Turbulent-Gingerbread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$415

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 09-08 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$10

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	1	$1.1K	1,103	0	+1,103	No	+$2	03-03 01:15
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$3	03-02 00:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	1	$1.1K	1,096	0	+1,096	No	+$2	03-01 08:02
ethereum above 2200 on february 28	1	$1.1K	1,092	0	+1,092	No	+$3	02-28 00:46
bitcoin above 72k on february 27	1	$1.1K	1,089	0	+1,089	No	+$3	02-27 01:59
ethereum above 2200 on february 25	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	+$2	02-25 01:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$3	02-24 01:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	No	+$3	02-23 03:28
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$2	02-22 01:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$3	02-21 02:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	No	+$3	02-20 01:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$3	02-19 00:18
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	Yes	+$3	02-18 04:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17?	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	No	+$2	06-17 01:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 18?	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	No	+$2	06-18 01:22
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 16?	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$2	06-16 01:43
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 15?	1	$1.1K	1,056	0	+1,056	No	+$2	06-15 02:02
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13?	1	$1.0K	1,052	0	+1,052	No	+$2	06-13 02:58
xrp above 0pt6 on june 14 2026	1	$1.0K	1,052	0	+1,052	Yes	+$2	06-14 05:07
ethereum above 1400 on june 12 2026	1	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Yes	+$2	06-12 01:28
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 11?	1	$1.0K	1,048	0	+1,048	No	+$2	06-11 02:47
ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	1	$1.0K	1,046	0	+1,046	No	+$2	06-10 03:00
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	08-06 02:57
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	-$25	08-18 02:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	07-29 02:15
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-21 03:15
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	01-19 10:23
xrp above 1pt9 on february 10	1	$8	1,141	0	+1,141	No	-$8	02-10 02:18
will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-14 08:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-08 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 02:41:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x096114…
08-18 02:12:40	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xeda272…
08-06 02:57:18	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x97b858…
07-29 02:15:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0d576e…
07-21 03:15:52	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa0c894…
07-14 08:40:40	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x776c80…
07-09 04:26:31	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x203034…
07-03 09:28:14	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6ea0b9…
06-18 01:22:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 18?	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,058	0x90ea34…
06-17 01:44:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17?	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,058	0xa41a12…
06-16 01:43:45	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 16?	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,056	0x77fbc7…
06-15 02:02:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 15?	No	BUY	1,056	100¢	$1,054	0x83146d…
06-14 05:07:24	xrp above 0pt6 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,052	100¢	$1,050	0x5d1f01…
06-13 02:58:01	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13?	No	BUY	1,052	100¢	$1,050	0x39064d…
06-12 01:28:22	ethereum above 1400 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,048	0x89ebc4…
06-11 02:47:45	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 11?	No	BUY	1,048	100¢	$1,046	0x5e482e…
06-10 03:00:27	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	1,046	100¢	$1,044	0x413755…
06-06 02:24:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0xcc4b8c…
06-02 03:13:52	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xee3fda…
05-28 02:39:57	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$2	0x9c0b3c…
05-21 09:21:18	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x012e88…
05-19 02:32:25	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$2	0x1b8091…
05-11 02:09:54	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,078	0¢	$2	0xdcdc5b…
05-06 06:04:20	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa71288…
05-02 02:51:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$2	0x7a7f91…
04-21 01:46:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 21	Yes	BUY	1,098	0¢	$2	0xb6f17d…
04-14 03:12:43	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x26bd53…
04-12 02:03:31	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	987	0¢	$2	0xc27c7b…
04-06 11:19:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc4937b…
04-03 09:01:13	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 3	Yes	BUY	1,091	0¢	$2	0x3be59d…
03-26 01:55:47	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on march 26	Yes	BUY	1,145	0¢	$2	0xb6af8a…
03-19 03:28:07	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 19	Yes	BUY	1,132	0¢	$2	0xe9c601…
03-13 03:00:47	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,108	0¢	$2	0xc8cf3c…
03-08 03:16:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,099	0¢	$3	0x75d623…
03-03 01:15:03	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	No	BUY	1,103	100¢	$1,100	0x158d4d…
03-02 00:37:25	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,097	0xa1fbcf…
03-01 08:02:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	No	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,093	0x8e1f05…
02-28 00:46:27	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	1,092	100¢	$1,089	0x0a6ad6…
02-27 01:59:56	bitcoin above 72k on february 27	No	BUY	1,089	100¢	$1,085	0xa01207…
02-25 01:02:10	ethereum above 2200 on february 25	No	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,081	0x3646f7…
02-24 01:30:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,077	0xad82fa…
02-23 03:28:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,074	0xeeb535…
02-22 01:27:36	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,071	0x3c23e4…
02-21 02:28:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,069	0x685add…
02-20 01:00:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 20	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,066	0x3a5b74…
02-19 00:18:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on february 19	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,063	0x5622e1…
02-18 04:51:20	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,060	0xa8f3dd…
02-15 23:25:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 16	Yes	BUY	1,093	0¢	$3	0xc77f56…
02-10 02:18:23	xrp above 1pt9 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,141	1¢	$8	0x1beffa…
02-02 06:03:54	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x17d97e…
02-02 01:09:48	ethereum above 3000 on february 2	Yes	BUY	1,082	0¢	$1	0x667986…
01-30 07:31:38	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec31c1…
01-29 07:36:56	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd54c0…
01-27 03:52:15	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62abe0…
01-25 01:49:38	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$2	0xf72d34…
01-19 10:23:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa49049…
01-18 12:20:58	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xca2a09…