Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$721

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$42.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$280

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-14 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

51% 48% +$613

Other

28% 50% -$656

Sports

12% 25% -$698

Crypto

8% 50% +$11

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	4	$8.6K	4,681	4,681	+0	Yes	+$689	02-01 06:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$3.9K	1,994	1,994	+0	Yes	+$35	03-04 17:00
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	2	$3.4K	1,743	1,743	+0	No	+$31	03-26 21:35
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	26	$3.3K	3,740	3,740	+0	No	-$884	03-12 16:55
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	3	$2.6K	0	2,793	-2,793	Yes	-$237	06-24 23:26
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$2.5K	1,432	1,432	+0	No	+$81	03-03 12:04
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	5	$2.2K	1,835	1,835	+0	Yes	-$187	02-13 20:02
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$2.0K	1,176	1,176	+0	No	+$47	02-11 12:54
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$60	02-03 20:19
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	2	$1.9K	1,355	1,355	+0	No	-$128	02-09 10:06
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$1.7K	967	967	+0	No	+$118	02-10 13:22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$1.2K	769	769	+0	No	+$190	04-12 18:58
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$1.2K	826	826	+0	Yes	+$96	03-12 19:54
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$1.0K	660	660	+0	No	+$16	03-08 18:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$886	552	552	+0	Yes	+$216	03-08 22:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$629	968	968	+0	No	+$29	03-10 01:25
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	3	$587	552	509	+43	Yes	-$16	03-06 18:06
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	22	$506	551	551	+0	No	+$18	05-27 13:02
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$381	231	231	+0	No	+$81	03-31 23:02
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$277	1,516	1,516	+0	No	-$123	03-08 18:50
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 50m and 75m views in its first 7 days	5	$245	3,069	3,069	+0	No	-$227	02-11 12:54
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	5	$159	1,177	177	+1,000	Joao Fonseca	+$29	05-29 18:56
will marc anthony perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$140	170	0	+170	No	+$30	02-08 23:51
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$133	1,140	1,140	+0	No	-$99	03-08 18:48
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$114	2,233	0	+2,233	No	-$114	03-06 15:22
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$103	1,166	1,166	+0	No	-$77	03-08 18:48
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	+$5	01-26 20:17
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$85	10,000	8,800	+1,200	No	-$15	03-03 00:51
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$79	1,492	1,492	+0	No	-$41	03-08 18:48
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	2	$79	45	45	+0	No	+$10	01-23 01:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 21:46:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf50c49…
06-24 23:26:59	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,397	99¢	$1,383	0x1cec7e…
06-16 17:02:19	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	380	7¢	$25	0x387dce…
06-11 18:11:49	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x9e4ea3…
05-29 18:56:09	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x6cfeaa…
05-29 18:53:26	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	77	7¢	$5	0xe3b0aa…
05-29 18:52:55	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x42756a…
05-29 18:50:43	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x5cd651…
05-29 18:39:54	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x21d0d9…
05-29 18:39:37	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	900	7¢	$59	0x5f5d9e…
05-27 13:02:49	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	188	23¢	$44	0x369efc…
05-27 12:00:10	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	167	60¢	$100	0xa11431…
05-27 11:59:56	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	191	60¢	$115	0x058555…
05-27 11:56:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb3595c…
05-26 10:04:23	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2c63d9…
05-26 09:04:56	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x09289d…
05-26 08:54:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xd83037…
05-26 08:06:13	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x1751ce…
05-26 07:21:24	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xfae633…
05-26 07:08:20	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb4ba16…
05-25 20:02:53	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x31c55b…
05-25 19:35:09	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x6db9e2…
05-25 19:31:39	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x30e9ba…
05-25 19:08:38	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x640e95…
05-25 15:22:20	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xa79a4f…
05-25 15:09:14	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xd170c9…
05-25 14:53:57	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x287f25…
05-25 14:53:15	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x70dd32…
05-25 14:45:18	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x79a952…
05-25 14:39:10	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf5ec1b…
05-25 13:37:45	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	74	48¢	$36	0xbb986a…
