Different-Machinery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.59K

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,767

lifetime

Volume

$1.01M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$574

Open exposure

$53.8K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-27 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

76% 88% -$8,484

Politics

19% 77% -$3,312

Tech

5% 100% +$1,710

Crypto

0% 62% +$495

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-56,000	-$53,816	96¢	$-53844	-$28	08-31 01:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	107	$117.5K	102,193	46,810	+55,384	Yes	-$23,554	06-21 14:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	217	$113.8K	59,598	57,243	+2,355	No	+$2,059	06-13 14:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	114	$91.0K	62,630	30,000	+32,630	No	+$1,276	05-24 13:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	91	$58.6K	30,619	30,000	+619	No	+$1,338	08-31 01:17
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	108	$56.9K	38,500	38,500	+0	Spain	-$11	07-10 20:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	27	$53.8K	0	56,000	-56,000	open	—	08-31 01:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	12	$43.6K	24,864	20,000	+4,864	Yes	+$1,255	05-09 01:36
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	14	$39.4K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$600	02-25 22:19
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	76	$36.6K	30,000	28,332	+1,668	Over	-$196	07-06 01:25
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	50	$27.8K	32,266	0	+32,266	Yes	+$4,445	06-17 10:41
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	44	$27.2K	27,923	0	+27,923	No	+$693	02-26 09:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	79	$25.5K	26,333	0	+26,333	Yes	+$805	04-16 11:40
starmer out by june 15 2026	5	$24.8K	24,833	0	+24,833	No	+$51	06-14 23:21
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	164	$24.2K	20,000	19,999	+1	Yes	+$200	07-10 15:05
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	5	$23.0K	23,430	0	+23,430	Yes	+$454	07-02 14:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	46	$22.2K	23,000	0	+23,000	No	+$782	04-01 18:11
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	55	$21.0K	21,861	0	+21,861	Yes	+$848	03-20 14:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	18	$19.6K	12,333	10,877	+1,456	Yes	-$2,614	04-07 19:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$14.3K	12,721	2,618	+10,103	Yes	-$9,373	02-28 08:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$13.6K	13,877	0	+13,877	No	+$253	03-24 19:19
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	1	$13.3K	14,567	0	+14,567	Yes	+$1,311	06-22 20:45
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	67	$12.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	England	+$25	07-11 13:20
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	14	$11.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Spain	+$25	07-14 03:07
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	40	$11.7K	11,997	0	+11,997	No	+$302	03-18 19:49
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$11.7K	12,133	0	+12,133	No	+$449	02-26 23:00
starmer out by july 31 2026	36	$10.4K	12,830	0	+12,830	Yes	+$2,423	06-20 18:48
Netanyahu out by April 30?	22	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$160	04-01 20:41
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	25	$9.7K	12,334	0	+12,334	Yes	+$2,587	07-16 14:16
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	40	$9.4K	12,159	0	+12,159	France	+$2,766	07-09 15:41
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	17	$8.5K	8,819	0	+8,819	No	+$361	03-19 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:15:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x62d138…
08-31 01:19:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	28,181	96¢	$27,082	0x1e5a2f…
08-31 01:17:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	30,000	99¢	$29,670	0x0b77aa…
08-31 00:37:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	832	96¢	$800	0xc6a6df…
08-31 00:15:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x084b66…
08-31 00:09:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x85d0ff…
08-30 21:12:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x490ccd…
08-30 19:38:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8cd7c4…
08-30 18:29:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x36e2aa…
08-30 15:52:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$69	0xb0c33b…
08-30 14:06:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	926	96¢	$890	0x9c6ad6…
08-30 13:59:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	494	96¢	$475	0xfd6692…
08-30 12:40:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	495	96¢	$475	0x682676…
08-30 12:15:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x8f03d6…
08-30 10:22:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	490	96¢	$471	0x4814a7…
08-30 10:01:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	426	96¢	$409	0x196a00…
08-30 09:07:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x31f9e6…
08-30 07:48:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	328	96¢	$316	0xb00b65…
08-30 06:59:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	436	96¢	$419	0x0cf17d…
08-30 05:58:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	411	96¢	$395	0xb72de8…
08-30 05:48:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	465	96¢	$447	0xbd9bbd…
08-30 05:38:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xbfba1b…
08-30 02:32:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	492	96¢	$473	0x6efaf3…
08-30 01:59:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	377	96¢	$363	0xa748dc…
08-29 21:20:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	119	96¢	$115	0x9ac46b…
