Sweltering-Integrity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

26.4%

Resolved

147

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$76.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$440

Open exposure

$112

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-10 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 98% +$165

Sports

21% 78% -$8

Politics

21% 57% -$9

Other

11% 94% -$106

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No		+128	$105	87¢	$112	+$6	10-10 02:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$8.0K	4,038	4,038	+0	No	-$4	03-08 11:58
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$8.0K	4,023	4,023	+0	No	-$4	03-10 01:57
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$8.0K	4,043	4,042	+0	No	-$4	03-08 12:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$8.0K	4,027	4,027	+0	Yes	-$4	03-11 02:54
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$8.0K	4,019	4,019	+0	No	-$4	03-10 02:12
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$8.0K	4,015	4,015	+0	No	-$4	03-12 02:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$8.0K	4,023	4,023	+0	Yes	-$4	03-11 03:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 9	1	$3.8K	3,850	0	+3,850	No	+$4	03-09 05:56
ethereum above 2300 on march 11	3	$3.8K	3,809	0	+3,809	No	+$4	03-11 05:47
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 8	3	$3.1K	3,107	0	+3,107	No	+$7	03-08 17:15
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 10	2	$2.0K	1,953	0	+1,953	No	+$2	03-10 03:07
will ethereum dip to 1950 on march 11	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$1	03-12 03:29
will xrp reach 1pt45 on march 11	2	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$1	03-12 02:55
will ethereum reach 2100 on march 11	1	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	No	+$1	03-12 03:31
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 10	2	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$1	03-10 03:06
solana above 70 on march 10	1	$941	942	0	+942	Yes	+$1	03-10 03:05
will solana reach 90 on march 11	1	$591	591	0	+591	No	+$1	03-12 03:32
solana above 70 on march 8	2	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	03-08 18:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	2	$105	128	0	+128	open	—	10-10 02:50
xrp above 1pt2 on march 8	2	$105	106	0	+106	Yes	+$0	03-08 14:02
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread away 1pt5	1	$102	378	0	+378	Norway	-$102	07-10 23:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	08-07 12:53
ethereum above 1900 on march 8	3	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	03-08 16:00
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 11	1	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	03-12 03:30
will ethereum dip to 1900 on march 11	2	$67	67	0	+67	No	+$0	03-12 03:00
solana above 100 on march 8	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	03-08 12:23
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	07-07 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$55	203	0	+203	Down	+$148	09-02 06:28
will xrp reach 1pt5 on march 10	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-11 03:29
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 8	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	03-08 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 02:50:30	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x522721…
10-10 02:50:09	Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5771af…
09-22 02:41:15	Giants vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa7a4c2…
09-09 03:08:10	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x2f9518…
09-08 01:00:46	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	124	82¢	$102	0xff5bf7…
09-02 08:02:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 2?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x65e0d9…
09-02 06:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	203	27¢	$55	0x629922…
09-02 01:14:22	Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox	Seattle Mariners	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcd9032…
08-11 06:02:18	will solana reach 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x663638…
08-07 12:53:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x4c536b…
07-22 12:58:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xb93026…
07-22 09:16:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf2e7d3…
07-22 01:07:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xec967d…
07-12 06:46:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 4pt5	Spain	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9b94d3…
07-10 23:32:31	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	378	27¢	$102	0xb7beca…
07-07 06:52:04	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x3b0a94…
07-02 03:07:56	Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5591be…
06-20 20:13:19	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xb2cb14…
06-19 03:19:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbae58b…
05-19 02:37:47	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x049390…
05-19 02:37:24	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa17e30…
05-19 02:37:03	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 18-24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c7196…
05-19 02:34:50	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xee2b59…
05-06 03:30:08	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebe436…
05-06 03:24:52	Will Raissa Butkowski win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2b2a8…
05-06 03:20:40	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x892537…
05-06 03:19:42	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x819303…
05-06 03:18:34	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 17 be less than 80?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc21079…
05-06 03:16:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee6dd1…
05-06 03:16:14	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde82d4…
05-06 03:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa18cbe…
05-06 03:11:54	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31876e…
05-06 03:11:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x582663…
