Orderly-Pay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-14 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

46% 50% $-81

Crypto

31% — —

Politics

14% — —

Sports

10% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$275	278	278	+0	open	—	05-04 04:59
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$122	217	217	+0	No	+$22	04-16 13:37
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	10	$78	28,320	0	+28,320	open	—	04-06 12:21
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$54	834	0	+834	Yes	$-54	05-12 13:48
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	1	$51	70	0	+70	open	—	04-02 11:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-29 09:06
bitcoin above 62k on april 4	1	$50	10,585	0	+10,585	open	—	04-03 14:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50	4,545	0	+4,545	open	—	03-30 05:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 1	1	$50	378	0	+378	open	—	04-01 08:25
bitcoin above 68k on march 31	1	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	03-30 12:21
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$49	327	0	+327	open	—	05-12 13:48
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere	1	$48	131	0	+131	Lanlana Tararudee	$-48	05-05 05:23
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	1	$48	688	0	+688	open	—	05-04 07:13
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$42	140	0	+140	open	—	05-14 13:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$40	62	0	+62	open	—	04-16 13:44
ethereum above 2100 on april 2	1	$35	937	0	+937	open	—	04-02 11:31
bitcoin above 68k on april 6	1	$35	184	0	+184	open	—	04-06 07:04
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	1	$25	98	0	+98	open	—	03-29 19:23
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	1	$24	40	0	+40	open	—	05-03 13:51
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$20	426	0	+426	open	—	05-14 05:35
bitcoin above 64k on april 4	1	$18	1,363	0	+1,363	open	—	04-03 14:58
bitcoin above 68k on april 1	1	$15	45	0	+45	open	—	04-01 13:00
Paris: Anna Blinkova vs Leylah Fernandez	1	$15	25	0	+25	Anna Blinkova	+$10	05-12 13:52
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	1	$11	62	0	+62	open	—	05-03 17:48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	1	$10	75	0	+75	Coco Gauff	$-10	05-11 11:08
bitcoin above 66k on april 6	1	$10	618	0	+618	open	—	04-06 07:05
FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Rubin Kazan: O/U 2.5	1	$10	23	0	+23	Over	+$13	05-11 15:45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$10	17	0	+17	Nikoloz Basilashvili	$-10	05-11 11:04
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	1	$10	376	0	+376	open	—	04-29 09:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko	1	$10	19	0	+19	Jelena Ostapenko	+$9	05-11 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 13:51:23	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xefa718…
05-14 13:32:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0xaaa920…
05-14 05:35:40	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	426	5¢	$20	0x942587…
05-12 13:52:07	Paris: Anna Blinkova vs Leylah Fernandez	Anna Blinkova	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x8d4dff…
05-12 13:48:59	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xc82c0f…
05-12 13:48:35	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xdfd1c6…
05-11 15:45:54	FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Rubin Kazan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xec188c…
05-11 15:39:29	Oeiras 4: Henrique Rocha vs Roman Safiullin	Roman Safiullin	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xaf34ea…
05-11 11:08:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	Iva Jovic	BUY	75	14¢	$10	0x131176…
05-11 11:04:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x260703…
05-11 11:03:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdd15b5…
05-05 05:23:54	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere	Sofya Lansere	BUY	131	37¢	$48	0xbd8124…
05-04 07:13:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	688	7¢	$48	0xc21c19…
05-04 04:59:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	278	76¢	$211	0xbc0d03…
05-03 17:48:18	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	62	18¢	$11	0xf5ff0c…
05-03 13:51:58	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xe02300…
05-03 09:35:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	278	23¢	$64	0xe3bda0…
05-01 16:53:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	185	26¢	$48	0x423b71…
05-01 16:50:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	682	7¢	$49	0x247cb8…
04-29 09:13:10	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	376	3¢	$10	0x613a01…
04-29 09:06:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0x761b57…
04-16 13:44:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x44189e…
04-16 13:40:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	576	1¢	$6	0x081ecb…
04-16 13:39:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xb0535e…
04-16 13:37:16	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	217	33¢	$72	0x742349…
04-06 12:21:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	725	0¢	$1	0xfbd60b…
04-06 12:21:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	635	0¢	$1	0xf0e7b8…
04-06 12:21:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	540	0¢	$1	0xe29fc6…
04-06 12:21:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	660	0¢	$1	0xdf196e…
04-06 12:21:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	325	0¢	$0	0x704c8d…
04-06 12:21:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	640	0¢	$1	0x15cb9a…
04-06 12:21:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	16,775	0¢	$17	0xdf4e25…
04-06 12:21:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0x76a867…
04-06 12:12:53	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0xc4b1ae…
04-06 07:24:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	1,370	4¢	$51	0xa80132…
04-06 07:18:05	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x40d299…
04-06 07:05:17	bitcoin above 66k on april 6	No	BUY	618	2¢	$10	0x14180d…
04-06 07:04:47	bitcoin above 68k on april 6	No	BUY	184	19¢	$35	0xe7fdcd…
04-03 14:59:33	bitcoin above 62k on april 4	No	BUY	10,585	0¢	$50	0x178eac…
04-03 14:58:07	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	No	BUY	1,363	1¢	$18	0x3bd7d8…
04-02 11:33:13	bitcoin above 66k on april 2	Yes	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0x775daa…
04-02 11:31:13	ethereum above 2100 on april 2	Yes	BUY	937	4¢	$35	0x2e604c…
04-01 13:00:23	bitcoin above 68k on april 1	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x07aba4…
04-01 08:25:19	bitcoin above 70k on april 1	Yes	BUY	378	13¢	$50	0x2a50ff…
03-30 12:21:56	bitcoin above 68k on march 31	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xeba1d5…
03-30 05:58:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,545	1¢	$50	0x031a30…
03-29 19:23:06	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	Yes	BUY	98	26¢	$25	0x19258c…
03-29 19:01:18	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xdf13cd…