Cultivated-Railway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$116

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$921

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-29 10:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

88% 100% +$8

Other

7% — —

Sports

4% 50% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No		+1,615	$801	56¢	$913	+$111	06-23 13:01
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No		+10	$4	86¢	$9	+$4	06-21 06:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	21	$7.2K	14,238	14,238	+0	open	—	06-19 22:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	32	$4.5K	5,750	5,833	-83	open	—	06-19 12:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	6	$3.5K	1,856	1,856	+0	open	—	06-21 09:53
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	22	$1.0K	1,876	260	+1,615	open	—	06-23 13:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	2	$468	288	288	+0	open	—	06-19 04:40
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$364	0	500	-500	open	—	06-08 19:49
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5	2	$211	150	148	+2	open	—	04-28 02:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	2	$196	128	118	+10	open	—	06-21 06:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	9	$148	232	232	+0	open	—	05-09 16:56
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5	4	$126	177	174	+3	open	—	04-28 03:17
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	2	$118	101	99	+2	open	—	04-26 23:16
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5	2	$89	78	77	+1	open	—	04-26 19:57
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	8	$84	181	181	+0	open	—	06-29 10:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$74	69	69	+0	open	—	04-25 16:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$72	79	79	+0	open	—	04-27 02:31
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	3	$70	317	317	+0	open	—	06-23 06:54
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	5	$63	1,530	1,530	+0	open	—	06-23 06:55
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5	2	$61	80	79	+1	open	—	04-28 03:17
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	2	$61	42	42	+0	open	—	06-19 23:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$56	0	68	-68	open	—	06-08 19:51
will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	4	$47	60	60	+0	open	—	06-19 23:04
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	2	$44	37	37	+0	open	—	05-09 16:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$43	370	359	+11	Yes	+$8	05-08 18:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	06-29 10:42
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5	1	$40	78	0	+78	open	—	04-28 14:31
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	1	$30	97	0	+97	open	—	05-09 16:50
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5	2	$28	41	40	+1	open	—	04-26 17:35
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	04-25 16:19
will steve witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	06-20 13:37
russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	06-23 11:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 10:46:22	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0xfbc310…
06-29 10:45:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xb8badc…
06-29 10:42:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xca41bb…
06-25 06:12:53	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xc6ea17…
06-24 18:28:53	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0x08db7b…
06-24 16:12:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0x20d99d…
06-23 13:01:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	578	49¢	$283	0xaf9d1e…
06-23 12:47:44	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0x53088b…
06-23 11:52:02	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	82	51¢	$42	0xf83e94…
06-23 11:31:37	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x8bf8c7…
06-23 07:21:04	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	205	51¢	$105	0xbd6250…
06-23 07:12:22	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xea51b2…
06-23 06:55:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,530	1¢	$12	0x8075b3…
06-23 06:54:49	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	317	8¢	$25	0x56a803…
06-23 06:51:32	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0xddd959…
06-23 06:49:13	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3e47b2…
06-23 04:06:32	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0x14408b…
06-23 04:05:56	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x10e066…
06-23 03:11:34	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xde6a61…
06-23 01:53:02	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x94a8b4…
06-23 01:35:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xea5fd4…
06-22 12:06:35	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x45f0a5…
06-21 09:53:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	137	99¢	$135	0xed8878…
06-21 08:04:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,531	99¢	$1,519	0x7d1ba5…
06-21 08:03:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0xbed6d9…
06-21 07:02:25	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	142	54¢	$76	0xbf1550…
06-21 06:59:35	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	118	81¢	$96	0x72419e…
06-21 06:55:02	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0x2fbfc8…
06-20 20:57:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	191	89¢	$170	0x4eeed3…
06-20 20:50:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	226	89¢	$200	0x8dcd47…
06-20 20:46:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,439	90¢	$1,300	0x22b085…
06-20 13:37:14	will steve witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xa85b52…
06-19 23:36:22	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0x16f168…
06-19 23:18:01	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	55	11¢	$6	0x7e8746…
06-19 23:16:58	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	75	50¢	$38	0xd1f47d…
06-19 23:04:38	will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2adcaa…
06-19 22:58:53	will steve witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc8241a…
06-19 22:58:13	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x63cdb9…
06-19 22:54:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	3,984	14¢	$552	0xb74689…
06-19 12:58:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	136	34¢	$46	0x943347…
06-19 12:57:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	408	34¢	$137	0xdee6ef…
06-19 05:31:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xf9ef18…
06-19 04:40:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	288	93¢	$268	0x6e6026…
06-19 02:50:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	1,004	14¢	$137	0xbf5360…
06-19 02:24:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	459	4¢	$17	0x69d2ea…
06-18 20:19:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	690	9¢	$60	0xc46483…
06-18 19:46:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	1,150	9¢	$100	0x22280d…
06-18 19:39:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	288	69¢	$200	0x95b0be…
06-18 19:38:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	543	18¢	$100	0x06d512…
06-18 09:47:47	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xcf4c50…
06-18 09:34:14	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1dc9e3…
06-18 09:19:08	will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x793bd2…
06-18 09:15:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$32	0xdad646…
06-18 09:11:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x3e73f7…
06-18 08:50:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xf523ff…
06-18 05:48:20	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xcd2d2f…
06-18 05:42:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x239b62…
06-18 05:35:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	990	16¢	$160	0xa4260a…
06-18 05:35:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	330	17¢	$55	0xcd068b…
06-18 05:32:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	9,000	7¢	$630	0x267def…
06-18 05:29:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	440	17¢	$75	0x6c0cf1…
06-18 05:15:26	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	71	19¢	$14	0x629572…
06-18 04:59:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x435bbe…
06-18 04:58:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0xa1025c…
06-18 04:57:01	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xb88f7d…
06-18 04:44:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xd2bfb3…
06-18 04:43:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xd02d7c…
06-18 04:42:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	16¢	$11	0x250f36…
06-18 04:41:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	16¢	$11	0x48527e…
06-18 04:40:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x2bac84…
06-18 04:40:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	16¢	$15	0x20e798…
06-18 04:35:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	16¢	$48	0x204c15…
06-17 05:53:38	will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	No	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x09f152…
06-16 20:59:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0xe62017…
06-16 20:58:13	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xe17727…
06-16 20:52:37	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0xb798d6…
06-16 20:48:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x256cbf…
06-16 20:39:29	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x69d00c…
06-16 20:29:34	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x08dd45…
06-16 20:21:49	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	82	44¢	$36	0x0170d7…
06-16 20:18:20	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xda91fb…
06-16 08:15:22	will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x31dc65…
06-16 08:07:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x30c60d…
06-14 23:34:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x197613…
06-14 23:33:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x483026…
06-14 23:33:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbc2948…
06-14 23:32:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe69903…
06-14 23:32:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd22fb1…
06-14 23:32:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x41a64a…
06-14 23:31:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xff7a37…
06-14 23:30:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x312237…
06-14 22:43:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4fafcf…
06-14 22:27:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x1e9367…
06-14 22:23:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa36b24…
06-14 22:22:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x15c5da…
06-14 22:15:45	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x805f95…
06-14 21:28:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0x2ff36c…
06-12 20:03:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x5e1e0f…
06-12 19:57:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	450	33¢	$150	0xc3495d…
06-12 19:56:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,575	32¢	$500	0xbd311b…