Realized P&L
-$2.09K
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
17.2%
Resolved
657
Trades
3,404
lifetime
Volume
$19.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$66
6 positions
First seen
2026-07-27
last 09-06 00:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
80% 18% -$1,672
Politics
14% 18% -$316
Sports
2% 25% -$82
Tech
1% 40% +$31
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$65
Crypto
1% 38% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 297 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +37 $33 96¢ $36 +$3 08-28 03:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +91 $20 24¢ $21 +$1 08-24 03:07
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 08-25 13:42
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $12 4¢ $4 -$9 08-28 02:25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +10 $14 3¢ $0 -$13 08-25 13:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 08-15 22:39