x41631e…
05-13 21:48:55	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbc0520…
05-13 21:48:41	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x2c8e64…
05-13 21:46:17	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdaf51e…
05-13 21:44:04	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x112732…
05-13 21:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x459b1e…
05-11 15:28:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd40fa4…
05-11 15:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd271fb…
05-11 15:16:18	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x14fa91…
05-11 14:27:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x4d854b…
05-11 14:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x941e13…
05-11 14:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa675f8…
05-11 14:17:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd5ae9d…
05-11 14:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd91814…
05-11 14:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x370fa4…
05-11 13:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xeffc2e…
05-11 13:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x3eccdf…
05-11 13:48:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xca6565…
05-09 21:09:18	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x3e1744…
05-07 05:32:55	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xeceb49…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$1.47K	79	05-14 06:01
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	13	$549	41	05-14 05:56
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	7	$517	21	05-14 05:55
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	7	$503	35	05-13 21:40