Bowed-Spider — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-04 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 100% +$3

Other

13% 86% -$1

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$93	93	+93	Yes	+$0	05-21 08:14
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	06-05 08:32
bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	06-09 11:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	05-14 08:02
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	04-24 11:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	04-28 06:37
ethereum above 1600 on april 6	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:56
ethereum above 2600 on april 16	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	04-16 07:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 12	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	04-11 12:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-09 11:39
ethereum above 2600 on april 19	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	04-19 03:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 5?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-05 11:18
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 31	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	03-31 11:13
bitcoin above 74k on march 9	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	03-09 06:45
bitcoin above 78k on march 4	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	03-04 12:43
ethereum above 2500 on march 12	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	03-11 09:22
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	03-02 07:31
bitcoin above 62k on march 16	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	03-15 01:44
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 13c	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	03-23 11:36
ethereum above 2100 on march 17	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	03-17 11:47
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	03-20 11:25
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	03-27 08:43
bitcoin above 78k on january 28	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	01-27 08:07
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	02-09 12:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 10	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-09 08:59
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	01-14 11:27
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on january 2	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-02 03:54
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-19 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-25 08:29
bitcoin above 94k on february 1	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-31 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 08:24:34	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9563d4…
09-04 08:21:55	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xcf174e…
07-29 09:33:44	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x2b1936…
06-09 11:24:42	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xea2bf1…
06-05 08:32:07	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x48ba94…
05-25 08:29:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd06e5a…
05-25 08:29:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f8d4f…
05-25 08:28:54	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3001e5…
05-25 08:28:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86c4c7…
05-21 08:14:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x33de3e…
05-14 08:02:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xe85d26…
05-09 11:39:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x561fe9…
05-05 11:18:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 5?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xff1572…
04-28 06:37:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xa557a2…
04-24 11:34:02	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x23ff75…
04-19 03:22:48	ethereum above 2600 on april 19	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1c8d9f…
04-16 07:54:40	ethereum above 2600 on april 16	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe75608…
04-11 12:26:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 12	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x62f48d…
04-05 09:56:03	ethereum above 1600 on april 6	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xf5e732…
03-31 11:13:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 31	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x437b9e…
03-27 08:43:17	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x6dd080…
03-23 11:36:43	highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 13c	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xb18a8f…
03-20 11:25:29	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xbec8e7…
03-17 11:47:45	ethereum above 2100 on march 17	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x32b3fb…
03-15 01:44:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 16	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xbf12fe…
03-11 09:22:41	ethereum above 2500 on march 12	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x937165…
03-09 06:45:59	bitcoin above 74k on march 9	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xc053af…
03-04 12:43:13	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x768b6f…
03-02 07:31:39	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x007912…
02-09 12:33:05	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x4051bc…
02-03 06:32:42	ethereum above 3300 on february 4	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xedaa75…
01-31 03:37:26	bitcoin above 94k on february 1	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xee8e3c…
01-27 08:07:27	bitcoin above 78k on january 28	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb8beb7…
01-19 09:47:38	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x4736ea…
01-17 07:19:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 17	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xec7d79…
01-14 11:27:08	bitcoin above 90k on january 14	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0db732…
01-09 08:59:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 10	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe56961…
01-05 08:32:53	ethereum above 2600 on january 6	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe991aa…
01-02 03:54:49	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on january 2	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa945c5…