Mammoth-Cushion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$634

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-25 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

81% 74% +$16

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Politics

8% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$51	100	0	+100	Yes	+$49	06-25 08:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$49	100	0	+100	Yes	+$51	06-04 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$37	100	0	+100	No	-$37	06-04 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$34	100	0	+100	No	-$34	06-25 08:04
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	05-25 02:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 25?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-25 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-11 03:52
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	05-18 01:41
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-29 09:18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-01 00:56
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 6?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-06 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 7?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-07 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 7?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-07 00:37
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-18 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-14 09:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 25?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-25 02:49
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-22 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 7?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-07 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 21?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-21 01:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-22 09:08
Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	-$1	05-18 02:02
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-27 00:29
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 6?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	05-06 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-07 00:37
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-12 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or higher on May 6?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-06 09:10
Will Joseph Palimeno be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-18 02:02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$7	100	0	+100	No	-$7	06-04 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$6	100	0	+100	No	-$6	06-25 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on May 7?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-07 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 08:04:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf812a6…
06-25 08:04:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xc52303…
06-25 08:04:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x46c13f…
06-14 09:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb99f4…
06-07 00:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x34baa5…
06-07 00:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xacb1e5…
06-04 08:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x7aca86…
06-04 08:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x5c94c8…
06-04 08:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x1ac11d…
06-01 00:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc886dc…
05-27 00:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xabf75d…
05-25 02:49:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe17ef3…
05-25 02:49:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x828968…
05-25 02:47:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3a6d97…
05-22 09:09:01	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x935a34…
05-22 09:08:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x59b8ae…
05-21 01:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 21?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2789ab…
05-18 02:05:53	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9ba11e…
05-18 02:02:35	Will Joseph Palimeno be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x600693…
05-18 02:02:23	Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xc76e69…
05-18 01:41:44	AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x9b20a3…
05-15 08:20:57	Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x311356…
05-15 08:20:23	AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x98f7ce…
05-15 08:20:01	Will Joseph Palimeno be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x787aeb…
05-12 07:44:21	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc4e79…
05-11 03:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4bdfdc…
05-07 00:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90d973…
05-07 00:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 7?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4d337d…
05-07 00:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x817308…
05-06 09:13:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbd1646…
05-06 09:11:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 6?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd8680d…
05-06 09:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e049f…
04-29 09:18:36	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xae1466…