05-20 15:50:41	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x7d42ad…
05-18 20:37:57	Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xac998f…
05-18 20:36:45	Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0xa9989b…
05-18 18:05:03	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,304	84¢	$1,095	0x71aaa9…
05-18 18:03:24	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	93	84¢	$78	0xfa4235…
04-13 20:52:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x8365e4…
04-12 18:58:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	608	97¢	$590	0x7cc560…
03-31 23:02:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x7632b8…
03-26 21:35:35	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	SELL	1,743	99¢	$1,731	0xb45bc2…
03-20 16:16:57	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,743	97¢	$1,699	0xf79a85…
03-16 19:48:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	231	65¢	$150	0xf0f9e0…
03-12 19:54:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	118	85¢	$100	0xd4a697…
03-12 19:27:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x047519…
03-12 16:55:25	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	1,834	40¢	$733	0x722be7…
03-12 15:47:23	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	760	40¢	$300	0xa935e3…
03-12 15:46:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x89b3c7…
03-12 15:46:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x565c10…
03-12 15:46:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x13588c…
03-12 15:46:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0x38c669…
03-12 15:45:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd9362d…
03-12 15:45:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x7db585…
03-12 15:45:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7d416d…
03-12 15:45:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x51b562…
03-12 15:45:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	70	39¢	$28	0x1a9824…
03-12 15:44:39	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x46d8a7…
03-12 15:43:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	431	40¢	$170	0x710df4…
03-12 15:41:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	300	85¢	$255	0x07e7ef…
03-12 15:27:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	44	62¢	$27	0x3d4db6…
03-10 01:25:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	968	34¢	$329	0x1a2b4d…
03-09 19:43:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	278	65¢	$180	0xc7785d…
03-09 19:43:05	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x5c468a…
03-09 17:00:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xa0d5d4…
03-09 17:00:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x93204e…
03-09 17:00:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcbe6e7…
03-09 17:00:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xc5b230…
03-08 22:08:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	552	100¢	$551	0xefdd4c…
03-08 22:07:23	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	1,486	25¢	$372	0x506fc7…
03-08 22:04:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x295932…
03-08 22:04:23	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xf9d4ff…
03-08 22:04:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x29fbbc…
03-08 22:04:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xea9d81…
03-08 22:04:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	187	25¢	$47	0x10c6e7…
03-08 21:19:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	1,728	0¢	$9	0x8a5383…
03-08 21:19:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xfa82c5…
03-08 21:19:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd72344…
03-08 21:09:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	SELL	289	10¢	$29	0xf0896a…
03-08 21:08:49	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	289	10¢	$29	0x2fa419…
03-08 18:59:41	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	660	78¢	$516	0x0ae3a6…
03-08 18:50:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x31dfa3…
03-08 18:50:07	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,516	5¢	$77	0x7fcaaa…
03-08 18:48:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0xe736c3…
03-08 18:48:27	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,140	2¢	$17	0xf39349…
03-08 18:48:13	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,166	1¢	$13	0xf60d10…
03-08 18:48:01	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,492	1¢	$19	0x684f9e…
03-08 18:47:41	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	821	1¢	$9	0x3b50be…
03-08 14:41:01	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	821	6¢	$46	0xef7c9f…
03-08 14:40:33	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1,492	4¢	$60	0x93a938…
03-06 20:22:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x23e2f3…
03-06 19:10:35	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1,140	10¢	$116	0xa5bc3c…
03-06 18:06:27	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0xb5d1d8…
03-06 15:22:13	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xbae174…
03-06 15:22:11	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xceb95a…
03-06 15:22:11	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x85986f…
03-06 15:21:31	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$6	0x28fe4e…
03-06 15:21:25	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xf61dab…
03-06 14:34:27	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,013	5¢	$100	0x3f0799…
03-06 14:33:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	162	62¢	$100	0xb73323…
03-06 13:46:25	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	1,262	67¢	$846	0x123904…
03-05 22:18:19	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1,166	8¢	$90	0xfd17ff…