Pungent-Strand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

391

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-25 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$0

Other

41% 0% $-10

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeast say subscribe or subscribers during his next video	4	$165	99	101	-2	open	—	04-04 16:15
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	3	$82	100	100	+0	open	—	03-10 07:01
will iran strike israel on march 10	6	$73	477	84	+393	open	—	03-15 17:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$71	57	57	+0	open	—	04-07 22:57
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	3	$70	46	46	+0	open	—	04-09 05:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$68	95	48	+48	open	—	04-19 17:10
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	4	$58	43	43	+0	open	—	04-19 12:23
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	4	$56	33	32	+0	open	—	04-08 16:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	03-31 14:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$49	119	119	+0	open	—	05-20 12:37
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	5	$48	69	69	+0	open	—	04-14 12:52
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	6	$48	1,067	27	+1,041	open	—	04-15 13:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4	2	$40	39	39	+0	open	—	03-11 11:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$40	52	52	+0	open	—	04-09 13:13
will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 3	3	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	03-09 19:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	3	$30	112	0	+112	open	—	04-17 13:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	04-15 11:05
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 12 2026	11	$26	0	40	-40	open	—	04-12 21:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	2	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	03-14 04:49
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-09 19:23
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	2	$23	22	21	+1	open	—	04-25 05:26
will mrbeast say feastables during his next video	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	03-21 18:00
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	4	$22	39	39	+0	open	—	04-07 23:05
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 25 2026 17c	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-25 17:02
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	04-21 14:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$20	71	0	+71	open	—	05-20 16:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-04 02:56
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-12 12:51
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-10 15:31
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 24 2026 20c	2	$18	18	1	+17	open	—	03-24 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 21:16:43	btc updown 5m 1782422100	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6f2fe7…
06-25 21:16:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x644558…
06-21 17:28:41	btc updown 5m 1782062700	Up	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x249d90…
06-19 12:42:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xeb2706…
06-17 11:32:41	btc updown 5m 1781695800	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0356a0…
06-17 11:22:10	btc updown 5m 1781695200	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x35b0ea…
06-13 19:41:51	btc updown 5m 1781380200	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x020b09…
06-13 19:41:34	btc updown 5m 1781379900	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfc374d…
06-13 19:40:39	btc updown 5m 1781379600	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1ddb62…
06-13 19:37:46	btc updown 5m 1781379300	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb6ecf8…
06-13 05:00:52	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc3b57f…
06-10 20:32:39	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 5 times during his next youtube video 20260609182228649	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb88d45…
06-10 20:27:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x23d320…
06-10 20:27:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0f56fd…
06-10 20:18:36	btc updown 5m 1781122500	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xb6022f…
06-10 20:17:07	btc updown 5m 1781122500	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5b74b2…
06-06 08:31:33	btc updown 5m 1780734600	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3ca688…
06-04 18:03:48	btc updown 5m 1780596000	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x512850…
06-04 18:02:36	btc updown 5m 1780596300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe08c87…
06-04 18:00:12	btc updown 5m 1780596000	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x971d6b…
06-04 17:58:15	btc updown 5m 1780595700	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xaf20ec…
06-04 17:54:25	btc updown 5m 1780595700	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8a3162…
06-03 20:18:12	btc updown 5m 1780517700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2b932d…
06-03 20:13:48	btc updown 5m 1780517700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc19dbf…
06-03 20:07:57	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x751847…
06-03 20:07:43	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x220a24…
05-20 21:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfe0efb…
05-20 16:35:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xe50dce…
05-20 16:34:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x68c42f…
05-20 12:37:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	119	20¢	$24	0x305b6e…
05-20 12:32:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x187586…
05-15 18:50:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe1541e…
05-15 18:49:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xb45a59…
05-15 14:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe49a73…
05-15 11:21:15	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x57a7a6…
05-15 07:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x9f79c2…
05-15 07:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x416d2d…
05-14 21:11:29	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x375ca5…
05-14 21:10:43	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd60a48…
05-12 21:25:57	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x703dbe…
05-12 21:24:45	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6786b0…
05-12 21:24:33	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4f0484…
05-12 12:51:46	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x6fc358…
05-11 20:49:07	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x5f0560…
05-07 19:10:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3c31d4…
05-04 02:56:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xd1e30d…
05-02 13:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x8b444e…
05-02 13:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdd835a…
05-02 10:31:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3d4d3e…
05-02 07:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa37736…
05-01 21:58:52	Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x413aa3…
05-01 20:57:42	Will MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next video?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0653a1…
05-01 19:09:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x399d3e…
04-30 14:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2005ed…
04-29 20:09:16	Will Google say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x293724…
04-28 16:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x3d85f7…
04-28 16:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9e821f…
04-28 16:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x799fbf…
04-28 08:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x5e0d3a…
04-28 04:48:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xab48ff…
04-28 04:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x962ef8…
04-27 13:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xbce792…
04-27 13:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc57e19…
04-27 13:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x7d408a…
04-27 13:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x514ba6…
04-27 06:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb064e2…
04-26 17:04:12	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xec48e0…
04-26 15:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5cdb5d…
04-25 16:02:06	Will Trump say "Air Force" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x63b4ce…
04-25 16:01:58	Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7fbed5…
04-25 16:01:06	Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x99dcff…
04-25 05:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x115836…
04-25 05:26:50	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf942be…
04-25 05:26:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x89448d…
04-24 20:24:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x87b4e6…
04-24 14:03:40	btc updown 5m 1777039200	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc5f96…
04-24 14:01:52	btc updown 5m 1777039200	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4adb1e…
04-24 13:57:06	btc updown 5m 1777038900	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb9b24b…
04-24 13:55:50	btc updown 5m 1777038900	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8d8994…
04-24 13:55:32	btc updown 5m 1777038900	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1632f7…
04-24 13:08:10	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x57d955…
04-24 10:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfc1aba…
04-24 10:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x612a59…
04-24 10:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x0cbb69…
04-23 19:45:54	eth updown 5m 1776973500	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x965339…
04-23 15:26:18	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd4da94…
04-23 15:26:16	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x04ce50…
04-23 15:23:46	btc updown 5m 1776957600	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc029ed…
04-22 21:57:30	btc updown 5m 1776894900	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7649f6…
04-22 21:56:06	btc updown 5m 1776894900	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7c0af1…
04-22 20:59:26	btc updown 5m 1776891300	Down	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0xcfb042…
04-22 20:58:18	btc updown 5m 1776891300	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x83b50b…
04-22 20:57:30	btc updown 5m 1776891300	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1783b9…
04-22 20:56:06	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x450e36…
04-22 20:55:12	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9b5818…
04-22 18:32:06	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe8955d…
04-22 14:00:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6760f1…
04-22 13:58:16	Will Trump say "Air Force" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe5512a…
04-22 13:57:54	Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbb43fc…
04-22 05:49:36	btc updown 5m 1776836700	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x04f546…