Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$573
$1,760 in 24h
Trades
53
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$2,872
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 11:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $275 | $275 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $7 | $218 | $211 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $3 | $387 | $384 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| Median | 7 | — | $22 | $22 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $48 | $48 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $14 | $12 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +162 | $158 | $158 | 1 | 05-09 08:30 |
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +120 | $116 | $116 | 1 | 05-10 05:13 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +105 | $101 | $101 | 16 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | +59 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 05-10 11:04 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | +46 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:47 |
| Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | +45 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-10 08:01 |
| Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | +37 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:38 |
| Regal-Doubling 0x9a50…6c35 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:37 |
| Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:57 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 14:53 |
| Distant-Waterskiing-Box 0x0786…df1d | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 08:19 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 07:36 |
| Crazy-Ketch 0xfacb…f441 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:40 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 08:26 |
| Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:43 |
| Cheery-Pizza 0x6cb5…b230 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 19:28 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 18:49 |
| Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 11:04:40 | Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | BUY | 59 | 95¢ | $56 | 0x12892f… |
| 05-10 09:23:31 | Frightening-Manufacturing 0x0242…aa29 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1ee91a… |
| 05-10 08:42:25 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2dfff6… |
| 05-10 08:37:34 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x38f985… |
| 05-10 08:37:33 | Regal-Doubling 0x9a50…6c35 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2ff6a4… |
| 05-10 08:26:42 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf2e808… |
| 05-10 08:23:08 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb3783e… |
| 05-10 08:23:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x58b374… |
| 05-10 08:19:43 | Distant-Waterskiing-Box 0x0786…df1d | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x5a524f… |
| 05-10 08:12:54 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1edf9f… |
| 05-10 08:12:45 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xcf9f9c… |
| 05-10 08:06:34 | Untidy-Form 0xe2c5…b9b6 | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xb8b35c… |
| 05-10 08:01:33 | Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | BUY | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x98390e… |
| 05-10 07:57:49 | Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xde16c6… |
| 05-10 07:47:23 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x682631… |
| 05-10 07:36:33 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x4821ca… |
| 05-10 06:07:13 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x74dde3… |
| 05-10 05:13:00 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 120 | 97¢ | $116 | 0xdca3c0… |
| 05-10 04:26:11 | Partial-Dead 0x76a0…bf09 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x5e7078… |
| 05-10 04:21:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x78f673… |
| 05-10 04:21:03 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x788f66… |
| 05-10 04:21:03 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbc247b… |
| 05-10 04:11:10 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xaf604c… |
| 05-10 04:11:01 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x186dad… |
| 05-10 04:10:40 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xaadfd1… |
| 05-10 04:10:28 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x98d2f1… |
| 05-10 02:43:56 | Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x93abaa… |
| 05-10 02:40:17 | Crazy-Ketch 0xfacb…f441 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x13add3… |
| 05-10 02:38:34 | Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | BUY | 37 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xbb5e63… |
| 05-10 02:21:56 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x6db3cb… |
| 05-10 02:21:53 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0xecd323… |
| 05-10 02:21:51 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x073403… |
| 05-10 02:21:39 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x97258a… |
| 05-10 02:21:35 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x171898… |
| 05-10 02:21:32 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x464b20… |
| 05-10 02:21:30 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe3cd34… |
| 05-10 02:21:25 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1540ac… |
| 05-10 02:21:23 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd9d2d4… |
| 05-10 02:21:19 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x20a78f… |
| 05-10 02:21:14 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5b3a51… |
| 05-10 02:21:11 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf8c03d… |
| 05-10 02:21:00 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x224383… |
| 05-10 02:20:58 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4d748d… |
| 05-10 02:20:55 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x31b02d… |
| 05-10 02:20:51 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7616e0… |
| 05-10 02:03:49 | Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x1b8a20… |
| 05-09 22:00:17 | Cheery-Pizza 0x6cb5…b230 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x526a45… |
| 05-09 19:28:23 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfe29a9… |
| 05-09 19:22:38 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe321f5… |
| 05-09 18:49:41 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x871d07… |
| 05-09 14:53:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdc842a… |
| 05-09 14:53:55 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xe6a73c… |
| 05-09 08:30:07 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 162 | 98¢ | $158 | 0x6afc3a… |