08-29 21:00:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5,203	96¢	$5,000	0xcc094e…
08-29 20:16:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	16,177	96¢	$15,546	0x6c8619…
08-29 20:16:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcaa2e4…
08-29 20:16:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x656df7…
07-16 14:16:11	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	4,381	82¢	$3,593	0x8f8095…
07-16 14:00:10	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x9ad6da…
07-16 09:00:08	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x8e6aa9…
07-16 09:00:08	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x7243c0…
07-16 09:00:08	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x30b88b…
07-16 07:47:55	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xde3c9c…
07-16 07:47:55	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x4359f6…
07-16 07:47:49	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	173	82¢	$142	0x33b3cc…
07-16 07:47:32	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	142	82¢	$117	0xc1215b…
07-16 07:47:32	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	95	82¢	$78	0x5b3539…
07-16 07:47:32	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x33887b…
07-16 07:47:32	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x265824…
07-16 07:47:29	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	2,462	82¢	$2,019	0x71f250…
07-16 07:47:29	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$21	0x28f95b…
07-16 04:31:31	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa8e7ee…
07-16 04:16:58	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x19ffea…
07-16 02:03:23	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	73	80¢	$58	0xb4bea1…
07-15 23:34:04	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	132	80¢	$106	0xd3c3a9…
07-15 23:34:04	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x49f8a9…
07-15 23:23:29	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xb14208…
07-15 23:18:31	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xc19b82…
07-15 23:18:31	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x08a6c2…
07-15 22:14:22	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x7de0a1…
07-15 22:14:22	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x060cf5…
07-15 13:56:40	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$21	0x97099f…
07-15 13:56:38	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xdd5b63…
07-15 13:55:23	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a95d4…
07-15 13:55:20	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbcdb82…
07-15 13:31:58	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	513	96¢	$493	0x930fb6…
07-15 13:07:53	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	131	96¢	$126	0x37f066…
07-15 13:07:52	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xda6193…
07-15 13:07:52	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x792ad1…
07-15 13:07:52	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x505b1e…
07-15 13:07:20	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7187b2…
07-15 13:00:02	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb0d260…
07-15 13:00:02	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x2b26d4…
07-15 13:00:02	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x10ea94…
07-15 12:59:02	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x9050e8…
07-15 12:59:02	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x7e38b7…
07-15 12:59:02	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x60de2e…
07-15 12:59:02	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x1b1874…
07-15 12:48:47	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	4,522	74¢	$3,346	0x175832…
07-15 12:40:19	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x7d9986…
07-15 11:51:07	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6b5ba3…
07-15 11:50:43	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	513	96¢	$493	0x2e6f67…
07-14 18:00:55	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	999	95¢	$950	0x63fd99…
07-14 16:37:22	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	406	5¢	$21	0xeb4f25…
07-14 16:36:13	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x063ea0…
07-14 16:20:32	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe9d2b5…
07-14 16:20:32	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe8ced6…
07-14 16:20:32	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4dbe00…
07-14 16:20:32	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x3bbd5e…
07-14 16:20:32	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x1aa148…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xef6958…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd492a5…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc9dd8b…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc5cc16…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xb05ba9…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xa93c67…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x90ef5a…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x7900aa…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x480618…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x42a77c…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x3ac533…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x1ae99b…
07-14 16:20:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x0c1788…
07-14 16:20:29	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd70a99…
07-14 16:19:59	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xae8682…
07-14 16:19:59	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x9571c8…
07-14 16:19:59	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4d5252…
07-14 16:19:59	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x16eeab…