05-06 03:09:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa6bdaf…
05-06 03:08:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6da17c…
05-06 03:08:10	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf9bbd…
05-06 03:07:52	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18835f…
05-06 02:59:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x625fc5…
05-06 02:58:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa357b3…
05-06 02:56:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ce60c…
05-06 02:55:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x20e9e6…
05-06 02:54:26	LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7d69d1…
05-06 02:47:04	Will CZ post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c3bc7…
05-06 02:46:04	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb21fe2…
05-06 02:44:14	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x692d19…
05-06 02:43:34	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x79cf7a…
05-06 02:42:54	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf748ca…
05-06 02:40:46	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6b9f22…
05-06 02:39:50	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe0155b…
05-06 02:37:48	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46bf5d…
05-06 02:37:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdde79a…
05-06 02:36:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41f9e0…
04-30 02:41:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x219984…
04-30 02:40:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb164c6…
04-30 02:38:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dace8…
04-30 02:34:30	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x821221…
04-24 02:06:42	xrp above 1pt7 on april 24	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1a3d9a…
04-13 01:25:07	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5f45a2…
03-21 06:19:51	will bitcoin reach 86k march 16 22	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x844a12…
03-12 07:21:09	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0e146…
03-12 07:19:51	ethereum above 1700 on march 12	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x896566…
03-12 03:32:01	will solana reach 90 on march 11	No	BUY	591	100¢	$591	0xe322ba…
03-12 03:31:13	will ethereum reach 2100 on march 11	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0x430b30…
03-12 03:30:21	will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 11	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x12fa04…
03-12 03:29:33	will ethereum dip to 1950 on march 11	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0xa5370c…
03-12 03:00:07	will ethereum dip to 1900 on march 11	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x5ab9b9…
03-12 02:56:55	will ethereum reach 2150 on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x600d20…
03-12 02:55:39	will xrp reach 1pt45 on march 11	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0xdb8e8a…
03-12 02:35:39	will solana reach 95 on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c2b88…
03-12 02:35:11	will solana dip to 75 on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb458c1…
03-12 02:34:39	will ethereum dip to 1900 on march 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x983a1c…
03-12 02:34:07	will ethereum reach 2150 on march 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb31954…
03-12 02:32:47	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde5374…
03-12 02:31:55	will xrp dip to 1pt3 on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47e95d…
03-12 02:31:41	will xrp reach 1pt45 on march 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29e9d4…
03-12 02:29:01	will xrp dip to 1pt25 on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57de0b…
03-12 02:28:47	will xrp dip to 1pt2 on march 11	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x160d3d…
03-12 02:28:17	will xrp reach 1pt5 on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a1637…
03-12 02:27:47	will xrp reach 1pt55 on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa66d2…
03-12 02:27:31	will xrp reach 1pt6 on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81a703…
03-12 02:02:35	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	4,015	100¢	$4,007	0x187d8c…
03-12 01:36:51	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	4,015	100¢	$4,011	0xf6d592…
03-11 05:47:29	ethereum above 2300 on march 11	No	BUY	3,709	100¢	$3,706	0xefde7f…
03-11 05:25:43	xrp above 1pt5 on march 11	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x082144…
03-11 05:24:57	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 11	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x57138d…
03-11 05:13:05	ethereum above 2300 on march 11	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x27e990…
03-11 03:31:11	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 11	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x861683…
03-11 03:31:01	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on march 11	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe0be6a…
03-11 03:30:31	xrp above 1pt8 on march 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7929fd…
03-11 03:30:17	xrp above 1pt2 on march 11	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd879c3…
03-11 03:29:51	will xrp reach 1pt45 on march 10	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x85d0a7…
03-11 03:29:31	will xrp reach 1pt5 on march 10	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0206ee…
03-11 03:28:15	will solana reach 90 on march 10	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4eb8ed…
03-11 03:27:05	will solana dip to 80 on march 10	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf375e7…
03-11 03:26:05	solana above 70 on march 11	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0aa89e…
03-11 03:24:31	ethereum above 2300 on march 11	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xaa48cd…
03-11 03:24:11	ethereum above 2200 on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21d57e…
03-11 03:23:59	ethereum above 1700 on march 11	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e3710…
03-11 03:23:43	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x670391…
03-11 03:23:25	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf94e9e…