Natural-Conifer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$36

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-09 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-10 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-10 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-10 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-10 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$4	62	+62	open	—	05-10 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-10 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 08:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd19b42…
05-10 06:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0x5444d8…
05-10 04:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf09aa6…
05-10 01:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x780a81…
05-10 01:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2b7ee8…
05-10 01:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb8314a…
05-10 00:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8ce785…
05-09 14:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5b95b7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$2.94K	191	05-10 08:04
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	8	$974	100	05-10 08:04
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$4.89K	61	05-10 08:02
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	7	$3.63K	30	05-10 08:03
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	7	$1.45K	115	05-10 08:03
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	7	$753	58	05-10 08:03
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	6	$614	18	05-10 06:37
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	6	$522	17	05-10 06:37